Bonn vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 23 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 17:00

Postponed

Position#15

Record4-16

FormLLLWL

Points / game84.3

Allowed / game91.2

Bonn

Bayern

Position#2

Record19-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game85.1

Allowed / game74.0

BBLRound 24

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Bonn v Bayern

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Bayern win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bonn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hamburg

#17

90-102

102

-12

H26/12

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

93-100

100

-7

A29/12

BBL

Ulm

73-85

-12

A05/01

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#10

85-90

-5

H10/01

BBL

Giessen

#13

88-85

A18/01

BBL

Bayern

85-93

-8

A26/01

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

66-85

-19

A01/02

BBL

Ludwigsburg

77-83

-6

H12/02

BBL

Giessen

#13

112-96

112

+16

H22/02

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

86-95

-9

H01/03

BBL

27-24

28-20

19-23

16-35

17-31

29-30

22-23

25-16

15-19

20-29

24-15

14-22

21-14

20-18

20-29

24-29

16-20

24-18

20-17

28-30

7-26

24-25

25-11

29-31

15-26

17-18

21-19

13-22

22-21

10-22

25-18

20-22

35-16

13-30

32-20

32-30

15-26

28-19

19-25

24-25

176.9Avg total

85.5Scored

91.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	84.3	91.2	175.6	-6.9	20%
Season at home (10)	88.0	93.7	181.7	-5.7	30%
Season away (10)	80.7	88.7	169.4	-8.0	10%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	91.4	176.9	-5.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	90.4	175.6	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	84.8	94.1	178.9	-9.3	11%
vs Similar (9)	84.7	82.6	167.2	+2.1	56%
vs Weaker (3)	83.3	92.3	175.7	-9.0	33%

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bayern

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Giessen

#13

82-70

+12

A22/12

BBL

Bamberg

82-76

A30/12

BBL

Vechta

76-68

A05/01

BBL

Ludwigsburg

74-81

-7

A19/01

BBL

Bonn

#15

93-85

H26/01

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

71-60

+11

H02/02

BBL

Giessen

#13

94-75

+19

H09/02

BBL

Gottingen

#11

81-90

-9

A11/02

BBL

Oldenburg

79-58

+21

H01/03

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

91-75

+16

A08/03

BBL

17-21

25-8

21-20

19-21

21-17

22-22

21-22

18-15

27-16

10-17

18-9

21-26

10-15

21-22

20-24

23-20

26-7

25-24

11-25

31-29

13-7

12-18

24-25

22-10

26-18

21-14

20-20

27-23

16-21

24-23

20-27

21-19

12-18

17-23

25-1

25-16

23-14

25-21

12-25

31-15

156.1Avg total

82.3Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	85.1	74.0	159.2	+11.1	90%
Season at home (11)	85.9	69.7	155.6	+16.2	100%
Season away (10)	84.3	78.8	163.1	+5.5	80%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	73.8	156.1	+8.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	71.6	154.8	+11.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	84.5	77.5	162.0	+7.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	86.6	74.6	161.2	+12.0	89%

This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BonnBayern

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.1	42.2	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	21.5	42.8	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	22.7	41.8	-3.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.3	23.3	42.6	-3.9	39%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	16.7	36.4	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	15.1	35.1	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	15.4	34.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.6	33.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	19.9	16.4	36.3	+3.4	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.8	44.3	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	23.1	45.8	-0.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.8	41.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	21.7	24.1	45.8	-2.3	28%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	21.3	45.0	+2.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.7	42.3	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	18.3	40.5	+3.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	23.5	18.5	42.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.7	61%	-

BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hamburg

#17

55-44

+11

H26/12

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

46-61

-15

A29/12

BBL

Ulm

35-48

-13

A05/01

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#10

41-32

H10/01

BBL

Giessen

#13

40-38

A18/01

BBL

Bayern

31-51

-20

A26/01

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

32-44

-12

A01/02

BBL

Ludwigsburg

32-43

-11

H12/02

BBL

Giessen

#13

48-46

H22/02

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

43-45

-2

H01/03

BBL

85.5Avg total

40.3Scored

45.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	45.0	86.5	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	44.1	85.3	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	45.8	87.6	-3.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	45.2	85.5	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	45.8	83.0	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	41.1	47.3	88.4	-6.3	28%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.4	40.4	81.9	+1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.7	44.3	89.0	+0.3	33%	-

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Giessen

#13

42-29

+13

A22/12

BBL

Bamberg

43-39

A30/12

BBL

Vechta

37-33

A05/01

BBL

Ludwigsburg

31-37

-6

A19/01

BBL

Bonn

#15

51-31

+20

H26/01

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

25-25

H02/02

BBL

Giessen

#13

47-32

+15

H09/02

BBL

Gottingen

#11

40-44

-4

A11/02

BBL

Oldenburg

29-41

-12

H01/03

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

48-35

+13

A08/03

BBL

73.9Avg total

39.3Scored

34.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	36.5	78.7	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	33.4	75.6	+8.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	39.9	82.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	34.6	73.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	35.4	73.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	40.0	39.5	79.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	42.4	36.2	78.6	+6.1	68%	-

This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.9	43.0	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	22.6	44.9	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.0	42.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.6	43.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.8	39%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	19.4	38.6	-0.3	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.4	40.3	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	17.8	39.5	+4.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.6	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	23.3	45.0	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.2	24.3	48.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	22.4	41.9	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	26.2	48.7	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	26.0	49.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	21.3	23.6	44.9	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	27.0	45.7	-8.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.9	42.3	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.3	41.6	+2.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	20.6	43.1	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	16.6	41.8	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	25.5	20.5	46.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.2	19.9	42.0	+2.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	45.1	88.0	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.4	46.9	93.4	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	43.6	83.4	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	46.2	91.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	44.6	92.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	43.7	46.8	90.5	-3.1	39%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.7	40.9	83.6	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	48.0	86.7	-9.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	38.3	82.6	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	37.1	81.1	+6.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.6	39.8	84.4	+4.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	39.2	82.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	36.2	81.6	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	44.5	38.0	82.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	44.2	38.4	82.6	+5.9	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	17.9	53.6%	54.1%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	8.7	36.6%	34.0%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.7	77.0%	73.6%	13.7

They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.8	54.7%	54.1%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.3	36.6%	34.0%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	15.2	11.4	75.0%	73.6%	11.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	20.0	53.5%	54.1%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.9	8.2	37.6%	34.0%	24.7
🏀 Free throws	16.9	13.3	78.5%	73.6%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	20.5	55.4%	54.1%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	8.6	36.4%	34.0%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	16.7	13.1	78.8%	73.6%	13.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bonn wins

Bayern wins

Date	Game	Score
26/01/20	Bayern v Bonn	93-85
12/05/19	Bonn v Bayern	102-98
21/10/18	Bayern v Bonn	102-91
01/05/18	Bonn v Bayern	72-83
01/12/17	Bayern v Bonn	78-50
13/04/17	Bayern v Bonn	84-72
22/01/17	Bayern v Bonn	87-72
06/12/16	Bonn v Bayern	95-83
28/03/16	Bonn v Bayern	81-95
11/10/15	Bayern v Bonn	84-91

Bonnlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/03/20	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	86-95
22/02/20	H	Giessen	112-96
12/02/20	H	Ludwigsburg	77-83
01/02/20	A	Crailsheim Merlins	66-85
26/01/20	A	Bayern	85-93
18/01/20	A	Giessen	88-85
10/01/20	H	Basketball Braunschweig	85-90
05/01/20	A	Ulm	73-85
29/12/19	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	93-100
26/12/19	H	Hamburg	90-102

Bayernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	A	Bayreuth	91-75
01/03/20	H	Oldenburg	79-58
11/02/20	A	Gottingen	81-90
09/02/20	H	Giessen	94-75
02/02/20	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	71-60
26/01/20	H	Bonn	93-85
19/01/20	A	Ludwigsburg	74-81
05/01/20	A	Vechta	76-68
30/12/19	A	Bamberg	82-76
22/12/19	A	Giessen	82-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	20%
Home	LLLWL	30%
Away	LLWLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	20%	30%	10%
Points / game	84.3	88.0	80.7
Allowed / game	91.2	93.7	88.7
Point differential	-6.8	-5.7	-8.0
Avg total	175.6	181.7	169.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	33% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bayern

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLLW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	90%	100%	80%
Points / game	85.1	85.9	84.3
Allowed / game	74.0	69.7	78.8
Point differential	+11.1	+16.2	+5.5
Avg total	159.2	155.6	163.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	73%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	21	19	2	90%	85.1	74.0	+11.1
2	Ludwigsburg	21	17	4	81%	86.5	78.8	+7.7
3	Alba Berlin	19	14	5	74%	93.4	81.6	+11.7
4	Crailsheim Merlins	21	15	6	71%	90.0	84.4	+5.6
5	Oldenburg	20	13	7	65%	84.3	83.2	+1.2
6	Bamberg	21	12	9	57%	82.6	78.5	+4.1
7	Vechta	21	12	9	57%	80.7	81.8	-1.1
8	s.Oliver Wurzburg	21	11	10	52%	83.6	85.0	-1.4
9	Gottingen	21	11	10	52%	82.2	85.1	-2.9
10	Ulm	20	10	10	50%	87.4	85.5	+1.9
11	Basketball Braunschweig	20	9	11	45%	89.5	91.5	-2.0
12	Bayreuth	21	9	12	43%	86.2	86.2	+0.0
13	Giessen	20	6	14	30%	84.7	89.2	-4.5
14	Frankfurt	21	6	15	29%	75.2	80.6	-5.4
15	Bonn	20	4	16	20%	84.3	91.2	-6.8
16	Syntainics MBC	20	3	17	15%	89.5	97.5	-7.9
17	Hamburg	20	3	17	15%	81.2	92.8	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Bonn vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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