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Boise State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 83-86 (OT)
40-29 37-48 6-9
Position#101
Record15-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game74.1
vs
UNLV 🏆
USA
Position#192
Record12-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boise State v UNLV
13 Feb 2026
BOIS83
UNLV86
07 Jan 2025
BOIS81
UNLV59
16 Jan 2024
BOIS64
UNLV68
09 Mar 2023
BOIS87
UNLV76
19 Feb 2023
BOIS73
UNLV69
11 Feb 2022
BOIS69
UNLV63
13 Feb 2021
BOIS61
UNLV59
11 Feb 2021
BOIS78
UNLV66
08 Jan 2020
BOIS73
UNLV66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
68-93
68
93
-25
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A21/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
96-54
96
54
+42
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
89-58
89
58
+31
A28/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
91-90
91
90
+1
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
31-38
23-46
45-47
39-40
37-36
39-30
40-43
38-18
43-47
48-29
48-25
36-33
53-25
41-43
28-43
39-28
40-51
43-42
48-48
157.7Avg total
80.7Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.274.1153.2+5.162%
Season at home (15)75.570.3145.9+5.267%
Season away (9)85.280.3165.6+4.956%
Last 10 (10)80.777.0157.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)87.275.0162.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.076.0154.0+2.080%
vs Similar ◀ (18)74.574.1148.6+0.456%
vs Weaker (7)82.665.0147.6+17.671%
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-32
33-38
40-39
36-37
40-31
36-31
38-38
48-38
34-39
37-43
22-41
39-48
28-33
48-56
50-49
46-49
44-34
36-44
45-41
37-34
158.3Avg total
77.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.978.6157.5+0.350%
Season at home (13)81.374.8156.1+6.562%
Season away (11)76.183.1159.2-7.036%
Last 10 (10)77.980.4158.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)79.085.8164.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.579.7150.3-9.227%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.781.3166.0+3.367%
vs Weaker (7)73.462.3135.7+11.171%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -2.2-2.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -2.2-2.2
Boise StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
38-18
38
18
+20
A21/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/02
NCAA
71.9Avg total
37.3Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.268.0+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.732.468.1+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)33.634.167.8-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.671.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.076.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.034.868.8-0.880%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.933.567.4+0.444%-
vs Weaker (7)37.331.468.7+5.971%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/02
NCAA
74.7Avg total
37.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.872.9+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.034.472.4+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)36.137.473.5-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.774.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.677.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.437.571.9-3.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.738.878.4+0.958%-
vs Weaker (7)37.028.065.0+9.086%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boise State wins
2
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
14/01/26UNLV v Boise State89-85 OT
05/02/25UNLV v Boise State62-71
08/01/25Boise State v UNLV81-59
17/01/24Boise State v UNLV64-68
10/03/23Boise State v UNLV87-76 OT
20/02/23Boise State v UNLV73-69
12/01/23UNLV v Boise State66-84
27/02/22UNLV v Boise State76-86
12/02/22Boise State v UNLV69-63
14/02/21Boise State v UNLV61-59
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26ANew Mexico91-90
04/02/26HNevada91-87 OT
31/01/26AGrand Canyon69-86
28/01/26ASan Jose State89-58
24/01/26HAir Force96-54
21/01/26AWyoming81-65
17/01/26HColorado State79-73
14/01/26AUNLV85-89 OT
11/01/26HUtah State68-93
08/01/26HGrand Canyon58-75
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HSan Jose State82-75
07/02/26HGrand Canyon80-78
04/02/26AFresno State96-98
31/01/26ANevada76-89
28/01/26HNew Mexico61-89
24/01/26HSan Diego State71-82
21/01/26AUtah State86-76
17/01/26ASan Jose State76-62
14/01/26HBoise State89-85 OT
10/01/26AColorado State62-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %62%67%56%
Points / game79.275.585.2
Allowed / game74.170.380.3
Point differential+5.1+5.2+4.9
Avg total153.2145.9165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %12%7%22%
UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%62%36%
Points / game78.981.376.1
Allowed / game78.674.883.1
Point differential+0.3+6.5-7.0
Avg total157.5156.1159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2421388%84.168.9+15.2
2 New Mexico2519676%80.869.5+11.3
3 San Diego State2317674%80.269.9+10.3
4 Nevada2417771%77.071.2+5.8
5 Grand Canyon2415962%74.568.3+6.2
6 Boise State2415962%79.274.1+5.1
7 Colorado State24141058%75.870.4+5.4
8 Wyoming24131154%77.873.0+4.9
9 UNLV24121250%78.978.6+0.3
10 Fresno State24111346%72.972.2+0.8
11 San Jose State2461825%69.876.7-6.9
12 Air Force2432112%61.478.4-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Boise State4037683
UNLV2948986
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