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Bonn vs Wurzburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 12 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.7/10
Above normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game83.2
GermanyBBLRound 29· Telekom Dome
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bonn v Wurzburg
12 Apr 2027
BON v WUR
upcoming
27 May 2026
BON66
WUR63
18 May 2026
BON88
WUR81
16 May 2026
BON54
WUR69
27 Sep 2025
BON61
WUR72
26 Dec 2024
BON81
WUR90
05 May 2024
BON91
WUR100
11 Mar 2023
BON94
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 72
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 72
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
78-74
78
74
+4
75avg 72
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
115-68
115
68
+47
116avg 72
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 72
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 72
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 72
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
101-89
101
89
+12
no box
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
19-21
16-16
21-19
17-21
19-15
19-21
21-26
25-16
18-16
19-16
16-26
28-11
26-22
32-16
29-19
22-19
18-17
14-19
20-21
14-17
15-26
25-19
14-22
21-26
21-19
24-20
29-23
27-25
21-23
27-23
26-18
22-35
26-17
27-24
22-11
21-25
21-12
19-22
24-12
165.8Avg total
86.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.781.2168.9+6.467%
Season at home (5)96.077.4173.4+18.6100%
Season away (4)77.286.0163.2-8.825%
Last 10 (10)86.679.2165.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)89.283.8173.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.789.4163.1-15.70%
vs Similar (10)75.476.4151.8-1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.879.4172.2+13.585%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 69
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 69
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 69
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 69
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 69
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 69
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
21-26
18-23
7-33
27-12
12-24
23-22
26-17
17-13
17-24
23-33
16-24
28-10
168.1Avg total
85.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.883.2165.0-1.550%
Season at home (4)80.583.8164.2-3.250%
Season away (4)83.082.8165.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.582.6168.1+2.960%
Last 5 (5)88.882.4171.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.890.2165.0-15.525%
vs Similar (13)82.176.1158.2+6.062%
vs Weaker (12)82.577.8160.3+4.758%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
BonnWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H07/11
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/11
BBL
82.1Avg total
42.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.778.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.380.1+3.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.641.177.7-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.982.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.086.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.143.077.1-8.929%-
vs Similar (10)35.037.672.6-2.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.139.684.7+5.562%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A14/11
BBL
85.8Avg total
44.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.579.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.281.6+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.737.876.5+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.585.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%-
vs Similar (13)41.036.277.2+4.869%-
vs Weaker (12)41.240.281.4+1.150%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.5
51.0%
55.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.1
37.5%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
73.4%14.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
73.4%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWWWLLWWLW
Wurzburg
LWLWWWWWLL
#4
League position
#9
+2.5
Net rating
+4.1
96.4
Offensive rating
92.6
93.9
Defensive rating
88.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
49.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.5%
3-point %
33.1%
59.8%
Assist %
54.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 92.6Defence93.9 · 88.5Shooting53.2% · 49.0%3-point %37.5% · 33.1%Ball care15.5% · 14.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bonn   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bonn wins
6
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
02/10/26Wurzburg v Bonn83-76
27/05/26Bonn v Wurzburg66-63
24/05/26Wurzburg v Bonn82-70
22/05/26Wurzburg v Bonn76-80
18/05/26Bonn v Wurzburg88-81
16/05/26Bonn v Wurzburg54-69
14/03/26Wurzburg v Bonn81-87
27/09/25Bonn v Wurzburg61-72
26/04/25Wurzburg v Bonn83-75
26/12/24Bonn v Wurzburg81-90
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABamberg85-71
07/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig97-87
04/11/26HBnei Herzliya101-89
01/11/26HAlba Berlin95-88
24/10/26ALudwigsburg68-84
21/10/26AJoventut Badalona74-76
09/10/26HJena115-68
07/10/26HFC Porto78-74
02/10/26AWurzburg76-83
27/09/26HSyntainics MBC77-72
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHamburg84-91
11/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-76
08/11/26HBayern73-94
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game87.796.077.2
Allowed / game81.277.486.0
Point differential+6.4+18.6-8.8
Avg total168.9173.4163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.880.583.0
Allowed / game83.283.882.8
Point differential-1.5-3.2+0.2
Avg total165.0164.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%95.469.1+26.3
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Syntainics MBC96367%83.881.3+2.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Chemnitz93633%89.888.8+1.0
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Basketball Braunschweig93633%85.298.1-12.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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