Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Dec 2015

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 96-79

20-19 19-21 24-23 33-16

Position#18

Record10-9

FormWWWLW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game80.1

Boca Juniors 🏆

Penarol

Position#4

Record13-8

FormWLWWL

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game79.9

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#12

89-90

-1

A31/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

90-60

+30

H03/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

77-74

A11/11

Liga A

Argentino

#16

89-83 OT

H13/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

79-96

-17

A16/11

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

89-75

+14

H18/11

Liga A

Ferro

#15

79-65

+14

A21/11

Liga A

Lanus

#13

93-89 OT

H24/11

Liga A

Argentino

#16

63-88

-25

A28/11

Liga A

Libertad

85-69

+16

H13/12

Liga A

21-28

24-21

23-25

21-16

15-16

29-16

23-18

23-10

22-15

13-17

19-26

23-16

21-16

17-25

21-10

14-22

16-25

12-21

27-22

24-28

16-19

26-19

28-24

19-13

18-20

22-10

20-10

19-25

24-21

22-21

21-16

10-19

15-26

13-20

16-22

19-20

18-20

17-20

30-19

20-10

162.2Avg total

83.3Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	80.8	80.1	160.9	+0.7	53%
Season at home (10)	85.0	78.1	163.1	+6.9	60%
Season away (9)	76.2	82.3	158.6	-6.1	44%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	78.9	162.2	+4.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	77.2	159.0	+4.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	74.7	82.8	157.5	-8.2	33%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	79.9	79.3	159.2	+0.7	56%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

80-76

A02/11

Liga A

Lanus

#13

80-72

H05/11

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

85-79

H07/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

68-76

-8

A18/11

Liga A

Argentino

#16

59-69

-10

A20/11

Liga A

Ferro

#15

88-74

+14

H26/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

74-82

-8

H28/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

67-63

H07/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

93-78

+15

H10/12

Liga A

Lanus

#13

81-89

-8

A13/12

Liga A

22-17

16-14

22-20

20-25

13-16

19-19

26-21

22-16

21-14

17-26

23-13

24-26

21-17

23-18

4-14

20-27

11-12

17-25

13-16

18-16

25-16

23-15

19-19

21-24

13-14

23-26

21-18

17-24

20-13

16-21

12-13

19-16

28-18

21-19

23-14

21-27

20-21

22-25

15-18

24-25

153.3Avg total

77.5Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	80.8	79.9	160.7	+1.0	62%
Season at home (11)	83.5	78.0	161.5	+5.5	82%
Season away (10)	77.9	81.9	159.8	-4.0	40%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	75.8	153.3	+1.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	77.2	157.8	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	79.5	88.5	168.0	-9.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (28)	79.0	78.4	157.5	+0.6	61%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	20.1	37.8	-2.3	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.1	20.2	38.2	-2.1	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.6	19.3	37.8	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.4	38.5	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	18.8	39.5	+2.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	15.8	35.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	20.0	18.0	38.1	+2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.2	19.6	34.9	-4.4	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.2	20.7	36.9	-4.4	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.4	19.6	37.9	-1.2	39%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	27.5	41.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	18.7	20.5	39.1	-1.8	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#12

45-49

-4

A31/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

44-32

+12

H03/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

35-32

A11/11

Liga A

Argentino

#16

38-41

-3

H13/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-46

-18

A16/11

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

42-38

H18/11

Liga A

Ferro

#15

40-30

+10

A21/11

Liga A

Lanus

#13

46-42

H24/11

Liga A

Argentino

#16

28-46

-18

A28/11

Liga A

Libertad

35-40

-5

H13/12

Liga A

77.7Avg total

38.1Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	39.6	75.5	-3.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.3	40.5	78.8	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.1	38.9	73.0	-4.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	39.6	77.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	39.2	77.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	34.3	40.8	75.2	-6.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.9	38.8	75.8	-1.9	39%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

38-31

A02/11

Liga A

Lanus

#13

32-35

-3

H05/11

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

38-40

-2

H07/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

44-35

A18/11

Liga A

Argentino

#16

28-37

-9

A20/11

Liga A

Ferro

#15

48-31

+17

H26/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

36-40

-4

H28/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

36-34

H07/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

49-37

+12

H10/12

Liga A

Lanus

#13

42-46

-4

A13/12

Liga A

75.7Avg total

39.1Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	39.4	77.8	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	38.2	77.1	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	40.6	78.5	-2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	36.6	75.7	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	37.6	79.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	51.5	85.5	-17.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	38.7	38.5	77.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.3	17.6	39.9	+4.7	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.2	41.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.9	19.2	39.2	+0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.8	36.0	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	16.6	36.8	+3.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.0	19.1	35.1	-3.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	16.6	34.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.4	34.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	15.0	31.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.4	34.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.0	39%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.4	42.4	-0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.0	22.0	51.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	39%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.2	79.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.8	35.8	76.6	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.4	41.7	81.1	-2.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	37.1	79.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	35.6	76.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.3	42.0	82.3	-1.7	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.7	37.3	77.0	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.3	79.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.3	37.9	79.2	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	40.9	79.3	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	39.2	77.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	39.6	78.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.5	37.0	82.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	39.6	39.5	79.0	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
29/10/15	Boca Juniors v Penarol	90-62
02/10/15	Penarol v Boca Juniors	86-80 OT
15/04/15	Penarol v Boca Juniors	67-75
06/01/15	Boca Juniors v Penarol	80-69
06/12/14	Penarol v Boca Juniors	66-86
19/10/14	Boca Juniors v Penarol	81-83 OT
13/05/14	Boca Juniors v Penarol	73-83
11/05/14	Penarol v Boca Juniors	81-67
09/05/14	Penarol v Boca Juniors	81-79
02/03/14	Boca Juniors v Penarol	77-72

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/15	H	Libertad	85-69
28/11/15	A	Argentino	63-88
24/11/15	H	Lanus	93-89 OT
21/11/15	A	Ferro	79-65
18/11/15	H	Quilmes	89-75
16/11/15	A	Gimnasia	79-96
13/11/15	H	Argentino	89-83 OT
11/11/15	A	San Lorenzo	77-74
03/11/15	H	Weber Bahia	90-60
31/10/15	A	Obras Sanitarias	89-90

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/15	A	Lanus	81-89
10/12/15	H	San Lorenzo	93-78
07/12/15	H	Weber Bahia	67-63
28/11/15	H	Obras Sanitarias	74-82
26/11/15	H	Ferro	88-74
20/11/15	A	Argentino	59-69
18/11/15	A	Weber Bahia	68-76
07/11/15	H	Quilmes	85-79
05/11/15	H	Lanus	80-72
02/11/15	A	San Lorenzo	80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	53%
Home	WWWWW	60%
Away	LWLWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	53%	60%	44%
Points / game	80.8	85.0	76.2
Allowed / game	80.1	78.1	82.3
Point differential	+0.7	+6.9	-6.1
Avg total	160.9	163.1	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	40%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	33% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	26%	30%	22%

Penarol

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	62%
Home	WWLWW	82%
Away	LWLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	62%	82%	40%
Points / game	80.8	83.5	77.9
Allowed / game	79.9	78.0	81.9
Point differential	+1.0	+5.5	-4.0
Avg total	160.7	161.5	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	36%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	10%	18%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	22	17	5	77%	83.8	76.9	+6.9
2	Gimnasia	22	16	6	73%	84.0	75.7	+8.4
3	Regatas	21	14	7	67%	81.2	76.8	+4.4
4	Obras Sanitarias	22	14	8	64%	85.6	82.7	+2.9
5	Penarol	21	13	8	62%	80.8	79.9	+1.0
6	San Lorenzo	23	13	10	57%	86.8	81.8	+5.0
7	Libertad	23	13	10	57%	80.0	76.8	+3.2
8	Quimsa	20	11	9	55%	81.5	80.3	+1.2
9	Boca Juniors	19	10	9	53%	80.8	80.1	+0.7
10	Estudiantes	20	10	10	50%	74.5	82.1	-7.7
11	La Union	23	11	12	48%	80.2	80.0	+0.3
12	San Martin	19	9	10	47%	88.3	84.5	+3.7
13	Weber Bahia	22	10	12	45%	74.2	79.0	-4.8
14	Sionista	20	9	11	45%	79.0	82.8	-3.9
15	Ferro	22	9	13	41%	75.5	77.5	-2.1
16	Lanus	21	8	13	38%	79.8	80.0	-0.3
17	Instituto de Cordoba	22	8	14	36%	77.4	78.7	-1.3
18	Argentino	21	7	14	33%	77.1	81.8	-4.7
19	Quilmes	23	7	16	30%	77.2	83.5	-6.3
20	Atenas	22	5	17	23%	77.3	84.3	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	20	19	24	33	96
Penarol	19	21	23	16	79

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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