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Borac Mozzart vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 97-67
22-19 14-13 36-9 25-26
Position#13
Record8-20
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game98.5
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Final
Domestic2022
Meetings · Borac Mozzart v Helios Domzale
02 May 2023
BOR97
HDO67
25 Apr 2023
BOR96
HDO78
10 Oct 2018
BOR81
HDO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Borac Mozzart winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helios Domzale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Borac MozzartLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMozzart
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A16/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#8
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 72
H06/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
L
99-104
99
104
-5
96avg 72
A12/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
L
80-86
80
86
-6
65avg 72
H19/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
105-84
105
84
+21
108avg 72
H25/03
ABA League
Split
#10
L
99-113
99
113
-14
no box
A31/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 72
H09/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
A15/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
W
96-78
96
78
+18
86avg 72
H25/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
L
101-107
101
107
-6
86avg 72
A28/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
12-18
17-29
16-25
24-25
27-21
16-18
25-26
27-31
28-22
26-29
18-22
28-17
16-18
16-31
20-20
29-19
28-16
30-30
18-19
20-36
28-26
23-35
28-16
17-19
17-23
16-22
32-23
21-22
21-20
28-24
17-19
28-19
29-23
19-24
20-12
23-19
28-29
23-28
27-31
182.8Avg total
90.5Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.790.0173.8-6.329%
Season at home (14)84.185.2169.4-1.143%
Season away (14)83.394.9178.1-11.614%
Last 10 (10)90.592.3182.8-1.840%
Last 5 (5)93.094.0187.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.192.7169.8-15.610%
vs Similar (15)85.588.0173.5-2.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)91.289.0180.2+2.225%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H18/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
H25/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#8
W
101-47
101
47
+54
no box
H12/04
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H14/04
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
no box
H16/04
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H19/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
A22/04
Liga Nova KBM
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
78-96
78
96
-18
77avg 92
A25/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
107-101
107
101
+6
107avg 92
H28/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
22-9
22-20
16-22
17-15
21-17
16-23
19-20
28-20
20-20
17-18
29-15
24-12
32-12
28-17
17-6
19-20
32-14
28-21
12-24
17-14
18-24
14-15
29-25
19-13
21-22
18-19
28-27
22-26
22-10
19-22
19-11
19-28
23-29
24-19
12-20
19-23
29-28
28-23
31-27
165.1Avg total
87.9Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.598.5191.0-6.050%
Season at home (1)107.0101.0208.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)78.096.0174.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)87.977.2165.1+10.770%
Last 5 (5)87.086.0173.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.590.0175.5-4.550%
vs Similar (2)76.578.0154.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (24)85.171.0156.1+14.179%
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
Borac MozzartHelios Domzale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Borac MozzartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A16/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H06/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A12/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H19/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H25/03
ABA League
Split
#10
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A31/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A15/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H25/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A28/04
ABA League
91.0Avg total
47.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.385.9-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.584.4+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.347.187.4-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)47.044.091.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.293.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.545.883.3-8.310%-
vs Similar (15)43.944.888.7-0.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.841.086.8+4.875%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H18/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#8
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H12/04
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/04
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/04
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H19/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A22/04
Liga Nova KBM
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A25/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H28/04
ABA League
82.2Avg total
44.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.279.3+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.935.278.1+7.676%-
Last 30 away (13)41.139.780.8+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)44.937.382.2+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.485.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.545.887.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (2)40.538.579.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker (24)42.335.678.0+6.775%-
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Borac Mozzarttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Mozzart: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.1
56.5%
55.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
35.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.921.1
81.5%
75.8%21.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.015.5
55.4%
55.6%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.514.0
49.1%
35.2%42.0
🏀 Free throws25.518.5
72.5%
75.8%18.5
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 02 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Borac Mozzart
LWWLLWLLWL
Helios Domzale
WLWWLWWWLW
#13
League position
#12
-2.7
Net rating
-7.8
119.0
Offensive rating
118.5
121.7
Defensive rating
126.3
54.3%
Effective FG%
64.6%
60.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
13.9%
Turnover %
22.2%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.45
34.0%
3-point %
49.1%
52.4%
Assist %
67.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.0 · 118.5Defence121.7 · 126.3Shooting54.3% · 64.6%3-point %34.0% · 49.1%Ball care13.9% · 22.2%Off. rebounds31.3% · 29.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Borac Mozzart   ■ Helios Domzale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Borac Mozzart wins
1
Helios Domzale wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/23AHelios Domzale101-107
25/04/23HHelios Domzale96-78
15/04/23ABuducnost87-85
09/04/23HCrvena zvezda82-87
31/03/23ASplit99-113
25/03/23HMZT Skopje105-84
19/03/23HMega Basket80-86
12/03/23AMornar Bar99-104
06/03/23HStudentski Centar92-90
16/02/23ACrvena zvezda64-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/23HBorac Mozzart107-101
25/04/23ABorac Mozzart78-96
22/04/23ATajfun Sentjur82-69
19/04/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek86-81
16/04/23HKK Krka Novo mesto82-83 OT
14/04/23HSiroki Brijeg91-79
12/04/23HPelister101-47
04/04/23ARogaska94-73
25/03/23HSencur73-75
18/03/23HZlatorog Lasko85-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Borac Mozzart
ABA League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeWLWLW43%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game83.784.183.3
Allowed / game90.085.294.9
Point differential-6.3-1.1-11.6
Avg total173.8169.4178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)44% (9)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Helios Domzale
ABA League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game92.5107.078.0
Allowed / game98.5101.096.0
Point differential-6.0+6.0-18.0
Avg total191.0208.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2624292%93.277.9+15.3
2 Crvena zvezda2724389%87.572.7+14.8
3 Buducnost2719870%87.377.9+9.4
4 Cedevita Olimpija2718967%84.979.4+5.4
5 FMP Beograd27141352%89.586.4+3.1
6 Helios Domzale21150%92.598.5-6.0
7 Mega Basket27121544%84.486.2-1.8
8 Igokea26111542%80.584.2-3.7
9 Studentski Centar26111542%84.288.5-4.3
10 Zadar27111641%85.386.4-1.1
11 Split26101638%82.586.4-4.0
12 Cibona2691735%79.789.9-10.2
13 Mornar Bar2681831%83.391.3-8.1
14 Borac Mozzart2882029%83.790.0-6.3
15 MZT Skopje2671927%80.389.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Borac Mozzart2214362597
Helios Domzale191392667
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