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Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#17
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game83.2
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2026-27
Meetings · Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo
29 Jan 2027
BOCA v SAN
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
BOCA78
SAN 74
14 Feb 2025
BOCA75
SAN 76
10 Jun 2024
BOCA91
SAN 47
08 Jun 2024
BOCA79
SAN 77
10 Oct 2023
BOCA68
SAN 56
25 Nov 2022
BOCA94
SAN 91
26 Apr 2022
BOCA87
SAN 78
12 Apr 2022
BOCA94
SAN 68
24 Jan 2021
BOCA71
SAN 80
11 Apr 2020
BOCA v SAN
upcoming
25 Oct 2019
BOCA0
SAN 20
19 Jan 2019
BOCA72
SAN 83
10 Oct 2018
BOCA79
SAN 85
20 Mar 2018
BOCA91
SAN 88
17 Oct 2017
BOCA75
SAN 78
12 Feb 2017
BOCA73
SAN 60
23 Nov 2016
BOCA71
SAN 75
30 Apr 2016
BOCA92
SAN 80
06 Oct 2015
BOCA83
SAN 97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Lorenzo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 80
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 80
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
91avg 80
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
95avg 80
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 80
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 80
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 80
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 80
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
14-13
28-17
21-14
27-19
27-24
23-17
30-26
17-26
175.0Avg total
89.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.583.2172.8+6.262%
Season at home (4)94.578.0172.5+16.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)89.885.2175.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.378.4164.7+7.987%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 70
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 70
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
89-73
89
73
+16
84avg 70
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
70avg 70
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
L
58-80
58
80
-22
47avg 70
H28/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H07/11
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
42-75
42
75
-33
no box
H08/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
55-81
55
81
-26
no box
A13/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
89-122
89
122
-33
no box
A15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
21-26
9-18
24-15
17-21
18-19
14-20
21-16
20-22
18-18
29-14
22-19
22-28
22-17
18-26
23-21
18-21
26-25
14-17
15-15
18-16
18-28
16-22
6-14
14-20
17-11
13-20
26-14
8-20
17-17
8-21
9-17
17-24
9-28
12-14
17-15
27-21
11-32
24-30
27-39
152.3Avg total
70.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.183.2153.4-13.125%
Season at home (6)69.577.2146.7-7.733%
Season away (2)72.0101.5173.5-29.50%
Last 10 (10)70.182.2152.3-12.120%
Last 5 (5)62.884.6147.4-21.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.782.4158.0-6.729%
vs Similar (8)80.980.9161.8+0.050%
vs Weaker (1)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
Boca JuniorsSan Lorenzo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H09/11
Liga A
89.1Avg total
47.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.584.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.238.984.1+6.471%-
Last 30 away (13)42.442.685.0-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.089.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.439.984.3+4.567%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H28/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H07/11
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H08/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A13/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A15/11
Liga A
78.9Avg total
35.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.542.880.3-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.242.780.8-4.522%-
Last 30 away (12)36.443.079.4-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)35.443.578.9-8.10%-
Last 5 (5)31.243.474.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.243.580.7-6.319%-
vs Similar (8)38.240.478.6-2.138%-
vs Weaker (1)37.047.084.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.0
74.9%
72.7%17.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
WWWWLLLWLW
San Lorenzo
LLLWLLLWLL
#6
League position
#17
-1.3
Net rating
-6.0
115.8
Offensive rating
110.0
117.2
Defensive rating
116.0
54.3%
Effective FG%
50.9%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.5%
3-point %
30.1%
53.3%
Assist %
50.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 110.0Defence117.2 · 116.0Shooting54.3% · 50.9%3-point %34.5% · 30.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ San Lorenzo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boca Juniors wins
3
San Lorenzo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HLa Union97-93
07/11/26HSan Martin90-63
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AIndependiente de Oliva89-122
13/11/26AAtenas55-81
08/11/26HSan Martin42-75
07/11/26HRegatas70-65
28/10/26HPlatense58-80
18/10/26HObera TC73-78
17/10/26HPenarol85-92
09/10/26HGimnasia89-73
18/04/26AObras Sanitarias70-76
15/04/26AArgentino70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.594.584.5
Allowed / game83.278.088.5
Point differential+6.2+16.5-4.0
Avg total172.8172.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Lorenzo
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game70.169.572.0
Allowed / game83.277.2101.5
Point differential-13.1-7.7-29.5
Avg total153.4146.7173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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