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BMS Herlev W vs Falcon W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 81-86
18-14 19-21 23-26 21-25
Position#5
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
DenmarkDameligaen W· Rosenlund Ny Hal
Women2024-25
Meetings · BMS Herlev W v Falcon W
11 Apr 2026
BMS 82
FALC67
25 Oct 2025
BMS 62
FALC77
21 Dec 2024
BMS 67
FALC91
21 Sep 2024
BMS 81
FALC86
23 Mar 2024
BMS 68
FALC57
22 Oct 2023
BMS 55
FALC106
04 Mar 2023
BMS 89
FALC68
03 Dec 2022
BMS 57
FALC64
02 Apr 2022
BMS 78
FALC92
06 Mar 2022
BMS 54
FALC90
09 Feb 2022
BMS 74
FALC72
19 Jan 2022
BMS 55
FALC80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Falcon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
64-51
64
51
+13
no box
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 59
A04/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 59
A17/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
no box
H24/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
46avg 59
H02/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
A15/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
68-57
68
57
+11
65avg 59
H23/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
56-61
56
61
-5
58avg 59
H07/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
59-70
59
70
-11
50avg 59
A10/04
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
61-63
61
63
-2
63avg 59
H16/04
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
19-10
15-12
18-12
17-16
26-21
21-12
9-27
16-15
14-19
24-15
24-19
16-19
24-14
16-18
13-18
12-20
11-11
19-17
18-21
–
–
–
–
12-18
14-8
24-16
18-15
15-10
15-19
16-20
10-12
12-12
16-21
15-18
16-19
13-18
19-13
18-16
11-16
131.3Avg total
66.1Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.165.2131.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)61.863.0124.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.779.2146.8-11.533%
vs Similar (14)67.468.3135.6-0.943%
vs Weaker (8)66.960.9127.8+6.075%
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
76-73
76
73
+3
75avg 68
H04/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
80-60
80
60
+20
71avg 68
H25/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
71-50
71
50
+21
62avg 68
A09/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
62-55
62
55
+7
56avg 68
H16/03
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
L
57-68
57
68
-11
49avg 68
A23/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
67-64
67
64
+3
55avg 68
H06/04
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
74-64
74
64
+10
69avg 68
A10/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
78-69
78
69
+9
70avg 68
H18/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
80-64
80
64
+16
70avg 68
A24/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
59-56
59
56
+3
41avg 68
H26/04
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
21-26
12-21
27-9
22-25
26-13
10-8
22-14
17-13
31-13
11-17
12-7
24-17
4-10
16-14
18-14
18-12
8-14
16-24
15-18
19-19
14-16
21-16
13-13
18-17
23-21
16-15
17-11
23-11
12-19
24-19
19-20
19-20
14-18
20-11
27-15
13-23
11-12
16-13
19-8
132.7Avg total
70.4Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.462.3132.7+8.190%
Last 5 (5)71.663.4135.0+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)75.863.3139.1+12.590%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +6.0+6.0
BMS Herlev WFalcon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A17/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H02/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H23/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H07/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A10/04
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H16/04
Dameligaen W
62.7Avg total
31.4Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)33.834.368.1-0.548%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.931.464.3+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)34.637.171.7-2.436%-
Last 10 (9)31.431.262.7+0.256%-
Last 5 (5)27.830.057.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.040.575.5-5.533%-
vs Similar (14)32.033.665.6-1.650%-
vs Weaker (6)32.828.761.5+4.250%-
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev W
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H04/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H25/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A09/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H16/03
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A23/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/04
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H18/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A24/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H26/04
Dameligaen W
68.9Avg total
35.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.332.470.7+5.972%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.030.967.9+6.175%-
Last 30 away (13)39.934.374.2+5.669%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.668.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.235.268.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)38.332.470.7+5.972%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.817.9
43.9%
41.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.9
28.6%
26.2%17.7
🏀 Free throws20.915.5
74.2%
68.0%15.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.217.8
41.2%
41.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.1
25.5%
26.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.412.7
65.5%
68.0%12.7
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev W
LLLWWLWWLW
Falcon W
WWWWWLWWWW
#5
League position
#1
+2.3
Net rating
+10.3
92.0
Offensive rating
89.5
89.7
Defensive rating
79.2
43.6%
Effective FG%
40.1%
40.4%
Opp. effective FG%
38.5%
24.9%
Turnover %
19.5%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.6%
3-point %
25.5%
77.3%
Assist %
69.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 89.5Defence89.7 · 79.2Shooting43.6% · 40.1%3-point %28.6% · 25.5%Ball care24.9% · 19.5%Off. rebounds35.5% · 36.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ BMS Herlev W   ■ Falcon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BMS Herlev W wins
6
Falcon W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/24HAmager W61-63
10/04/24AAabyhoj W59-70
07/04/24HAabyhoj W56-61
23/03/24HFalcon W68-57
15/03/24ASisu W65-64
02/03/24HAabyhoj W60-69
24/02/24HAmager W77-73 OT
17/02/24AAabyhoj W78-68
04/02/24AFalcon W73-76
14/01/24AAmager W64-51
Falcon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24HAabyhoj W59-56
24/04/24AAabyhoj W80-64
18/04/24HAabyhoj W78-69
10/04/24AAmager W74-64
06/04/24HAmager W67-64
23/03/24ABMS Herlev W57-68
16/03/24HAabyhoj W62-55
09/03/24AAmager W71-50
25/02/24HSisu W80-60
04/02/24HBMS Herlev W76-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Falcon W
Dameligaen W 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aabyhoj W110100%67.036.0+31.0
2 Amager W1010%36.067.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BMS Herlev W1819232181
Falcon W1421262586
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