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BMS Herlev W vs Falcon W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 67-91
16-30 21-25 11-21 19-15
Position#5
Record2-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game72.5
BMS Herlev W
Denmark
vs
Falcon W 🏆
Denmark
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game63.0
DenmarkDameligaen W· Rosenlund Ny Hal
Women2024-25
Meetings · BMS Herlev W v Falcon W
11 Apr 2026
BMS 82
FALC67
25 Oct 2025
BMS 62
FALC77
21 Dec 2024
BMS 67
FALC91
21 Sep 2024
BMS 81
FALC86
23 Mar 2024
BMS 68
FALC57
22 Oct 2023
BMS 55
FALC106
04 Mar 2023
BMS 89
FALC68
03 Dec 2022
BMS 57
FALC64
02 Apr 2022
BMS 78
FALC92
06 Mar 2022
BMS 54
FALC90
09 Feb 2022
BMS 74
FALC72
19 Jan 2022
BMS 55
FALC80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Falcon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
L
61-63
61
63
-2
63avg 56
H16/04
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
H21/09
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
45avg 56
H28/09
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
69-61
69
61
+8
63avg 56
A04/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
46-82
46
82
-36
38avg 56
H12/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
51-84
51
84
-33
44avg 56
H19/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
48-58
48
58
-10
33avg 56
A26/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
68-97
68
97
-29
45avg 56
A24/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
49-75
49
75
-26
no box
A30/11
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
85-56
85
56
+29
78avg 56
H03/12
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
19-13
18-16
11-16
18-14
19-21
23-26
21-25
12-13
14-11
20-17
8-15
20-9
18-10
17-15
14-27
20-19
10-26
8-13
8-24
15-22
15-24
10-20
11-18
14-13
12-13
10-17
12-15
8-15
18-16
16-35
26-31
11-16
14-24
15-26
9-9
21-12
27-15
12-19
25-10
133.0Avg total
61.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)62.872.5135.2-9.825%
Season at home (5)63.472.8136.2-9.420%
Season away (3)61.772.0133.7-10.333%
Last 10 (10)61.271.8133.0-10.620%
Last 5 (5)60.274.0134.2-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)60.380.0140.3-19.710%
vs Similar (12)67.167.2134.2-0.142%
vs Weaker (6)68.756.7125.3+12.0100%
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
59-56
59
56
+3
41avg 64
H26/04
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A21/09
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
73-57
73
57
+16
69avg 64
H29/09
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
98-85
98
85
+13
92avg 64
A05/10
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
W
58-48
58
48
+10
52avg 64
H26/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
89-50
89
50
+39
78avg 64
H16/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 64
A23/11
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
80-71
80
71
+9
63avg 64
H05/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
96-45
96
45
+51
91avg 64
A07/12
Dameligaen W
Hobas W
#4
W
70-51
70
51
+19
no box
A11/12
Denmark Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
11-12
16-13
19-8
14-18
21-19
26-23
25-21
13-13
17-15
24-12
19-17
25-20
20-31
23-12
30-22
13-14
13-12
17-10
15-12
29-17
14-13
21-12
25-8
21-20
18-21
13-18
10-8
26-15
19-25
24-11
11-20
23-16
30-9
23-11
20-9
17-20
20-15
19-6
14-10
138.2Avg total
77.1Scored
61.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.263.0143.2+17.288%
Season at home (4)75.056.5131.5+18.5100%
Season away (4)85.569.5155.0+16.075%
Last 10 (10)77.161.1138.2+16.090%
Last 5 (5)79.456.8136.2+22.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)67.562.0129.5+5.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)77.262.9140.1+14.493%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +5.3+5.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +5.3+5.3
BMS Herlev WFalcon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H16/04
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H21/09
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H28/09
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A04/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H12/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H19/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A26/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A24/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A30/11
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H03/12
Dameligaen W
64.2Avg total
31.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.033.166.1-0.252%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.033.066.0+0.064%-
Last 30 away (15)32.933.366.2-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)31.832.464.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.065.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.737.668.3-6.930%-
vs Similar (12)31.332.363.7-1.050%-
vs Weaker (5)38.023.261.2+14.8100%-
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H26/04
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/09
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H29/09
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/10
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H26/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H16/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A23/11
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
53-25
53
25
+28
A07/12
Dameligaen W
Hobas W
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A11/12
Denmark Cup Women
72.5Avg total
37.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.171.2+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.532.367.9+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)40.733.874.5+6.967%-
Last 10 (10)37.734.872.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.277.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)34.534.569.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)38.433.071.3+5.468%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 54.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.614.1
40.8%
41.3%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.74.8
23.2%
26.2%14.4
🏀 Free throws17.511.6
66.3%
68.0%11.6
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.818.7
44.7%
41.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.4
27.5%
26.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws13.59.7
71.9%
68.0%9.7
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev W
WLLLLLWLLL
Falcon W
WWWLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-11.4
Net rating
+21.0
74.7
Offensive rating
96.4
86.2
Defensive rating
75.4
38.5%
Effective FG%
43.4%
39.5%
Opp. effective FG%
39.4%
27.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.20
23.2%
3-point %
27.5%
55.0%
Assist %
64.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence74.7 · 96.4Defence86.2 · 75.4Shooting38.5% · 43.4%3-point %23.2% · 27.5%Ball care27.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.0% · 34.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ BMS Herlev W   ■ Falcon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BMS Herlev W wins
7
Falcon W wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24Falcon W v BMS Herlev W58-48
21/09/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W81-86
23/03/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W68-57
04/02/24Falcon W v BMS Herlev W76-73
22/10/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W55-106
08/10/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W98-59
04/03/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W89-68
26/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W70-62
22/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W62-70
03/12/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W57-64
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24HAmager W85-56
30/11/24AAabyhoj W49-75
24/11/24ASisu W68-97
26/10/24AFalcon W48-58
19/10/24HAabyhoj W51-84
12/10/24HAabyhoj W46-82
04/10/24AAmager W69-61
28/09/24HSisu W54-56
21/09/24HFalcon W81-86
16/04/24HAmager W61-63
Falcon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24AHobas W70-51
07/12/24AAmager W96-45
05/12/24HSisu W80-71
23/11/24AAabyhoj W62-67
16/11/24HAmager W89-50
26/10/24HBMS Herlev W58-48
05/10/24ASisu W98-85
29/09/24HAabyhoj W73-57
21/09/24ABMS Herlev W86-81
26/04/24HAabyhoj W59-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game62.863.461.7
Allowed / game72.572.872.0
Point differential-9.8-9.4-10.3
Avg total135.2136.2133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Falcon W
Dameligaen W 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game80.275.085.5
Allowed / game63.056.569.5
Point differential+17.2+18.5+16.0
Avg total143.2131.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W87188%80.263.0+17.2
2 Aabyhoj W86275%68.255.5+12.8
3 Sisu W85362%70.168.5+1.6
4 BMS Herlev W82625%62.872.5-9.8
5 Amager W8080%54.176.0-21.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BMS Herlev W1621111967
Falcon W3025211591
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