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Boise State vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 70-81
28-34 42-47
Position#101
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game68.0
Boise State
USA
vs
NC State 🏆
USA
Position#128
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A15/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A15/03
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
39-49
28-33
34-19
28-34
44-35
22-32
34-37
37-38
41-41
46-35
55-42
48-36
37-29
35-30
27-28
32-27
30-32
32-34
35-36
139.9Avg total
71.8Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.868.0143.8+7.867%
Season at home (6)75.868.0143.8+7.867%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.868.1139.9+3.760%
Last 5 (5)75.465.8141.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)101.077.0178.0+24.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.469.9139.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (15)75.761.3136.9+14.487%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
62-87
62
87
-25
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A08/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
114-66
114
66
+48
H04/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
110-64
110
64
+46
H13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-34
45-39
25-38
35-36
30-41
32-46
34-30
37-33
41-31
29-41
54-26
60-40
41-33
53-37
47-37
63-27
39-35
46-44
33-35
41-50
155.8Avg total
82.5Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)95.472.8168.2+22.680%
Season at home (5)95.472.8168.2+22.680%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.573.3155.8+9.260%
Last 5 (5)95.472.8168.2+22.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.072.9135.9-9.910%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.174.7146.8-2.636%
vs Weaker (6)86.563.8150.3+22.783%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +4.8+4.8
Boise StateNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A15/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A15/03
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H24/11
NCAA
67.5Avg total
34.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.830.864.6+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.930.368.2+7.676%-
Last 30 away (13)28.431.559.8-3.146%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.367.5+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.471.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.035.081.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.734.165.8-2.443%-
vs Weaker (15)34.927.562.4+7.580%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A08/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H04/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/11
NCAA
72.4Avg total
38.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.768.4+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.831.967.7+3.856%-
Last 30 away (12)32.936.469.3-3.542%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.072.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.276.0+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.936.165.0-7.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.134.168.1+0.050%-
vs Weaker (6)45.529.074.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Boise State wins
0
NC State wins
No previous meetings.
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25HUSC67-70
19/11/25HWichita State62-59
15/11/25HMontana State62-58
12/11/25HUTRGV85-65
08/11/25HUtah Valley State101-77
04/11/25HHawaii Pacific78-79
15/03/25AColorado State56-69
15/03/25ANew Mexico72-69
13/03/25ASan Diego State62-52
08/03/25HColorado State73-83
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25HSeton Hall74-85
18/11/25HVCU Rams85-79
13/11/25HNC Greensboro110-64
08/11/25HUAB94-70
04/11/25HN. Carolina Central114-66
08/03/25AMiami (FL)70-72
06/03/25HPittsburgh71-63
01/03/25AGeorgia Tech62-87
27/02/25ASyracuse60-74
22/02/25HWake Forest85-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games66-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game75.875.8-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+7.8+7.8-
Avg total143.8143.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%-
NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL80%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %80%80%-
Points / game95.495.4-
Allowed / game72.872.8-
Point differential+22.6+22.6-
Avg total168.2168.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%89.765.0+24.7
2 Wyoming65183%84.770.5+14.2
3 Colorado State54180%89.873.4+16.4
4 Fresno State75271%78.469.4+9.0
5 Boise State64267%75.868.0+7.8
6 New Mexico64267%75.369.3+6.0
7 Nevada64267%78.774.2+4.5
8 Grand Canyon53260%81.674.0+7.6
9 UNLV63350%88.882.3+6.5
10 San Diego State42250%77.876.0+1.8
11 Air Force73443%70.173.9-3.7
12 San Jose State62433%75.075.2-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke770100%93.657.0+36.6
2 Louisville660100%95.565.7+29.8
3 North Carolina550100%88.063.2+24.8
4 SMU Mustangs770100%92.773.0+19.7
5 Virginia Tech550100%92.272.8+19.4
6 Clemson76186%84.364.9+19.4
7 Miami (FL)65183%92.264.3+27.8
8 California65183%85.269.2+16.0
9 Georgia Tech65183%72.863.5+9.3
10 NC State54180%95.472.8+22.6
11 Syracuse54180%80.058.2+21.8
12 Florida State54180%94.072.6+21.4
13 Stanford54180%83.871.6+12.2
14 Notre Dame75271%78.167.4+10.7
15 Virginia75271%81.972.9+9.0
16 Wake Forest64267%85.775.2+10.5
17 Pittsburgh74357%72.166.6+5.6
18 Boston College73443%70.166.4+3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State284270
NC State344781
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