Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 83-70

13-11 22-25 22-16 26-18

Position#7

Record6-9

FormLLWLW

Points / game76.3

Allowed / game78.5

Murcia 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#17

Record3-12

FormWLWLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game85.0

ACBRound 16

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Murcia v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

67-90

-23

A15/11

ACB

Manresa

#16

69-77

-8

A22/11

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

76-72

H29/11

ACB

Real Madrid

80-101

101

-21

A06/12

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#18

76-67

A13/12

ACB

Gran Canaria

71-75

-4

H20/12

ACB

Valencia

54-65

-11

A22/12

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#15

87-83

H27/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#13

84-94

-10

A03/01

ACB

Fuenlabrada

99-75

+24

H10/01

ACB

13-27

23-21

12-26

19-16

17-21

17-20

23-15

12-21

17-13

25-29

18-14

16-16

19-22

24-29

23-26

14-24

17-11

23-18

22-18

14-20

22-19

12-8

21-28

16-20

16-15

13-23

13-17

12-10

15-24

26-16

24-24

22-19

21-16

14-30

22-29

27-19

25-15

23-20

27-19

24-21

156.2Avg total

76.3Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	76.3	78.5	154.9	-2.2	40%
Season at home (7)	80.1	73.6	153.7	+6.6	57%
Season away (8)	73.0	82.9	155.9	-9.9	25%
Last 10 (10)	76.3	79.9	156.2	-3.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	78.4	157.4	+0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	70.8	81.2	152.0	-10.5	25%
vs Similar (15)	77.8	77.7	155.5	+0.1	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	85.3	78.0	163.3	+7.3	71%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#14

66-84

-18

A15/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

65-90

-25

A17/12

Liga A

Libertad

70-95

-25

A19/12

Liga A

Bilbao

91-85

A19/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

71-85

-14

A22/12

ACB

Real Betis

#11

102-76

102

+26

H27/12

ACB

Barcelona

67-89

-22

A03/01

ACB

Gimnasia

82-70

+12

H10/01

Liga A

Gipuzkoa

#18

85-90

-5

H10/01

ACB

San Lorenzo

80-76

H12/01

Liga A

19-18

15-18

18-25

14-23

12-17

7-20

25-23

21-30

11-21

18-18

18-28

23-28

16-19

24-23

18-24

33-19

20-26

29-19

11-20

20-17

31-13

29-19

22-27

18-28

15-18

14-23

20-20

25-14

29-23

12-25

16-8

15-18

20-27

26-20

24-25

23-19

21-17

19-20

17-20

161.9Avg total

77.9Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	77.5	85.0	162.5	-7.5	20%
Season at home (8)	82.6	87.0	169.6	-4.4	12%
Season away (7)	71.6	82.7	154.3	-11.1	29%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	84.0	161.9	-6.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	80.2	163.4	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	75.4	87.2	162.6	-11.8	29%
vs Similar (12)	76.4	79.6	156.0	-3.2	50%
vs Weaker (1)	85.0	90.0	175.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MurciaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	18.9	38.3	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.3	36.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.0	16.9	39.9	+6.1	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.9	37.7	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.1	38.2	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	20.6	37.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.7	37.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.1	40.3	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	22.1	40.1	-4.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.0	37.1	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	18.3	34.5	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.8	21.2	38.9	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.2	15.3	33.6	+2.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

36-48

-12

A15/11

ACB

Manresa

#16

34-41

-7

A22/11

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

42-42

H29/11

ACB

Real Madrid

43-51

-8

A06/12

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#18

40-29

+11

A13/12

ACB

Gran Canaria

34-27

H20/12

ACB

Valencia

29-38

-9

A22/12

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#15

41-40

H27/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#13

35-46

-11

A03/01

ACB

Fuenlabrada

48-35

+13

H10/01

ACB

77.9Avg total

38.2Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.6	79.0	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	38.3	79.7	+3.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	41.0	78.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	39.7	77.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	37.2	74.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.8	41.0	78.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.3	39.9	79.1	-0.6	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	41.6	37.6	79.1	+4.0	57%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#14

34-36

-2

A15/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

19-37

-18

A17/12

Liga A

Libertad

29-39

-10

A19/12

Liga A

Bilbao

40-42

-2

A19/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

49-45

A22/12

ACB

Real Betis

#11

51-30

+21

H27/12

ACB

Barcelona

33-46

-13

A03/01

ACB

Gimnasia

54-37

+17

H10/01

Liga A

Gipuzkoa

#18

35-45

-10

H10/01

ACB

San Lorenzo

44-36

H12/01

Liga A

78.1Avg total

38.8Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	38.9	74.8	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	38.9	77.8	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.9	38.9	71.8	-5.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	39.3	78.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	38.8	82.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	35.8	41.0	76.8	-5.2	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.2	35.4	71.6	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	45.0	80.0	-10.0	0%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.4	44.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.4	21.5	38.9	-4.1	12%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.9	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	22.8	40.9	-4.7	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	22.9	42.0	-3.9	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	22.6	39.7	-5.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.7	41.7	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.9	22.8	39.7	-5.9	6%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	22.9	42.1	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.2	37.7	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.1	37.3	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.6	18.8	34.4	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	18.9	37.1	-0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.3	41.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	39.1	77.4	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	35.6	76.3	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	42.6	78.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	40.2	78.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	41.2	82.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.0	40.2	73.2	-7.2	12%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.5	37.9	76.4	+0.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	43.7	40.4	84.1	+3.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	43.6	82.2	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	43.2	83.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	43.9	80.9	-7.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	44.7	83.8	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	41.4	81.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.1	44.2	82.3	-6.2	18%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.5	42.5	81.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	45.0	95.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Murcia wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
08/02/15	Estudiantes v Murcia	90-79
09/11/14	Murcia v Estudiantes	79-65
23/03/14	Murcia v Estudiantes	85-84
02/11/13	Estudiantes v Murcia	69-77
28/04/13	Estudiantes v Murcia	94-85
30/12/12	Murcia v Estudiantes	68-91
06/05/12	Estudiantes v Murcia	80-86
28/12/11	Murcia v Estudiantes	88-75
24/04/10	Estudiantes v Murcia	75-64
29/11/09	Murcia v Estudiantes	83-89

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/16	H	Fuenlabrada	99-75
03/01/16	A	Joventut Badalona	84-94
27/12/15	H	Obradoiro CAB	87-83
22/12/15	A	Valencia	54-65
20/12/15	H	Gran Canaria	71-75
13/12/15	A	Gipuzkoa	76-67
06/12/15	A	Real Madrid	80-101
29/11/15	H	MoraBanc Andorra	76-72
22/11/15	A	Manresa	69-77
15/11/15	A	Baskonia	67-90

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/16	H	San Lorenzo	80-76
10/01/16	H	Gipuzkoa	85-90
10/01/16	H	Gimnasia	82-70
03/01/16	A	Barcelona	67-89
27/12/15	H	Real Betis	102-76
22/12/15	A	Fuenlabrada	71-85
19/12/15	A	Bilbao	91-85
19/12/15	A	Libertad	70-95
17/12/15	A	Instituto de Cordoba	65-90
15/12/15	A	Atenas	66-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	40%
Home	WWLWW	57%
Away	LLWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	40%	57%	25%
Points / game	76.3	80.1	73.0
Allowed / game	78.5	73.6	82.9
Point differential	-2.2	+6.6	-9.9
Avg total	154.9	153.7	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	20%
Home	LLLWL	12%
Away	LLWLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	20%	12%	29%
Points / game	77.5	82.6	71.6
Allowed / game	85.0	87.0	82.7
Point differential	-7.5	-4.4	-11.1
Avg total	162.5	169.6	154.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valencia	15	15	0	100%	84.5	72.3	+12.2
2	Barcelona	15	14	1	93%	82.6	68.5	+14.1
3	Real Madrid	15	12	3	80%	91.7	78.2	+13.5
4	Baskonia	15	12	3	80%	86.0	76.1	+9.9
5	Gran Canaria	15	9	6	60%	79.2	73.0	+6.2
6	MoraBanc Andorra	16	8	8	50%	80.9	80.9	+0.0
7	Unicaja	15	7	8	47%	76.4	75.5	+0.9
8	Bilbao	15	7	8	47%	78.1	79.7	-1.6
9	Fuenlabrada	15	7	8	47%	78.4	80.9	-2.5
10	Murcia	15	6	9	40%	76.3	78.5	-2.2
11	Joventut Badalona	15	6	9	40%	79.8	82.4	-2.6
12	Manresa	15	6	9	40%	71.5	79.3	-7.9
13	Obradoiro CAB	16	6	10	38%	76.4	77.9	-1.4
14	Tenerife	16	6	10	38%	77.6	81.1	-3.4
15	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	15	5	10	33%	78.5	80.2	-1.7
16	Real Betis	16	5	11	31%	76.1	87.2	-11.1
17	Estudiantes	15	3	12	20%	77.5	85.0	-7.5
18	Gipuzkoa	15	3	12	20%	70.0	83.7	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Murcia	13	22	22	26	83
Estudiantes	11	25	16	18	70

← all games of the day

Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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A Pro feature