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Bonn vs Wurzburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 12 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game81.8
GermanyBBLRound 29· Telekom Dome
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bonn v Wurzburg
12 Apr 2027
BON v WUR
upcoming
27 May 2026
BON66
WUR63
18 May 2026
BON88
WUR81
16 May 2026
BON54
WUR69
27 Sep 2025
BON61
WUR72
26 Dec 2024
BON81
WUR90
05 May 2024
BON91
WUR100
11 Mar 2023
BON94
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A01/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H04/06
BBL
Hamburg
#18
W
96-72
96
72
+24
H19/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
80-106
80
106
-26
A25/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#4
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#23
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#14
W
115-68
115
68
+47
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A24/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
12-27
27-20
15-21
17-19
8-18
21-24
11-16
25-15
20-19
29-20
22-18
17-26
21-26
19-26
23-28
21-16
19-21
16-16
21-19
17-21
19-15
19-21
21-26
25-16
18-16
19-16
16-26
28-11
26-22
32-16
29-19
22-19
18-17
14-19
20-21
14-17
15-26
25-19
14-22
159.3Avg total
79.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.380.8166.2+4.550%
Season at home (3)96.070.7166.7+25.3100%
Season away (3)74.791.0165.7-16.30%
Last 10 (10)79.080.3159.3-1.340%
Last 5 (5)82.277.0159.2+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.789.4163.1-15.70%
vs Similar (14)78.278.8157.0-0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)95.977.3173.2+18.689%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#32
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H14/09
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H25/09
BBL
Ulm
#13
W
90-67
90
67
+23
A27/09
BBL
Bonn
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H02/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#14
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
L
62-101
62
101
-39
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#21
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#46
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#17
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#15
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
18-24
15-22
21-10
12-21
21-19
21-13
14-24
16-24
25-9
21-22
28-12
21-17
15-19
21-19
26-21
17-22
23-18
19-15
6-18
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
157.1Avg total
79.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.281.8162.0-1.660%
Season at home (3)83.080.3163.3+2.767%
Season away (2)76.084.0160.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)79.078.1157.1+0.950%
Last 5 (5)82.282.8165.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.685.8161.4-10.220%
vs Similar (16)80.577.0157.5+3.556%
vs Weaker (8)80.576.2156.8+4.262%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
BonnWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A01/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H04/06
BBL
Hamburg
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H19/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A25/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#23
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#14
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A24/10
BBL
76.7Avg total
37.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.378.5+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.536.578.1+5.067%-
Last 30 away (15)37.042.079.0-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.076.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.076.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.143.077.1-8.929%-
vs Similar (14)37.138.875.9-1.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.637.183.7+9.489%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#32
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/09
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H25/09
BBL
Ulm
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/09
BBL
Bonn
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#21
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#46
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#17
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
78.9Avg total
40.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.177.8+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.038.480.4+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)37.237.774.9-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.578.9+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.882.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.839.878.6-1.040%-
vs Similar (16)40.837.478.2+3.462%-
vs Weaker (8)38.637.976.5+0.862%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.2
50.9%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.0
34.4%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.413.6
70.1%
73.8%13.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.0
46.0%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.5
32.6%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
73.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
LLWWLWLWLL
Wurzburg
WWWLLLWWLL
#9
League position
#7
-0.9
Net rating
+1.3
93.1
Offensive rating
90.9
94.1
Defensive rating
89.6
51.2%
Effective FG%
47.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.4%
3-point %
32.6%
58.2%
Assist %
56.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.1 · 90.9Defence94.1 · 89.6Shooting51.2% · 47.3%3-point %34.4% · 32.6%Ball care15.0% · 13.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Bonn   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bonn wins
6
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
02/10/26Wurzburg v Bonn83-76
27/05/26Bonn v Wurzburg66-63
24/05/26Wurzburg v Bonn82-70
22/05/26Wurzburg v Bonn76-80
18/05/26Bonn v Wurzburg88-81
16/05/26Bonn v Wurzburg54-69
14/03/26Wurzburg v Bonn81-87
27/09/25Bonn v Wurzburg61-72
26/04/25Wurzburg v Bonn83-75
26/12/24Bonn v Wurzburg81-90
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ALudwigsburg68-84
21/10/26AJoventut Badalona74-76
09/10/26HJena115-68
07/10/26HFC Porto78-74
02/10/26AWurzburg76-83
27/09/26HSyntainics MBC77-72
25/09/26ATrier80-106
19/09/26HHamburg96-72
04/06/26HBayern57-77
01/06/26ABayern69-91
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101
07/10/26AAEK Larnaca65-73
02/10/26HBonn83-76
27/09/26AUlm90-67
25/09/26HOldenburg68-77
14/09/26HManchester Basketball73-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game85.396.074.7
Allowed / game80.870.791.0
Point differential+4.5+25.3-16.3
Avg total166.2166.7165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game80.283.076.0
Allowed / game81.880.384.0
Point differential-1.6+2.7-8.0
Avg total162.0163.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern550100%99.870.6+29.2
2 Trier65183%99.587.3+12.2
3 Frankfurt54180%90.284.6+5.6
4 Syntainics MBC64267%84.579.8+4.7
5 Ludwigsburg64267%88.786.7+2.0
6 Basketball Braunschweig53260%92.694.2-1.6
7 Wurzburg53260%80.281.8-1.6
8 Rostock63350%92.084.2+7.8
9 Bonn63350%85.380.8+4.5
10 Bamberg63350%88.086.0+2.0
11 Alba Berlin63350%83.389.2-5.8
12 Oldenburg63350%76.083.8-7.8
13 Ulm62433%82.088.2-6.2
14 Jena62433%76.388.3-12.0
15 Phoenix Hagen72529%85.790.4-4.7
16 Vechta72529%84.490.9-6.4
17 Chemnitz61517%85.590.5-5.0
18 Hamburg61517%79.889.5-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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