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Hermes vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-100
24-23 17-26 23-23 30-28
Position#14
Record2-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game92.6
Hermes
Croatia
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record13-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game80.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 15· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hermes v Samobor
01 Feb 2025
HERM94
SAMO100
24 Jan 2024
HERM85
SAMO91
19 Mar 2023
HERM95
SAMO76
13 Nov 2022
HERM92
SAMO79
28 Nov 2021
HERM119
SAMO87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
70-86
70
86
-16
66avg 75
H10/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
80-129
80
129
-49
70avg 75
A17/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
71-93
71
93
-22
66avg 75
H23/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
80-101
80
101
-21
77avg 75
A30/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
64-127
64
127
-63
46avg 75
A07/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 75
H15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 75
A22/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 75
H11/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
80-94
80
94
-14
74avg 75
A19/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
65avg 75
A25/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
14-19
12-25
19-21
8-30
16-34
23-29
33-36
22-16
16-27
15-28
18-22
20-22
12-14
33-35
15-30
19-38
12-29
11-29
22-31
11-18
18-21
24-21
22-19
23-21
15-26
22-14
20-28
17-22
20-13
15-20
16-19
20-32
21-13
19-29
20-20
19-22
15-20
18-19
13-18
168.4Avg total
73.3Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.592.6169.1-16.114%
Season at home (6)77.283.2160.3-6.033%
Season away (8)76.099.6175.6-23.60%
Last 10 (10)73.395.1168.4-21.80%
Last 5 (5)73.683.0156.6-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.593.7172.2-15.218%
vs Similar (6)86.389.5175.8-3.233%
vs Weaker (7)94.186.7180.9+7.457%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
73avg 82
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
96-84
96
84
+12
91avg 82
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
72-102
72
102
-30
56avg 82
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
84-62
84
62
+22
86avg 82
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 82
H13/12
Prva Liga
Zadar
#5
L
55-87
55
87
-32
39avg 82
H16/12
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
100-94
100
94
+6
102avg 82
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
96-88
96
88
+8
94avg 82
H15/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
100-80
100
80
+20
102avg 82
H19/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 82
H25/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
30-14
18-19
20-14
29-10
24-22
22-19
21-33
20-20
21-23
18-26
13-33
19-16
17-22
17-9
31-15
25-9
20-23
19-10
13-23
22-20
19-26
6-26
8-15
22-27
28-17
23-18
27-32
23-19
35-17
22-30
16-22
22-24
25-24
28-7
25-25
29-16
22-21
14-15
19-27
165.3Avg total
84.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.980.4169.4+8.593%
Season at home (8)88.076.4164.4+11.6100%
Season away (6)90.285.8176.0+4.383%
Last 10 (10)84.580.8165.3+3.780%
Last 5 (5)87.085.6172.6+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.081.4156.4-6.420%
vs Similar (7)89.088.1177.1+0.986%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)92.179.0171.1+13.1100%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -4.6-4.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -4.6-4.6
HermesSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H10/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
24-64
24
64
-40
A17/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
31-67
31
67
-36
A07/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A22/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H11/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A19/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/01
Prva Liga
80.1Avg total
34.3Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.586.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.242.786.9+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.046.386.3-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)34.345.880.1-11.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.677.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.948.287.1-9.412%-
vs Similar (6)43.541.084.5+2.567%-
vs Weaker (7)48.738.687.3+10.186%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H13/12
Prva Liga
Zadar
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H16/12
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H15/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H25/01
Prva Liga
85.5Avg total
46.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.441.688.0+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)47.639.987.6+7.772%-
Last 30 away (12)44.544.188.6+0.442%-
Last 10 (10)46.539.085.5+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)49.442.291.6+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.638.279.8+3.460%-
vs Similar (7)44.641.986.4+2.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)48.842.291.1+6.665%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.5
51.8%
52.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.5
33.7%
33.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws13.28.7
65.9%
70.4%8.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.3
55.7%
52.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.2
33.5%
33.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.010.2
72.9%
70.4%10.2
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
LLLLLLLLLL
Samobor
WWWWLWWLWW
#14
League position
#1
-30.4
Net rating
+6.2
98.8
Offensive rating
108.3
129.2
Defensive rating
102.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
53.5%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
20.2%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.20
33.7%
3-point %
33.5%
68.9%
Assist %
61.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 108.3Defence129.2 · 102.2Shooting51.2% · 53.5%3-point %33.7% · 33.5%Ball care20.2% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.7% · 29.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ Hermes   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Hermes wins
4
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
22/10/24Samobor v Hermes83-79
24/01/24Hermes v Samobor85-91
12/10/23Samobor v Hermes75-84
20/04/23Samobor v Hermes89-92
19/03/23Hermes v Samobor95-76
11/02/23Samobor v Hermes75-70
13/11/22Hermes v Samobor92-79
25/02/22Samobor v Hermes84-77
28/11/21Hermes v Samobor119-87
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AOmis65-79
19/01/25ASonik Puntamika80-94
11/01/25HCrikvenica68-74
22/12/24AMladost80-89
15/12/24HKK Zagreb75-79
07/12/24AKastela64-127
30/11/24ADakovo80-101
23/11/24HMarsonia71-93
17/11/24AJazine80-129
10/11/24HSkrljevo70-86
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HDakovo84-79
19/01/25HMarsonia100-80
15/01/25HSkrljevo96-88
11/01/25AJazine100-94
16/12/24HZadar55-87
13/12/24HGorica77-65
05/12/24HBosco84-62
01/12/24AKastela72-102
23/11/24AOmis96-84
16/11/24HSonik Puntamika81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game76.577.276.0
Allowed / game92.683.299.6
Point differential-16.1-6.0-23.6
Avg total169.1160.3175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %93%100%83%
Points / game88.988.090.2
Allowed / game80.476.485.8
Point differential+8.5+11.6+4.3
Avg total169.4164.4176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1413193%88.980.4+8.5
2 Jazine1411379%95.182.5+12.6
3 Mladost1411379%83.676.3+7.4
4 Kastela1510567%84.970.7+14.2
5 Skrljevo149564%90.180.4+9.6
6 Marsonia149564%86.380.9+5.4
7 Gorica148657%79.683.9-4.3
8 KK Zagreb147750%75.174.3+0.8
9 Omis146843%76.276.3-0.1
10 Sonik Puntamika145936%73.974.6-0.8
11 Crikvenica1541127%66.078.6-12.6
12 Dakovo1431121%78.186.6-8.6
13 Hermes1421214%76.592.6-16.1
14 Bosco141137%73.990.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes2417233094
Samobor23262328100
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