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Real Esteli vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:40
Final 97-89
24-21 22-27 23-20 28-21
Position#5
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game74.3
EuropeChampions League AmericasChampions League Americas - Quarter-finals· Polideportivo Alexis Argüello
Other2024-25
Meetings · Real Esteli v Boca Juniors
16 Mar 2025
REAL58
BOCA72
15 Mar 2025
REAL97
BOCA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Esteli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real EsteliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsteli
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
68-98
68
98
-30
no box
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
95-94
95
94
+1
no box
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
69-99
69
99
-30
no box
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
87-68
87
68
+19
57avg 72
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 72
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
100-101
100
101
-1
85avg 72
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 72
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
85avg 72
A06/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 72
H07/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#4
L
79-93
79
93
-14
69avg 72
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
19-22
20-34
9-22
25-24
26-26
22-20
22-24
21-28
25-23
11-21
12-27
29-9
26-27
18-16
14-16
20-17
22-12
19-20
18-21
29-30
28-31
28-24
15-16
13-32
20-17
17-13
22-20
20-12
23-23
27-23
22-29
10-18
20-20
29-21
26-22
21-18
18-17
19-35
21-23
169.9Avg total
82.6Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.983.1168.0+1.757%
Season at home (3)83.773.0156.7+10.7100%
Season away (4)85.890.8176.5-5.025%
Last 10 (10)82.687.3169.9-4.750%
Last 5 (5)85.688.8174.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)80.891.2172.1-10.431%
vs Similar (6)85.080.5165.5+4.567%
vs Weaker (8)92.685.9178.5+6.875%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#2
W
90-75
90
75
+15
80avg 74
A18/01
Super Cup
La Union
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
96avg 74
H21/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
88avg 74
A26/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
79-77
79
77
+2
68avg 74
A29/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 74
H01/02
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
W
96-71
96
71
+25
97avg 74
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
114-70
114
70
+44
120avg 74
H12/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#14
L
75-76
75
76
-1
58avg 74
H15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
66avg 74
H28/02
Liga A
Real Esteli
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
84avg 74
H11/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
21-20
21-24
27-18
29-27
23-22
20-21
25-21
26-23
14-25
27-12
23-26
17-24
21-16
22-6
19-31
27-18
19-22
18-14
19-25
24-17
32-15
28-12
12-27
30-13
21-21
33-16
30-20
16-21
21-20
17-12
21-23
22-23
23-16
20-21
15-17
18-21
17-18
35-19
23-21
167.8Avg total
89.7Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.974.3161.1+12.671%
Season at home (4)98.872.8171.5+26.0100%
Season away (3)71.076.3147.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)89.778.1167.8+11.690%
Last 5 (5)91.674.6166.2+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.379.0154.3-3.733%
vs Similar (9)78.875.8154.6+3.089%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.875.1160.9+10.676%
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +8.4+8.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +8.4+8.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
Real EsteliBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real EsteliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H07/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/03
Champions League Americas
86.1Avg total
43.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.044.886.8-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.543.686.2-1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)41.545.887.3-4.241%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.686.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.684.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.446.286.6-5.938%-
vs Similar (6)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (8)44.843.888.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A18/01
Super Cup
La Union
#18
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H21/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A29/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H01/02
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H12/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H28/02
Liga A
Real Esteli
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/03
Champions League Americas
83.7Avg total
44.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.080.1+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.234.778.9+9.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.941.381.3-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.583.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.081.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.040.782.7+1.367%-
vs Similar (9)37.737.875.4-0.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.438.082.4+6.471%-
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Estelitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Esteli: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.4
50.5%
49.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.4
35.7%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.512.4
70.9%
71.9%12.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.7
58.3%
49.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.6
38.0%
33.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.212.2
70.9%
71.9%12.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Esteli
LWWLLWWLWL
Boca Juniors
WWLWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#4
-6.8
Net rating
+13.1
104.1
Offensive rating
111.6
110.9
Defensive rating
98.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
57.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
38.0%
54.0%
Assist %
71.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 111.6Defence110.9 · 98.5Shooting51.7% · 57.7%3-point %35.7% · 38.0%Ball care15.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds24.2% · 20.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Real Esteli   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Esteli wins
1
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
11/03/25Boca Juniors v Real Esteli93-79
Real Estelilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25ABoca Juniors79-93
07/02/25HToros del Valle85-81
06/02/25APaisas92-87
02/02/25AToros del Valle72-82
02/02/25APaisas100-101
19/01/25HPaisas79-70
17/01/25HToros del Valle87-68
12/03/24AQuimsa69-99
10/03/24AQuimsa95-94
07/03/24HQuimsa68-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25HReal Esteli93-79
28/02/25HFerro80-77
15/02/25HSan Lorenzo75-76
12/02/25HToros del Chiriqui114-70
09/02/25HFlamengo96-71
01/02/25HRegatas83-79
29/01/25AIndependiente de Oliva79-77
26/01/25AInstituto de Cordoba90-86
21/01/25HLa Union97-91
18/01/25AQuimsa90-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Esteli
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game84.983.785.8
Allowed / game83.173.090.8
Point differential+1.7+10.7-5.0
Avg total168.0156.7176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boca Juniors
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game86.998.871.0
Allowed / game74.372.876.3
Point differential+12.6+26.0-5.3
Avg total161.1171.5147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca98189%82.974.1+8.8
2 Flamengo87188%91.668.8+22.9
3 Minas97278%78.070.7+7.3
4 Boca Juniors75271%86.974.3+12.6
5 Real Esteli74357%84.983.1+1.7
6 Instituto de Cordoba95456%76.176.1+0.0
7 Paisas83538%82.992.2-9.4
8 Toros del Valle62433%84.585.3-0.8
9 Quimsa93633%73.376.9-3.6
10 Bigua61517%70.577.2-6.7
11 Leones Quilpue6060%71.283.3-12.2
12 Toros del Chiriqui6060%65.299.0-33.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Esteli2422232897
Boca Juniors2127202189
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