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Boise State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 96-54
48-29 48-25
Position#101
Record11-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#371
Record3-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.7
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boise State v Air Force
24 Jan 2026
BOIS96
AIR 54
21 Dec 2024
BOIS77
AIR 59
03 Feb 2024
BOIS94
AIR 56
18 Jan 2022
BOIS62
AIR 56
08 Jan 2021
BOIS80
AIR 69
06 Jan 2021
BOIS78
AIR 59
02 Jan 2021
BOIS v AIR
upcoming
11 Feb 2020
BOIS74
AIR 57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#166
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
68-93
68
93
-25
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-30
41-34
37-32
31-35
26-36
40-45
21-19
41-34
29-50
50-29
27-37
31-38
23-46
45-47
39-40
37-36
39-30
40-43
38-18
43-47
153.0Avg total
76.0Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.173.8150.9+3.258%
Season at home (13)72.870.3143.1+2.562%
Season away (6)86.381.5167.8+4.850%
Last 10 (10)76.077.0153.0-1.050%
Last 5 (5)74.279.0153.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.872.5147.2+2.275%
vs Similar (19)73.572.0145.5+1.558%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.466.3143.7+11.171%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pacific
#165
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-67
39
67
-28
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-99
62
99
-37
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
49-91
49
91
-42
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-41
39-39
25-24
31-37
30-33
28-48
26-36
30-32
20-35
19-32
31-45
31-54
22-45
27-46
21-27
41-43
29-40
37-41
21-38
31-43
134.4Avg total
56.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)61.776.2137.8-14.516%
Season at home (13)64.877.5142.3-12.823%
Season away (6)55.073.2128.2-18.20%
Last 10 (10)56.577.9134.4-21.40%
Last 5 (5)58.284.4142.6-26.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)60.477.0137.4-16.610%
vs Similar (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -11.3-11.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -10.1-10.1
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -11.3-11.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -10.1-10.1
Boise StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#166
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
38-18
38
18
+20
A21/01
NCAA
66.2Avg total
32.4Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.666.0+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.332.868.1+2.565%-
Last 30 away (13)31.032.363.3-1.346%-
Last 10 (10)32.433.866.2-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.267.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.833.064.8-1.275%-
vs Similar (19)33.133.266.2-0.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.430.766.1+4.771%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pacific
#165
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A21/01
NCAA
61.5Avg total
25.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.735.963.6-8.217%-
Last 30 at home (18)28.136.364.4-8.211%-
Last 30 away (12)27.035.262.2-8.225%-
Last 10 (10)25.136.461.5-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)24.839.063.8-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)27.636.063.6-8.517%-
vs Similar (1)31.032.063.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Boise State wins
0
Air Force wins
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AWyoming81-65
17/01/26HColorado State79-73
14/01/26AUNLV85-89 OT
11/01/26HUtah State68-93
08/01/26HGrand Canyon58-75
04/01/26ASan Diego State107-110 OT
31/12/25HNew Mexico62-53
21/12/25ANevada66-81
14/12/25HSt. Marys (CA)68-67
11/12/25HDuquesne86-64
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AColorado State52-81
17/01/26HNevada66-81
14/01/26ASan Jose State62-70
10/01/26HNew Mexico49-91
07/01/26HUtah State62-99
03/01/26AUNLV39-67
30/12/25HWyoming56-68
18/12/25ASan Diego State58-81
07/12/25ANavy56-61
04/12/25HPacific65-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW58%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %58%62%50%
Points / game77.172.886.3
Allowed / game73.870.381.5
Point differential+3.2+2.5+4.8
Avg total150.9143.1167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%23%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%33%
Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %16%23%0%
Points / game61.764.855.0
Allowed / game76.277.573.2
Point differential-14.5-12.8-18.2
Avg total137.8142.3128.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1916384%83.768.3+15.4
2 New Mexico1915479%80.867.5+13.3
3 Nevada1914574%77.070.6+6.4
4 San Diego State1813572%81.372.1+9.2
5 Grand Canyon1812667%75.168.9+6.1
6 Colorado State2012860%77.870.9+7.0
7 Wyoming1911858%80.372.7+7.6
8 Boise State1911858%77.173.8+3.2
9 UNLV1810856%79.376.4+2.9
10 Fresno State1991047%72.670.8+1.7
11 San Jose State1961332%70.776.2-5.5
12 Air Force1931616%61.776.2-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State484896
Air Force292554
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