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Bnei Herzliya vs Bonn Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Projected 86-89
Projected total 174.7
Scheduled
Position#47
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game91.0
Vs
42%
58%
■ BHE 42%■ BON 58%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.0/10
🧊 Cold
6.7/10
Above normal
Position#14
Record2-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeChampions League· HaYovel Herzliya
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Bnei Herzliya will host Bonn on 17 November 2026 in the Basketball Champions League, with Bonn the model favourite and a projected 58% chance of victory over the home side's 42% win probability; the model projects a 86-89 scoreline and 174.7 total points, with a 5% overtime likelihood. Bnei Herzliya enter the game 0-3, having averaged 79.3 points and allowed 91.0, and are 47th in the league, while Bonn are 2-1, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 79.7, positioned 14th. At home Bnei Herzliya are 0-1, scoring 74.0 and conceding 86.0, and Bonn are 0-1 on the road, scoring 74.0 and conceding 76.0. Bnei Herzliya's last five games were 1-4, including losses to Maccabi Ashdod 72-75, Bonn 89-101, and Ironi Kiryat Ata 87-97, whereas Bonn's last five were 3-2, with wins over Basketball Braunschweig 97-87, Bnei Herzliya 101-89, and Alba Berlin 95-88. The only prior meeting was Bonn's 101-89 win on 4 November 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bnei Herzliya win
41.5%fair 2.41
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn win
58.5%fair 1.71
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bnei HerzliyaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerzliya
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#5
L
84-99
84
99
-15
63avg 70
A03/06
Super League
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
75-86
75
86
-11
63avg 70
A06/10
Champions League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
48avg 70
H12/10
Super League
Nes Ziona
#3
W
103-96 OT
103
96
+7
73avg 70
A18/10
Super League
FC Porto
#34
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 70
H21/10
Champions League
Ironi Eilat
#5
W
96-93
96
93
+3
74avg 70
H26/10
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#10
L
87-97
87
97
-10
60avg 70
A01/11
Super League
Bonn
#14
L
89-101
89
101
-12
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Maccabi Ashdod
#9
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H09/11
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
no box
A14/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
23-23
22-19
17-31
16-18
17-24
19-21
23-23
18-29
24-22
20-18
17-20
20-21
19-18
21-18
15-18
16-22
13-25
27-16
18-23
18-21
18-25
28-14
32-33
23-26
27-25
17-21
20-25
25-27
23-21
23-27
18-26
18-15
15-26
24-20
15-14
18-23
20-22
9-16
24-17
173.0Avg total
83.0Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.391.0170.3-11.70%
Season at home (1)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Season away (2)82.093.5175.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)83.090.0173.0-7.020%
Last 5 (5)83.088.8171.8-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)83.391.6174.9-8.340%
vs Similar (10)85.687.2172.8-1.650%
vs Weaker (10)94.689.5184.1+5.170%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 73
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 73
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
78-74
78
74
+4
75avg 73
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
115-68
115
68
+47
116avg 73
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 73
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 73
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 73
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
101-89
101
89
+12
no box
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
19-21
16-16
21-19
17-21
19-15
19-21
21-26
25-16
18-16
19-16
16-26
28-11
26-22
32-16
29-19
22-19
18-17
14-19
20-21
14-17
15-26
25-19
14-22
21-26
21-19
24-20
29-23
27-25
21-23
27-23
26-18
22-35
26-17
27-24
22-11
21-25
21-12
19-22
24-12
165.8Avg total
86.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.379.7164.0+4.767%
Season at home (2)89.581.5171.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)74.076.0150.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)86.679.2165.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)89.283.8173.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.789.4163.1-15.70%
vs Similar (10)75.476.4151.8-1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.879.4172.2+13.585%
This opponent (Bnei Herzliya) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1301%1352%1403%1455%1507%1559%16011%16512%17012%17511%1809%1856%1904%1953%2002%2051%2101%2150%220
1%1353%1457%15511%16512%1759%1854%1952%2051%215
Pythia expects about 175 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%).
Over/Under 161
Over 161
78.4%
Under 161
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
68.8%
Under 166
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171
Over 171
57.8%
Under 171
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Bnei Herzliya total 80
Over 80
71.2%
Under 80
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Herzliya total 84
Over 84
57.3%
Under 84
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Herzliya total 88
Over 88
42.6%
Under 88
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonn total 78
Over 78
84.8%
Under 78
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonn total 82
Over 82
73.9%
Under 82
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonn total 86
Over 86
59.9%
Under 86
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-361%-331%-302%-273%-244%-215%-186%-158%-129%-910%-610%-36%+09%+38%+66%+95%+123%+152%+182%+211%+241%+27
0%-361%-303%-245%-188%-1210%-66%+08%+65%+122%+181%+24
Margin from Bnei Herzliya's side (positive = Bnei Herzliya win). Pythia's expected margin is -2.5; Bnei Herzliya win by 1+ in 36% of simulations.
Spread Bnei Herzliya -3
BHE -3
33.1%
BON +3
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
BHE
No market prices yet.
BON
No market prices yet.
Spread Bnei Herzliya 0
BHE 0
41.5%
BON 0
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
BHE
No market prices yet.
BON
No market prices yet.
Spread Bnei Herzliya +3
BHE +3
50.1%
BON -3
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
BHE
No market prices yet.
BON
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
Bnei HerzliyaBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bnei HerzliyaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A03/06
Super League
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A06/10
Champions League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#7
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H12/10
Super League
Nes Ziona
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/10
Super League
FC Porto
#34
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H21/10
Champions League
Ironi Eilat
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H26/10
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A01/11
Super League
Bonn
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A04/11
Champions League
Maccabi Ashdod
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H09/11
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A14/11
Super League
85.2Avg total
39.3Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.746.990.6-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.946.988.8-5.019%-
Last 30 away (14)45.846.992.6-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.345.985.2-6.60%-
Last 5 (5)41.046.287.2-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.249.191.3-6.920%-
vs Similar (10)43.045.288.2-2.240%-
vs Weaker (10)45.946.392.2-0.420%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H07/11
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/11
BBL
82.1Avg total
42.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.778.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.380.1+3.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.641.177.7-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.982.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.086.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.143.077.1-8.929%-
vs Similar (10)35.037.672.6-2.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.139.684.7+5.562%-
This opponent (Bnei Herzliya) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bnei Herzliyatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bnei Herzliya: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.8
52.4%
53.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.2
31.7%
35.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.015.2
72.4%
72.1%15.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.5
51.0%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.1
37.5%
35.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
72.1%14.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bnei Herzliya
LLLLWLWLLL
Bonn
WWWWLLWWLW
#47
League position
#14
-13.4
Net rating
+2.5
90.0
Offensive rating
96.4
103.4
Defensive rating
93.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.7%
3-point %
37.5%
59.0%
Assist %
59.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.0 · 96.4Defence103.4 · 93.9Shooting50.5% · 53.2%3-point %31.7% · 37.5%Ball care16.9% · 15.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Bnei Herzliya   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bnei Herzliya wins
1
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
04/11/26Bonn v Bnei Herzliya101-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv71-78
09/11/26HMaccabi Ashdod72-75
04/11/26ABonn89-101
01/11/26AIroni Kiryat Ata87-97
26/10/26HIroni Eilat96-93
21/10/26HFC Porto74-86
18/10/26ANes Ziona103-96 OT
12/10/26HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan79-89
06/10/26AJoventut Badalona75-86
03/06/26AHapoel Holon84-99
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABamberg85-71
07/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig97-87
04/11/26HBnei Herzliya101-89
01/11/26HAlba Berlin95-88
24/10/26ALudwigsburg68-84
21/10/26AJoventut Badalona74-76
09/10/26HJena115-68
07/10/26HFC Porto78-74
02/10/26AWurzburg76-83
27/09/26HSyntainics MBC77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bnei Herzliya
Champions League 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.374.082.0
Allowed / game91.086.093.5
Point differential-11.7-12.0-11.5
Avg total170.3160.0175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bonn
Champions League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.389.574.0
Allowed / game79.781.576.0
Point differential+4.7+8.0-2.0
Avg total164.0171.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja330100%94.374.3+20.0
2 Joventut Badalona330100%81.071.0+10.0
3 Peristeri440100%89.884.2+5.5
4 Murcia43175%85.267.8+17.5
5 Spartak Subotica43175%81.072.0+9.0
6 Alba Berlin43175%94.587.0+7.5
7 Bilbao43175%93.085.8+7.2
8 Rytas43175%86.582.2+4.2
9 Dziki Warszawa43175%103.299.2+4.0
10 Breogan32167%113.792.3+21.3
11 Strasbourg32167%90.771.7+19.0
12 Antwerp Giants32167%90.382.0+8.3
13 CSM Oradea32167%94.787.3+7.3
14 Bonn32167%84.379.7+4.7
15 Salon Vilpas64267%86.784.0+2.7
16 Legia32167%78.783.0-4.3
17 AEK Athens32167%81.087.3-6.3
18 Promitheas32167%86.392.7-6.3
19 Juventus32167%80.091.7-11.7
20 Vechta85362%87.086.8+0.2
21 Cholet42250%80.272.2+8.0
22 Korfez Basket21150%92.086.5+5.5
23 VEF Riga21150%100.095.0+5.0
24 Sabah Baku42250%83.583.5+0.0
25 Benfica21150%87.588.0-0.5
26 Trabzonspor42250%86.588.5-2.0
27 Igokea42250%81.083.8-2.8
28 Bakken Bears21150%80.584.0-3.5
29 Hapoel Holon42250%84.588.5-4.0
30 Batumi21150%81.589.0-7.5
31 Manchester Basketball21150%79.089.0-10.0
32 Reggiana31233%83.780.0+3.7
33 Szombathely31233%81.381.0+0.3
34 FC Porto31233%74.777.7-3.0
35 Galatasaray31233%77.084.0-7.0
36 Cibona31233%81.088.7-7.7
37 Varese41325%82.883.0-0.2
38 Nanterre41325%84.586.8-2.2
39 Fribourg Olympic1010%85.086.0-1.0
40 Wurzburg1010%73.074.0-1.0
41 Denizli Basket1010%98.0101.0-3.0
42 Levice1010%87.090.0-3.0
43 AEK Larnaca1010%87.095.0-8.0
44 Geneva Lions1010%78.087.0-9.0
45 Vienna Basket1010%82.092.0-10.0
46 Zwolle1010%78.089.0-11.0
47 Bnei Herzliya3030%79.391.0-11.7
48 Kolossos Rhodes1010%79.091.0-12.0
49 Pardubice3030%74.386.3-12.0
50 Slavia Prague ERA NBK4040%81.293.2-12.0
51 Absheron Lions1010%88.0105.0-17.0
52 Opava1010%99.0116.0-17.0
53 Bamberg4040%70.293.0-22.8
54 Rilski Sportist1010%80.0126.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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