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Bonn vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-83 (OT)
20-20 12-23 26-14 17-18 13-8
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game84.0
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#1
Record4-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game75.3
GermanyBBLRound 7· Telekom Dome
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bonn v Bayern
25 Apr 2027
BON v BAY
upcoming
04 Jun 2026
BON57
BAY77
21 Dec 2025
BON55
BAY83
08 May 2025
BON86
BAY90
13 Oct 2024
BON85
BAY91
10 Dec 2023
BON78
BAY86
12 Nov 2023
BON88
BAY83
11 Dec 2022
BON78
BAY68
08 Jun 2022
BON74
BAY87
30 May 2022
BON81
BAY82
28 May 2022
BON68
BAY80
08 Mar 2022
BON96
BAY61
13 Apr 2021
BON71
BAY89
23 Apr 2020
BON v BAY
upcoming
12 May 2019
BON102
BAY98
01 May 2018
BON72
BAY83
06 Dec 2016
BON95
BAY83
28 Mar 2016
BON81
BAY95
24 Apr 2015
BON88
BAY84
03 Oct 2013
BON82
BAY87
27 Apr 2013
BON103
BAY98
03 Oct 2011
BON80
BAY76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 82
A01/10
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 82
H04/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
100-73
100
73
+27
101avg 82
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#14
W
80-79
80
79
+1
69avg 82
A14/10
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 82
A21/10
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 82
A25/10
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 82
H29/10
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
65avg 82
H01/11
Champions League
Ulm
#5
L
87-105
87
105
-18
79avg 82
A05/11
BBL
Breogan
#29
W
86-71
86
71
+15
78avg 82
H08/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
18-15
19-24
17-17
19-23
9-16
21-28
27-21
25-20
20-14
29-19
26-20
13-22
21-24
21-16
25-17
22-11
23-26
30-26
16-23
24-14
25-20
19-12
23-27
18-25
29-14
20-11
23-18
14-14
14-24
22-18
24-19
22-31
18-27
26-21
21-26
19-9
28-16
16-22
23-24
165.6Avg total
85.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.284.0171.2+3.250%
Season at home (3)88.776.3165.0+12.367%
Season away (3)85.791.7177.3-6.033%
Last 10 (10)85.480.2165.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)85.678.4164.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (6)81.081.3162.3-0.350%
vs Weaker (23)88.773.4162.0+15.378%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 73
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
101-73
101
73
+28
103avg 73
H15/10
German Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 73
A17/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
59-98
59
98
-39
48avg 73
A20/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
97-62
97
62
+35
99avg 73
A22/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 73
H27/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
87-64
87
64
+23
90avg 73
H29/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
68-74
68
74
-6
65avg 73
A02/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 73
A05/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
83avg 73
A09/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
19-14
18-17
23-24
32-20
23-15
25-17
21-21
20-22
21-20
16-20
19-6
11-27
16-16
13-27
19-28
29-17
25-15
11-15
32-15
20-19
18-22
9-14
20-21
21-14
21-20
23-15
22-15
19-12
16-21
24-20
9-21
17-22
23-22
19-20
22-19
19-17
25-29
19-25
27-22
156.6Avg total
79.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.375.3161.7+11.067%
Season at home (3)91.076.7167.7+14.3100%
Season away (3)81.774.0155.7+7.733%
Last 10 (10)79.776.9156.6+2.840%
Last 5 (5)78.678.0156.6+0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.884.8155.6-14.00%
vs Similar (7)79.985.3165.1-5.414%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.073.7156.7+9.376%
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
BonnBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A01/10
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H04/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#14
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/10
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A21/10
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A25/10
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/10
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H01/11
Champions League
Ulm
#5
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A05/11
BBL
Breogan
#29
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H08/11
Champions League
79.9Avg total
40.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.779.3+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.834.676.4+7.281%-
Last 30 away (14)43.639.082.6+4.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.379.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.881.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (6)40.738.779.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (23)43.535.779.3+7.878%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H15/10
German Cup
Baskonia
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A20/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A22/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A05/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/11
Euroleague
79.3Avg total
40.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.880.1+2.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.038.783.7+6.360%-
Last 30 away (15)37.738.976.6-1.320%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.779.3+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.679.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.041.476.4-6.40%-
vs Similar (7)38.340.678.9-2.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.637.581.2+6.153%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.5
57.8%
54.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.614.4
77.4%
76.0%14.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.2
55.8%
54.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.2
33.0%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.012.5
78.1%
76.0%12.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WLLWWWWWLL
Bayern
LLLWLWLWWL
#7
League position
#1
+6.4
Net rating
+3.1
113.3
Offensive rating
109.5
106.8
Defensive rating
106.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.0%
3-point %
33.0%
57.0%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 109.5Defence106.8 · 106.4Shooting54.3% · 53.0%3-point %33.0% · 33.0%Ball care19.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds36.5% · 31.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Bonn   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bonn wins
5
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Bayern v Bonn73-77
11/12/22Bonn v Bayern78-68
08/06/22Bonn v Bayern74-87
06/06/22Bayern v Bonn80-83
04/06/22Bayern v Bonn84-86
30/05/22Bonn v Bayern81-82
28/05/22Bonn v Bayern68-80
08/03/22Bonn v Bayern96-61
16/01/22Bayern v Bonn100-81
13/04/21Bonn v Bayern71-89
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HBreogan86-71
05/11/23AUlm87-105
01/11/23HHapoel Holon74-75
29/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins90-68
25/10/23ABursaspor91-73
21/10/23ALudwigsburg91-86
14/10/23ALudwigsburg80-79
09/10/23HSyntainics MBC100-73
04/10/23HTubingen76-88
01/10/23AVechta79-84
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-93
05/11/23ABasketball Braunschweig81-83
02/11/23ACrvena zvezda68-74
29/10/23HWurzburg87-64
27/10/23HFenerbahce67-76
22/10/23ACrailsheim Merlins97-62
20/10/23ABarcelona59-98
17/10/23ABaskonia76-68
15/10/23HOldenburg101-73
12/10/23APanathinaikos71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game87.288.785.7
Allowed / game84.076.391.7
Point differential+3.2+12.3-6.0
Avg total171.2165.0177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game86.391.081.7
Allowed / game75.376.774.0
Point differential+11.0+14.3+7.7
Avg total161.7167.7155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin76186%98.479.7+18.7
2 Ulm76186%93.787.9+5.9
3 Chemnitz65183%83.574.3+9.2
4 Vechta75271%91.780.1+11.6
5 Oldenburg75271%90.682.0+8.6
6 Bayern64267%86.375.3+11.0
7 Ludwigsburg64267%90.079.2+10.8
8 Hamburg74357%85.489.0-3.6
9 Wurzburg63350%75.270.5+4.7
10 Bonn63350%87.284.0+3.2
11 Basketball Braunschweig73443%81.486.1-4.7
12 Rostock62433%93.798.0-4.3
13 Bamberg62433%89.096.7-7.7
14 Syntainics MBC72529%83.189.0-5.9
15 Gottingen51420%91.4103.0-11.6
16 Tubingen61517%85.396.2-10.8
17 Heidelberg71614%84.096.0-12.0
18 Crailsheim Merlins71614%73.697.6-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bonn201226171388
Bayern20231418883
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