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Bonn vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-100
23-22 21-30 20-22 27-26
Position#7
Record19-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#4
Record22-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game79.7
GermanyBBLRound 32· Telekom Dome
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bonn v Wurzburg
12 Apr 2027
BON v WUR
upcoming
27 May 2026
BON66
WUR63
18 May 2026
BON88
WUR81
16 May 2026
BON54
WUR69
27 Sep 2025
BON61
WUR72
26 Dec 2024
BON81
WUR90
05 May 2024
BON91
WUR100
11 Mar 2023
BON94
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
W
100-85
100
85
+15
88avg 79
H26/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 79
H30/03
BBL
Peristeri
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 79
H03/04
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 79
A06/04
BBL
Peristeri
#15
L
62-90
62
90
-28
52avg 79
A10/04
Champions League
Gottingen
#14
W
95-85
95
85
+10
85avg 79
H14/04
BBL
Peristeri
#15
L
77-89
77
89
-12
60avg 79
H16/04
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
89-98
89
98
-9
84avg 79
A20/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
112-89
112
89
+23
83avg 79
H27/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 79
A30/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-22
16-22
20-19
25-22
17-15
24-23
26-22
13-17
22-24
23-20
28-16
16-18
15-16
18-21
18-20
15-23
14-19
20-27
14-23
14-21
28-26
23-24
19-18
25-17
17-27
26-24
19-16
15-22
20-25
19-24
20-23
30-26
27-24
31-20
26-23
28-22
25-19
21-22
19-21
24-17
170.9Avg total
85.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)90.285.8176.0+4.461%
Season at home (15)91.182.8173.9+8.373%
Season away (16)89.388.6177.9+0.850%
Last 10 (10)85.985.0170.9+0.960%
Last 5 (5)92.488.0180.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.887.5165.2-9.80%
vs Similar ◀ (17)87.084.3171.3+2.771%
vs Weaker (9)93.887.7181.4+6.167%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
W
96-76
96
76
+20
94avg 74
A09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
85-60
85
60
+25
84avg 74
H13/03
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
96-76
96
76
+20
94avg 74
H17/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 74
A23/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 74
H30/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
67avg 74
A07/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
68avg 74
H14/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
86-95
86
95
-9
68avg 74
H20/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 74
A28/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
107-83
107
83
+24
100avg 74
H30/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
24-18
18-13
23-28
19-9
17-17
28-16
21-18
21-15
26-23
18-19
31-19
13-22
33-26
9-22
24-17
26-17
25-25
22-13
23-26
16-21
14-13
24-16
21-17
17-20
19-25
23-20
23-25
26-21
17-22
21-21
22-31
30-26
24-21
17-22
18-18
25-23
28-25
31-15
23-20
169.3Avg total
89.1Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.879.7166.5+7.171%
Season at home (16)86.278.0164.2+8.269%
Season away (15)87.381.5168.8+5.973%
Last 10 (10)89.180.2169.3+8.970%
Last 5 (5)87.884.4172.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.382.3153.7-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.381.9167.2+3.464%
vs Weaker (16)91.478.9170.2+12.588%
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
BonnWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H26/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/03
BBL
Peristeri
#15
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H03/04
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/04
BBL
Peristeri
#15
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A10/04
Champions League
Gottingen
#14
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H14/04
BBL
Peristeri
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H16/04
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A20/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H27/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A30/04
BBL
88.9Avg total
44.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.888.7-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.743.289.9+3.579%-
Last 30 away (16)41.646.187.7-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.488.9+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.094.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.043.881.8-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.043.886.8-0.853%-
vs Weaker (9)48.447.095.4+1.467%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H13/03
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A07/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A28/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/04
BBL
85.7Avg total
45.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.281.2+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.038.181.1+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.481.3+0.636%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.685.7+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.486.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.339.776.0-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.539.982.4+2.545%-
vs Weaker (16)42.838.681.4+4.262%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.7
50.2%
54.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.717.6
81.1%
76.0%17.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.1
52.3%
54.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.512.0
40.7%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
76.0%16.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWLLWLLWWW
Wurzburg
WWLLWWLWWW
#7
League position
#4
+1.5
Net rating
+13.0
114.8
Offensive rating
120.6
113.3
Defensive rating
107.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
56.3%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.5%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.6%
3-point %
40.7%
55.8%
Assist %
54.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 120.6Defence113.3 · 107.6Shooting51.9% · 56.3%3-point %36.6% · 40.7%Ball care14.5% · 14.5%Off. rebounds31.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Bonn   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bonn wins
1
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Wurzburg v Bonn97-78
11/03/23Bonn v Wurzburg94-73
01/10/22Wurzburg v Bonn71-96
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/24ABamberg89-79
27/04/24HRostock112-89
20/04/24ACrailsheim Merlins89-98
16/04/24HPeristeri77-89
14/04/24HGottingen95-85
10/04/24APeristeri62-90
06/04/24AChemnitz66-80
03/04/24HPeristeri89-78
30/03/24HVechta80-77
26/03/24HOldenburg100-85
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/24HSyntainics MBC107-83
28/04/24AVechta89-87
20/04/24HRostock86-95
14/04/24HBayern82-90
07/04/24AGottingen75-67
30/03/24HTubingen96-81
23/03/24AUlm79-87
17/03/24HHamburg96-76
13/03/24HGottingen85-60
09/03/24AOldenburg96-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW61%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game90.291.189.3
Allowed / game85.882.888.6
Point differential+4.4+8.3+0.8
Avg total176.0173.9177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%53%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%13%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %71%69%73%
Points / game86.886.287.3
Allowed / game79.778.081.5
Point differential+7.1+8.2+5.9
Avg total166.5164.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3126584%88.776.5+12.2
2 Alba Berlin3124777%90.282.0+8.2
3 Chemnitz3224875%89.379.6+9.8
4 Wurzburg3122971%86.879.7+7.1
5 Ulm32221069%90.984.0+6.8
6 Vechta32201262%88.782.4+6.3
7 Bonn31191261%90.285.8+4.4
8 Ludwigsburg32181456%88.682.7+5.9
9 Oldenburg32171553%85.483.6+1.8
10 Hamburg32151747%85.687.1-1.6
11 Basketball Braunschweig32151747%82.484.7-2.3
12 Bamberg32141844%88.590.1-1.6
13 Gottingen32102231%85.893.0-7.2
14 Syntainics MBC32102231%85.893.3-7.4
15 Rostock3292328%87.793.1-5.4
16 Heidelberg3282425%82.593.7-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins3272522%81.192.9-11.9
18 Tubingen3262619%82.595.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2321202791
Wurzburg22302226100
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