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Bonn vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-86
19-22 24-25 15-25 20-14
Position#10
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game73.0
GermanyGerman CupGerman Cup - Quarter-finals· Telekom Dome
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bonn v Bayern
25 Apr 2027
BON v BAY
upcoming
04 Jun 2026
BON57
BAY77
21 Dec 2025
BON55
BAY83
08 May 2025
BON86
BAY90
13 Oct 2024
BON85
BAY91
10 Dec 2023
BON78
BAY86
12 Nov 2023
BON88
BAY83
11 Dec 2022
BON78
BAY68
08 Jun 2022
BON74
BAY87
30 May 2022
BON81
BAY82
28 May 2022
BON68
BAY80
08 Mar 2022
BON96
BAY61
13 Apr 2021
BON71
BAY89
23 Apr 2020
BON v BAY
upcoming
12 May 2019
BON102
BAY98
01 May 2018
BON72
BAY83
06 Dec 2016
BON95
BAY83
28 Mar 2016
BON81
BAY95
24 Apr 2015
BON88
BAY84
03 Oct 2013
BON82
BAY87
27 Apr 2013
BON103
BAY98
03 Oct 2011
BON80
BAY76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 82
H29/10
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
65avg 82
H01/11
Champions League
Ulm
#5
L
87-105
87
105
-18
79avg 82
A05/11
BBL
Breogan
#29
W
86-71
86
71
+15
78avg 82
H08/11
Champions League
Bayern
#1
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
no box
H12/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
101-77
101
77
+24
99avg 82
A19/11
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
L
82-92
82
92
-10
76avg 82
H21/11
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
91avg 82
H26/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
102-94
102
94
+8
95avg 82
A03/12
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 82
A06/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
29-14
20-11
23-18
14-14
14-24
22-18
24-19
22-31
18-27
26-21
21-26
19-9
28-16
16-22
23-24
20-20
12-23
26-14
17-18
17-18
33-17
28-23
23-19
24-19
18-25
26-29
14-19
28-19
24-14
17-21
23-15
29-27
31-28
24-19
18-20
20-16
21-21
13-18
18-10
167.3Avg total
87.4Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.079.0159.0+1.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.079.0159.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.479.9167.3+7.570%
Last 5 (5)89.879.4169.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)88.083.0171.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (6)81.581.0162.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (22)89.174.9164.0+14.373%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
83avg 74
A09/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
no box
A12/11
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 74
H15/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
73-74
73
74
-1
68avg 74
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 74
H19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
94avg 74
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 74
A26/11
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
85avg 74
H30/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
87avg 74
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
65avg 74
A08/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
25-29
19-25
27-22
20-20
23-12
14-26
18-17
25-32
28-19
17-12
24-22
18-25
25-16
18-21
12-12
20-11
19-16
29-32
24-25
22-18
15-22
14-20
23-14
22-21
18-18
21-13
24-29
20-28
24-18
26-20
20-10
22-25
22-14
11-13
21-24
8-24
21-17
15-13
25-23
171.0Avg total
86.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)101.073.0174.0+28.0100%
Season at home (1)101.073.0174.0+28.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.884.2171.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)87.283.6170.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.284.4155.6-13.20%
vs Similar (11)84.484.8169.2-0.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.475.3159.7+9.177%
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
BonnBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/10
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H01/11
Champions League
Ulm
#5
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A05/11
BBL
Breogan
#29
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H08/11
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A19/11
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/11
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H26/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A03/12
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A06/12
Champions League
84.6Avg total
43.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.880.5+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.334.876.1+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)44.341.485.6+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.784.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.040.889.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)32.043.075.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (6)40.739.780.3+1.050%-
vs Weaker (22)44.136.780.9+7.473%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A12/11
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H15/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/11
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A08/12
Euroleague
81.8Avg total
41.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.181.7+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.340.285.5+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.240.178.3-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.281.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.079.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.641.675.2-8.00%-
vs Similar (11)41.042.583.5-1.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.038.082.0+6.069%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.321.0
57.9%
53.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.8
38.7%
32.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.612.3
74.1%
74.1%12.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.3
55.8%
53.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
32.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.8
80.0%
74.1%12.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWWLWWWLLW
Bayern
LWWWWWLWLL
#10
League position
#1
+11.8
Net rating
+3.1
118.9
Offensive rating
115.7
107.1
Defensive rating
112.6
57.9%
Effective FG%
55.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.1%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.7%
3-point %
37.2%
58.5%
Assist %
52.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 115.7Defence107.1 · 112.6Shooting57.9% · 55.8%3-point %38.7% · 37.2%Ball care17.3% · 17.1%Off. rebounds33.6% · 33.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bonn   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bonn wins
4
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Bonn v Bayern88-83 OT
05/02/23Bayern v Bonn73-77
11/12/22Bonn v Bayern78-68
08/06/22Bonn v Bayern74-87
06/06/22Bayern v Bonn80-83
04/06/22Bayern v Bonn84-86
30/05/22Bonn v Bayern81-82
28/05/22Bonn v Bayern68-80
08/03/22Bonn v Bayern96-61
16/01/22Bayern v Bonn100-81
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AHapoel Holon72-65
03/12/23ABasketball Braunschweig102-94
26/11/23HHeidelberg92-69
21/11/23HBursaspor82-92
19/11/23AGottingen101-77
12/11/23HBayern88-83 OT
08/11/23HBreogan86-71
05/11/23AUlm87-105
01/11/23HHapoel Holon74-75
29/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins90-68
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23AOlympiacos69-77
05/12/23HOlimpia Milano91-84 OT
30/11/23HVirtus Bologna90-76
26/11/23AVechta85-81
23/11/23ALyon-Villeurbanne101-100 OT
19/11/23HLudwigsburg92-84
17/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas73-74
15/11/23HPartizan94-85
12/11/23ABonn83-88 OT
09/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential+1.0-+1.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Bayern
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game101.0101.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+28.0+28.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern110100%101.073.0+28.0
2 Alba Berlin220100%90.570.5+20.0
3 Bamberg330100%82.072.7+9.3
4 Ulm220100%81.575.0+6.5
5 Bonn110100%80.079.0+1.0
6 Vechta32167%90.787.7+3.0
7 Syntainics MBC32167%83.084.0-1.0
8 Chemnitz21150%83.575.5+8.0
9 Wurzburg21150%82.578.5+4.0
10 Heidelberg21150%91.590.0+1.5
11 Basketball Braunschweig21150%74.580.0-5.5
12 Hamburg21150%76.082.5-6.5
13 Giessen21150%71.581.0-9.5
14 Ludwigsburg1010%79.080.0-1.0
15 Gottingen1010%99.0101.0-2.0
16 Dresden1010%85.088.0-3.0
17 Crailsheim Merlins1010%73.079.0-6.0
18 Bayreuth1010%82.089.0-7.0
19 Frankfurt1010%73.081.0-8.0
20 Rostock1010%76.084.0-8.0
21 Artland1010%67.078.0-11.0
22 PS Karlsruhe1010%81.093.0-12.0
23 Tubingen1010%64.078.0-14.0
24 Oldenburg1010%73.0101.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn1924152078
Bayern2225251486
← all games of the day
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