PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boca Juniors vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:10
Final 92-77
21-13 25-23 27-18 19-23
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game67.5
EuropeChampions League Americas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Minas
15 Jan 2026
BOCA92
MINA77
12 Dec 2025
BOCA61
MINA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 76
A07/11
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 76
H11/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
78-74
78
74
+4
66avg 76
H15/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
71-83
71
83
-12
70avg 76
A20/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
71-61
71
61
+10
no box
A22/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
116-83
116
83
+33
112avg 76
H06/12
Liga A
Aguada
#11
W
88-71
88
71
+17
90avg 76
A11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
61-80
61
80
-19
49avg 76
H12/12
Champions League Americas
Obera TC
#5
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 76
H17/12
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
84-100
84
100
-16
69avg 76
A29/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
20-22
25-14
16-34
21-22
16-27
22-15
15-17
18-12
20-17
18-21
22-24
20-24
24-19
13-24
14-16
22-10
22-14
14-16
13-21
32-7
25-24
30-26
29-26
24-21
19-13
19-14
26-23
19-15
18-19
14-19
10-27
18-23
19-17
16-20
17-20
16-23
21-33
22-20
25-24
159.3Avg total
79.1Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.575.5150.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)61.080.0141.0-19.00%
Season away (1)88.071.0159.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.180.2159.3-1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.882.8166.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)78.479.2157.6-0.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.376.5161.8+8.870%
This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 75
A05/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
W
80-61
80
61
+19
73avg 75
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 75
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#16
W
95-88
95
88
+7
93avg 75
H18/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
71-59
71
59
+12
70avg 75
H21/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
83avg 75
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 75
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
108avg 75
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
81avg 75
A08/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 75
A10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
24-15
21-20
15-15
15-19
19-18
19-14
27-10
24-19
16-19
14-20
23-16
28-23
24-17
14-22
29-26
19-15
25-11
19-19
8-14
24-24
21-26
24-15
16-22
24-18
16-28
33-18
26-17
12-24
31-26
22-24
26-17
18-29
23-17
36-18
15-10
24-34
19-14
16-25
17-17
164.3Avg total
85.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.567.5146.0+11.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)78.567.5146.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.678.7164.3+6.980%
Last 5 (5)91.886.8178.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.065.5148.5+17.5100%
vs Similar (12)79.879.6159.3+0.242%
vs Weaker (16)85.276.2161.5+9.0100%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
Boca JuniorsMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/11
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A20/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A22/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H06/12
Liga A
Aguada
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/12
Champions League Americas
Obera TC
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H17/12
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A29/12
Liga A
79.2Avg total
41.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.079.5+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.737.077.7+3.771%-
Last 30 away (16)42.138.981.0+3.169%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.179.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.081.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)39.538.277.7+1.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.437.683.0+7.890%-
This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H18/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H21/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A10/01
NBB
83.7Avg total
42.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.180.3+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.438.280.6+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.980.0+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.783.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.448.090.4-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.537.073.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (12)41.142.883.8-1.733%-
vs Weaker (16)41.936.678.5+5.469%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.7
52.5%
54.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.0
39.4%
32.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.711.5
68.9%
69.7%11.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
54.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.6
33.4%
32.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.416.4
70.1%
69.7%16.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
LLLWWWLWLL
Minas
LWWWLWWWWW
#2
League position
#5
+13.2
Net rating
+6.7
112.3
Offensive rating
104.5
99.1
Defensive rating
97.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.4%
3-point %
33.4%
69.7%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 104.5Defence99.1 · 97.8Shooting55.5% · 51.9%3-point %39.4% · 33.4%Ball care16.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds28.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Boca Juniors wins
1
Minas wins
DateGameScore
12/12/25Boca Juniors v Minas61-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25AFerro84-100
17/12/25HObera TC70-80
12/12/25HMinas61-80
11/12/25AAguada88-71
06/12/25HArgentino116-83
22/11/25AQuimsa71-61
20/11/25AOlimpico71-83
15/11/25HSan Lorenzo78-74
11/11/25HRegatas74-81
07/11/25APenarol78-89
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AMogi76-90
08/01/26ACorinthians Paulista92-74
29/12/25AUnifacisa107-102 OT
27/12/25ACearense99-81
23/12/25HFlamengo85-87
21/12/25HVasco71-59
18/12/25HBotafogo95-88
13/12/25AAguada77-74
12/12/25ABoca Juniors80-61
05/12/25AUniao Corinthians74-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game74.561.088.0
Allowed / game75.580.071.0
Point differential-1.0-19.0+17.0
Avg total150.0141.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game78.5-78.5
Allowed / game67.5-67.5
Point differential+11.0-+11.0
Avg total146.0-146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas220100%78.567.5+11.0
2 Nacional220100%75.067.0+8.0
3 Instituto de Cordoba220100%86.581.5+5.0
4 Franca32167%98.078.0+20.0
5 Boca Juniors21150%74.575.5-1.0
6 Flamengo21150%73.577.5-4.0
7 Obras Sanitarias2020%75.579.5-4.0
8 Aguada2020%72.582.5-10.0
9 U. De Concepcion3030%71.795.0-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors2125271992
Minas1323182377
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.