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Bosco vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 80-87
18-25 27-18 20-22 15-22
Position#13
Record6-15
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record18-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game80.6
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 22· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bosco v Samobor
22 Mar 2025
BOSC80
SAMO87
04 Mar 2022
BOSC78
SAMO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bosco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BoscoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosco
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
83-104
83
104
-21
67avg 62
A10/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
68-95
68
95
-27
57avg 62
H18/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
92-108
92
108
-16
87avg 62
H25/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
78-84
78
84
-6
73avg 62
A02/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
74-71
74
71
+3
72avg 62
H08/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
81-79
81
79
+2
72avg 62
A15/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
60avg 62
H25/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
72-74
72
74
-2
58avg 62
A01/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
65-57
65
57
+8
66avg 62
H08/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 62
A15/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
21-28
15-25
26-20
10-16
16-23
14-21
28-35
23-28
25-23
19-34
25-23
17-26
26-18
26-21
9-19
15-17
16-18
21-19
22-17
17-29
21-10
21-27
22-13
18-19
17-12
10-22
25-11
15-17
19-14
19-22
19-21
22-10
14-9
12-22
17-16
17-24
17-19
24-13
15-9
155.7Avg total
75.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.783.6157.2-9.929%
Season at home (10)71.979.1151.0-7.240%
Season away (11)75.387.6162.9-12.418%
Last 10 (10)75.680.1155.7-4.550%
Last 5 (5)72.267.8140.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)70.593.1163.6-22.617%
vs Similar (6)79.578.2157.7+1.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
W
96-88
96
88
+8
94avg 82
H15/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
100-80
100
80
+20
102avg 82
H19/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 82
H25/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
100-94
100
94
+6
98avg 82
A01/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
95-64
95
64
+31
89avg 82
H08/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
84avg 82
A16/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
68-66
68
66
+2
61avg 82
H23/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
82-70
82
70
+12
81avg 82
A01/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
90-95
90
95
-5
80avg 82
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 82
H16/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
35-17
22-30
16-22
22-24
25-24
28-7
25-25
29-16
22-21
14-15
19-27
23-24
26-17
23-23
28-30
23-20
22-13
32-17
18-14
22-22
31-31
19-21
16-20
18-18
15-18
19-12
16-18
25-19
18-19
18-9
21-23
22-30
19-21
22-18
27-26
25-14
35-25
16-23
19-21
171.1Avg total
89.8Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.780.6169.3+8.186%
Season at home (12)87.776.6164.2+11.192%
Season away (9)90.185.9176.0+4.278%
Last 10 (10)89.881.3171.1+8.580%
Last 5 (5)84.681.6166.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.782.3157.0-7.733%
vs Similar (6)92.590.7183.2+1.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.079.0168.0+9.990%
This opponent (Bosco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
BoscoSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BoscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A10/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H18/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H25/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H08/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H25/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A01/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H08/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/03
Prva Liga
75.8Avg total
36.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.545.080.5-9.517%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.542.579.0-6.021%-
Last 30 away (16)34.647.281.9-12.612%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.175.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.146.381.4-11.212%-
vs Similar (6)37.240.077.2-2.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H15/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H25/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A01/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H08/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A16/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H23/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A01/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H16/03
Prva Liga
89.2Avg total
48.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.042.087.9+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.139.885.9+6.265%-
Last 30 away (13)45.844.890.6+1.146%-
Last 10 (10)48.041.289.2+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.043.489.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.343.083.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (6)48.242.290.3+6.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.441.587.9+4.960%-
This opponent (Bosco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boscotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bosco: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.8
52.4%
52.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.0
30.0%
33.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
70.4%13.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.224.5
59.5%
52.0%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.4
32.8%
33.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.2
73.5%
70.4%12.2
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bosco
WWLWWWLLLL
Samobor
WLWWLWWWWW
#13
League position
#1
-5.7
Net rating
+12.2
98.9
Offensive rating
114.4
104.6
Defensive rating
102.2
50.0%
Effective FG%
55.2%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.0%
3-point %
32.8%
51.4%
Assist %
62.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 114.4Defence104.6 · 102.2Shooting50.0% · 55.2%3-point %30.0% · 32.8%Ball care18.2% · 14.8%Off. rebounds22.6% · 28.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Bosco   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bosco wins
1
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
05/12/24Samobor v Bosco84-62
04/03/22Bosco v Samobor78-64
04/12/21Samobor v Bosco67-88
Boscolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25AOmis73-65
08/03/25HSonik Puntamika65-57
01/03/25ACrikvenica72-74
25/02/25HMladost70-64
15/02/25AKK Zagreb81-79
08/02/25HHermes74-71
02/02/25ADakovo78-84
25/01/25HMarsonia92-108
18/01/25HJazine68-95
10/01/25ASkrljevo83-104
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HKastela95-83
08/03/25HOmis90-95
01/03/25ASonik Puntamika82-70
23/02/25HCrikvenica68-66
16/02/25AMladost88-94
08/02/25HKK Zagreb95-64
01/02/25AHermes100-94
25/01/25HDakovo84-79
19/01/25HMarsonia100-80
15/01/25HSkrljevo96-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bosco
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW29%
HomeLLWWW40%
AwayLLWLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%40%18%
Points / game73.771.975.3
Allowed / game83.679.187.6
Point differential-9.9-7.2-12.4
Avg total157.2151.0162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW86%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayLWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %86%92%78%
Points / game88.787.790.1
Allowed / game80.676.685.9
Point differential+8.1+11.1+4.2
Avg total169.3164.2176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2118386%88.780.6+8.1
2 Jazine2115671%91.981.9+10.0
3 Skrljevo2115671%90.881.0+9.9
4 Mladost2115671%82.777.0+5.7
5 Kastela2114767%86.173.6+12.5
6 Marsonia2112957%85.184.0+1.0
7 Gorica22111150%79.581.2-1.7
8 KK Zagreb21101148%78.077.4+0.6
9 Sonik Puntamika2191243%73.174.0-0.8
10 Omis2281436%75.678.6-3.0
11 Bosco2161529%73.783.6-9.9
12 Crikvenica2161529%66.977.5-10.6
13 Dakovo2151624%76.687.0-10.4
14 Hermes2141719%77.388.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bosco1827201580
Samobor2518222287
← all games of the day
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