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Boca Juniors vs Riachuelo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:10
Final 84-77
20-20 17-16 24-18 23-23
Position#1
Record17-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#6
Record17-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game75.7
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2024-25
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Riachuelo
28 Mar 2025
BOCA84
RIAC77
05 Dec 2023
BOCA64
RIAC70
22 Mar 2023
BOCA95
RIAC86
01 Mar 2022
BOCA70
RIAC71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Riachuelo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
W
96-71
96
71
+25
97avg 75
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
114-70
114
70
+44
120avg 75
H12/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#14
L
75-76
75
76
-1
58avg 75
H15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
66avg 75
H28/02
Liga A
Real Esteli
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
84avg 75
H11/03
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
89-97
89
97
-8
90avg 75
A15/03
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
72-58
72
58
+14
68avg 75
A16/03
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
82avg 75
A19/03
Liga A
Penarol
#12
W
72-64
72
64
+8
66avg 75
A21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
66avg 75
H26/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
32-15
28-12
12-27
30-13
21-21
33-16
30-20
16-21
21-20
17-12
21-23
22-23
23-16
20-21
15-17
18-21
17-18
35-19
23-21
21-24
27-22
20-23
21-28
24-13
16-19
19-14
13-12
21-18
23-28
13-22
23-12
21-14
11-19
20-22
20-9
17-23
21-21
12-26
22-6
161.3Avg total
85.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.876.5157.3+4.371%
Season at home (11)82.473.5155.9+8.882%
Season away (13)79.579.0158.5+0.562%
Last 10 (10)85.376.0161.3+9.360%
Last 5 (5)79.077.4156.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.379.0154.3-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.576.5155.1+2.073%
vs Weaker (15)85.175.8160.9+9.373%
This opponent (Riachuelo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiachueloArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiachuelo
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 77
A22/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
106-72
106
72
+34
110avg 77
A09/01
Liga A
Penarol
#12
W
83-71
83
71
+12
80avg 77
H22/01
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
86-91
86
91
-5
80avg 77
H26/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 77
A31/01
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
80-63
80
63
+17
69avg 77
A02/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
L
81-98
81
98
-17
64avg 77
A04/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
92-87
92
87
+5
87avg 77
H10/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
W
90-77
90
77
+13
87avg 77
H15/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
91-58
91
58
+33
91avg 77
H22/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
22-27
23-13
11-19
30-22
31-12
22-23
23-15
20-18
16-21
29-12
18-20
20-25
30-24
19-21
17-21
14-19
21-17
18-19
26-23
25-19
20-18
15-17
20-9
22-27
23-28
15-20
21-23
24-20
21-18
25-28
22-21
33-21
21-17
28-15
8-24
27-11
24-17
22-15
18-15
163.8Avg total
86.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.075.7159.7+8.374%
Season at home (13)86.774.1160.8+12.685%
Season away (10)80.577.8158.3+2.760%
Last 10 (10)86.277.6163.8+8.670%
Last 5 (5)86.876.6163.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.081.0155.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.978.1159.0+2.947%
vs Weaker (14)86.676.9163.5+9.886%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
Boca JuniorsRiachuelo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H12/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H28/02
Liga A
Real Esteli
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/03
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A15/03
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/03
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/03
Liga A
Penarol
#12
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H26/03
Liga A
81.2Avg total
42.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.080.2+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.436.179.5+7.369%-
Last 30 away (17)39.441.380.7-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.681.2+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.040.782.7+1.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.038.976.9-0.936%-
vs Weaker (15)43.239.282.4+4.067%-
This opponent (Riachuelo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiachueloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A22/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
61-34
61
34
+27
A09/01
Liga A
Penarol
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/01
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H26/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/01
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A02/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A04/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H10/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H15/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H22/03
Liga A
86.5Avg total
46.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.983.8+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.338.985.2+7.471%-
Last 30 away (13)40.841.282.0-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)46.240.386.5+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.287.2+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.049.089.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.340.479.7-1.133%-
vs Weaker (14)49.138.787.9+10.493%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.918.5
58.0%
53.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.8
40.1%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
71.7%13.0
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Riachuelotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boca Juniors wins
3
Riachuelo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25HQuimsa72-76
21/03/25APenarol72-64
19/03/25AObras Sanitarias90-92 OT
16/03/25AReal Esteli72-58
15/03/25AReal Esteli89-97
11/03/25HReal Esteli93-79
28/02/25HFerro80-77
15/02/25HSan Lorenzo75-76
12/02/25HToros del Chiriqui114-70
09/02/25HFlamengo96-71
Riachuelolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HObera TC91-58
15/03/25HSan Lorenzo90-77
10/03/25HUnion De Santa Fe92-87
04/02/25AIndependiente de Oliva81-98
02/02/25AAtenas80-63
31/01/25AInstituto de Cordoba79-78
26/01/25HPlatense86-91
22/01/25HPenarol83-71
09/01/25AOlimpico106-72
22/12/24AQuimsa74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL71%
HomeWWLWL82%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %71%82%62%
Points / game80.882.479.5
Allowed / game76.573.579.0
Point differential+4.3+8.8+0.5
Avg total157.3155.9158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)67% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Riachuelo
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %74%85%60%
Points / game84.086.780.5
Allowed / game75.774.177.8
Point differential+8.3+12.6+2.7
Avg total159.7160.8158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Riachuelo2317674%84.075.7+8.3
2 Instituto de Cordoba2417771%81.271.2+10.0
3 Boca Juniors2417771%80.876.5+4.3
4 Obras Sanitarias2517868%82.878.8+4.1
5 Quimsa28171161%83.677.0+6.6
6 Obera TC27161159%81.477.9+3.5
7 Gimnasia26141254%82.378.5+3.8
8 Regatas28151354%79.779.4+0.3
9 Atenas27141352%78.979.1-0.2
10 Olimpico27141352%80.382.1-1.9
11 Union De Santa Fe32161650%81.885.4-3.6
12 San Martin27131448%74.272.3+1.9
13 Penarol27131448%79.978.3+1.6
14 Ferro25121348%81.683.2-1.6
15 San Lorenzo25111444%76.280.2-4.0
16 Platense29111838%78.481.9-3.4
17 Independiente de Oliva28101836%84.286.6-2.4
18 La Union2791833%83.387.3-3.9
19 Zarate2571828%71.281.4-10.1
20 Argentino2652119%72.483.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors2017242384
Riachuelo2016182377
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