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Samobor vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-64
23-20 22-13 32-17 18-14
Position#1
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game81.3
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#8
Record8-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game73.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 16· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2024-25
Meetings · Samobor v KK Zagreb
08 Feb 2025
SAMO95
KK Z64
25 Feb 2024
SAMO69
KK Z74
22 Oct 2022
SAMO82
KK Z100
12 Apr 2022
SAMO55
KK Z67
08 Jan 2022
SAMO84
KK Z69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
96-84
96
84
+12
91avg 82
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
72-102
72
102
-30
56avg 82
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
84-62
84
62
+22
86avg 82
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 82
H13/12
Prva Liga
Zadar
#5
L
55-87
55
87
-32
39avg 82
H16/12
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
100-94
100
94
+6
102avg 82
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
96-88
96
88
+8
94avg 82
H15/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
100-80
100
80
+20
102avg 82
H19/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 82
H25/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
100-94
100
94
+6
98avg 82
A01/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-10
24-22
22-19
21-33
20-20
21-23
18-26
13-33
19-16
17-22
17-9
31-15
25-9
20-23
19-10
13-23
22-20
19-26
6-26
8-15
22-27
28-17
23-18
27-32
23-19
35-17
22-30
16-22
22-24
25-24
28-7
25-25
29-16
22-21
14-15
19-27
23-24
26-17
23-23
28-30
169.9Avg total
86.4Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.781.3171.0+8.393%
Season at home (8)88.076.4164.4+11.6100%
Season away (7)91.687.0178.6+4.686%
Last 10 (10)86.483.5169.9+2.980%
Last 5 (5)96.087.0183.0+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.280.2153.5-7.025%
vs Similar (7)89.088.1177.1+0.986%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)92.579.8172.3+12.7100%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
75-91
75
91
-16
69avg 70
A16/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
83-64
83
64
+19
81avg 70
H27/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 70
A01/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 70
H07/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 70
A15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
79-66
79
66
+13
70avg 70
H12/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 70
H15/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
63-76
63
76
-13
55avg 70
A18/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
71-72 OT
71
72
-1
65avg 70
A26/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
86-67
86
67
+19
83avg 70
H01/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
16-16
15-37
25-13
23-9
16-21
23-14
21-20
17-11
20-20
18-33
21-13
22-17
21-15
30-19
20-22
18-11
21-18
21-24
19-22
18-20
21-14
21-20
19-12
27-17
13-22
16-16
15-14
16-20
14-18
20-20
13-18
19-15
11-18
19-15
12-13
23-22
18-13
19-19
26-13
150.6Avg total
77.6Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.873.8149.6+2.053%
Season at home (8)81.472.6154.0+8.875%
Season away (7)69.475.1144.6-5.729%
Last 10 (10)77.673.0150.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)74.070.0144.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.080.2157.2-3.240%
vs Similar (11)73.972.8146.7+1.136%
vs Weaker (14)78.870.0148.8+8.879%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
SamoborKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H13/12
Prva Liga
Zadar
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H16/12
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H15/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H25/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A01/02
Prva Liga
86.8Avg total
47.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.641.888.3+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.940.288.1+7.771%-
Last 30 away (13)44.843.888.7+1.046%-
Last 10 (10)47.139.786.8+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)51.041.292.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.238.880.0+2.550%-
vs Similar (7)44.641.986.4+2.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)48.842.291.0+6.767%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A16/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H27/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A01/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H12/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H15/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A18/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A26/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/02
Prva Liga
71.5Avg total
37.3Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.936.173.0+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.336.974.2+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)36.435.471.8+1.053%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.271.5+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.871.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.638.679.2+2.060%-
vs Similar (11)33.735.068.7-1.336%-
vs Weaker (14)38.036.174.1+1.964%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.1
55.3%
52.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.7
35.5%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.810.8
73.0%
70.4%10.8
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
52.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.8%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.510.8
58.4%
70.4%10.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWWWWLWWLW
KK Zagreb
WLLWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#8
+4.6
Net rating
+5.6
109.5
Offensive rating
105.4
104.9
Defensive rating
99.7
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
20.7%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
37.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.5%
3-point %
32.8%
64.3%
Assist %
57.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 105.4Defence104.9 · 99.7Shooting54.5% · 51.6%3-point %35.5% · 32.8%Ball care17.5% · 20.7%Off. rebounds28.4% · 37.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Samobor   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Samobor wins
5
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
27/10/24KK Zagreb v Samobor87-92
25/02/24Samobor v KK Zagreb69-74
19/11/23KK Zagreb v Samobor82-66
22/01/23KK Zagreb v Samobor76-59
22/10/22Samobor v KK Zagreb82-100
12/04/22Samobor v KK Zagreb55-67
20/03/22KK Zagreb v Samobor58-67
08/01/22Samobor v KK Zagreb84-69
10/10/21KK Zagreb v Samobor66-78
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AHermes100-94
25/01/25HDakovo84-79
19/01/25HMarsonia100-80
15/01/25HSkrljevo96-88
11/01/25AJazine100-94
16/12/24HZadar55-87
13/12/24HGorica77-65
05/12/24HBosco84-62
01/12/24AKastela72-102
23/11/24AOmis96-84
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HOmis86-67
26/01/25ASonik Puntamika71-72 OT
18/01/25ACrikvenica63-76
15/01/25HKastela71-69
12/01/25HMladost79-66
15/12/24AHermes79-75
07/12/24HDakovo93-73
01/12/24AMarsonia76-77
27/11/24HJazine83-64
16/11/24ASkrljevo75-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game89.788.091.6
Allowed / game81.376.487.0
Point differential+8.3+11.6+4.6
Avg total171.0164.4178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%75%29%
Points / game75.881.469.4
Allowed / game73.872.675.1
Point differential+2.0+8.8-5.7
Avg total149.6154.0144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1514193%89.781.3+8.3
2 Jazine1612475%94.683.2+11.4
3 Mladost1612475%83.876.3+7.4
4 Kastela1611569%85.972.1+13.8
5 Marsonia1510567%87.682.0+5.6
6 Skrljevo159660%89.181.1+8.1
7 KK Zagreb158753%75.873.8+2.0
8 Gorica158753%80.885.3-4.5
9 Sonik Puntamika156940%74.074.3-0.3
10 Omis1661038%75.778.4-2.7
11 Dakovo1541127%78.586.1-7.6
12 Crikvenica1541127%66.078.6-12.6
13 Bosco1621412%74.188.5-14.4
14 Hermes1621412%77.291.9-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2322321895
KK Zagreb2013171464
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