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Bonn vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-68
23-16 18-18 21-14 16-20
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game74.9
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#3
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game74.8
GermanyBBLRound 9
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bonn v Bayern
25 Apr 2027
BON v BAY
upcoming
04 Jun 2026
BON57
BAY77
21 Dec 2025
BON55
BAY83
08 May 2025
BON86
BAY90
13 Oct 2024
BON85
BAY91
10 Dec 2023
BON78
BAY86
12 Nov 2023
BON88
BAY83
11 Dec 2022
BON78
BAY68
08 Jun 2022
BON74
BAY87
30 May 2022
BON81
BAY82
28 May 2022
BON68
BAY80
08 Mar 2022
BON96
BAY61
13 Apr 2021
BON71
BAY89
23 Apr 2020
BON v BAY
upcoming
12 May 2019
BON102
BAY98
01 May 2018
BON72
BAY83
06 Dec 2016
BON95
BAY83
28 Mar 2016
BON81
BAY95
24 Apr 2015
BON88
BAY84
03 Oct 2013
BON82
BAY87
27 Apr 2013
BON103
BAY98
03 Oct 2011
BON80
BAY76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#4
L
95-98
95
98
-3
no box
A17/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 80
A22/10
BBL
AEK Athens
#11
W
73-66
73
66
+7
67avg 80
A25/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
H29/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
98-65
98
65
+33
102avg 80
H05/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
101-72
101
72
+29
105avg 80
A19/11
BBL
AEK Athens
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 80
H23/11
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
75avg 80
A26/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
84avg 80
A02/12
BBL
Karsiyaka
#38
W
89-80
89
80
+9
90avg 80
A07/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
22-21
20-30
26-23
23-14
17-22
19-20
20-16
12-16
11-20
29-10
21-20
31-20
17-15
20-24
26-26
30-13
20-15
28-17
20-20
25-18
28-20
30-14
18-20
19-17
20-21
24-12
17-22
26-20
23-24
20-23
11-17
11-18
25-18
30-23
25-15
19-21
24-12
26-18
20-29
164.8Avg total
88.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.474.9165.2+15.588%
Season at home (3)92.075.3167.3+16.7100%
Season away (5)89.474.6164.0+14.880%
Last 10 (10)88.076.8164.8+11.280%
Last 5 (5)88.276.4164.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)85.884.2170.0+1.670%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.377.2163.5+9.284%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
W
79-77
79
77
+2
65avg 73
A10/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
67avg 73
H17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
82-69
82
69
+13
80avg 73
A19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 73
A23/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
71avg 73
A25/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
87avg 73
H27/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
98-89
98
89
+9
90avg 73
H02/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#6
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
H04/12
German Cup
Oldenburg
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 73
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
53-78
53
78
-25
43avg 73
A09/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
19-24
23-19
11-19
11-27
23-13
20-27
17-15
20-17
27-9
15-21
20-22
25-15
17-18
11-20
22-21
14-17
19-17
17-19
29-27
23-16
26-18
14-21
20-18
26-24
24-20
23-23
25-22
13-14
34-16
13-14
20-19
26-20
18-11
18-19
19-27
10-17
20-27
12-11
11-23
154.3Avg total
78.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.474.8158.2+8.789%
Season at home (6)84.774.8159.5+9.8100%
Season away (3)81.074.7155.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)78.176.2154.3+1.970%
Last 5 (5)79.076.0155.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.579.8154.3-5.427%
vs Similar (10)78.977.8156.7+1.150%
vs Weaker (8)82.972.4155.2+10.588%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
BonnBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A17/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/10
BBL
AEK Athens
#11
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A25/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#7
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H29/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H05/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A19/11
BBL
AEK Athens
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/11
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A26/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/12
BBL
Karsiyaka
#38
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A07/12
Champions League
79.9Avg total
43.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.040.385.3+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.539.983.4+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)46.240.786.9+5.675%-
Last 10 (10)43.036.979.9+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.881.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)45.243.989.1+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.638.282.8+6.574%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H27/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H02/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#6
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/12
German Cup
Oldenburg
#5
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/12
Euroleague
77.6Avg total
42.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.078.6+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.639.980.6+0.735%-
Last 30 away (13)40.535.576.1+5.062%-
Last 10 (10)42.135.577.6+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.680.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.340.177.4-2.827%-
vs Similar (10)41.739.481.1+2.340%-
vs Weaker (8)43.434.177.5+9.275%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.321.0
57.9%
54.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.8
38.4%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
75.8%14.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.1
47.4%
54.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.715.3
86.4%
75.8%15.3
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWLWWWWWWL
Bayern
LWWWWLWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+17.0
Net rating
+2.2
118.0
Offensive rating
111.0
101.1
Defensive rating
108.8
57.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.6%
Turnover %
19.7%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.4%
3-point %
37.8%
60.7%
Assist %
55.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 111.0Defence101.1 · 108.8Shooting57.8% · 51.4%3-point %38.4% · 37.8%Ball care19.6% · 19.7%Off. rebounds35.7% · 35.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Bonn   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bonn wins
7
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
08/06/22Bonn v Bayern74-87
06/06/22Bayern v Bonn80-83
04/06/22Bayern v Bonn84-86
30/05/22Bonn v Bayern81-82
28/05/22Bonn v Bayern68-80
08/03/22Bonn v Bayern96-61
16/01/22Bayern v Bonn100-81
13/04/21Bonn v Bayern71-89
16/03/21Bayern v Bonn78-69
26/01/20Bayern v Bonn93-85
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22AKarsiyaka89-80
02/12/22ASyntainics MBC91-74
26/11/22ALudwigsburg80-84
23/11/22HAEK Athens80-72
19/11/22AHamburg101-72
05/11/22HHeidelberg98-65
29/10/22HGottingen94-85
25/10/22AAEK Athens73-66
22/10/22ABasketball Braunschweig79-72
17/10/22AAlba Berlin95-98
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/22ABaskonia53-78
06/12/22HOldenburg81-77
04/12/22HBayreuth80-63
02/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-89
27/11/22HWurzburg83-73
25/11/22AMonaco79-80
23/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne75-74
19/11/22ASyntainics MBC82-69
17/11/22HOlympiacos71-82
10/11/22AAlba Berlin79-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game90.492.089.4
Allowed / game74.975.374.6
Point differential+15.5+16.7+14.8
Avg total165.2167.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game83.484.781.0
Allowed / game74.874.874.7
Point differential+8.7+9.8+6.3
Avg total158.2159.5155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin98189%91.382.1+9.2
2 Bayern98189%83.474.8+8.7
3 Bonn87188%90.474.9+15.5
4 Ludwigsburg97278%91.685.0+6.6
5 Oldenburg107370%85.781.0+4.7
6 Chemnitz85362%90.587.1+3.4
7 Gottingen84450%85.087.8-2.8
8 Ulm94544%88.086.2+1.8
9 Wurzburg94544%86.387.7-1.3
10 Hamburg94544%83.386.4-3.1
11 Heidelberg94544%86.290.7-4.4
12 Rostock94544%89.994.4-4.6
13 Bamberg93633%84.185.3-1.2
14 Crailsheim Merlins93633%86.992.0-5.1
15 Syntainics MBC93633%88.494.0-5.6
16 Bayreuth92722%79.684.8-5.2
17 Basketball Braunschweig92722%77.685.2-7.7
18 Frankfurt91811%76.884.3-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2318211678
Bayern1618142068
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