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Botafogo vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-82
22-24 14-16 25-21 23-21
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game85.0
Botafogo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Caxias do Sul
Brazil
Position#17
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game75.0
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Botafogo v Caxias do Sul
28 Oct 2026
BOTA84
CAXI82
08 Dec 2025
BOTA75
CAXI80
09 Nov 2024
BOTA63
CAXI69
18 Jan 2024
BOTA76
CAXI82
31 Mar 2018
BOTA90
CAXI95
08 Mar 2018
BOTA76
CAXI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 64
H03/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
66avg 64
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-106
71
106
-35
56avg 64
H09/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
89-102
89
102
-13
83avg 64
H11/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
86-104
86
104
-18
80avg 64
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 64
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 64
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 64
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 64
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#16
L
88-89
88
89
-1
82avg 64
A24/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
11-27
17-18
22-23
25-15
22-15
13-26
20-14
28-28
15-32
14-23
14-23
22-22
18-25
21-29
28-26
25-24
28-22
13-29
20-29
17-37
16-21
20-17
15-19
35-23
18-26
15-21
11-19
23-11
21-29
14-22
20-20
14-22
22-27
21-20
14-12
26-22
22-16
13-27
27-24
168.5Avg total
78.2Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.585.0164.5-5.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)79.585.0164.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)78.290.3168.5-12.110%
Last 5 (5)76.887.0163.8-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)73.384.3157.7-11.021%
vs Similar (5)80.688.8169.4-8.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)88.089.0177.0-1.00%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
107-83
107
83
+24
106avg 65
A06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 65
A09/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
60avg 65
H15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-92
79
92
-13
76avg 65
H17/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
57avg 65
A22/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
59avg 65
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
52avg 65
H27/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
62avg 65
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
61-72
61
72
-11
45avg 65
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
52avg 65
H20/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
36-18
25-22
23-23
16-24
19-8
18-19
27-19
16-15
12-20
26-16
11-17
14-18
23-26
24-30
18-18
15-23
20-11
15-19
14-20
23-20
14-26
20-17
13-15
20-20
8-11
20-17
18-15
24-15
9-22
18-19
19-15
20-21
19-12
9-19
13-20
20-25
13-18
10-18
23-17
147.6Avg total
72.8Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)63.575.0138.5-11.50%
Season at home (2)63.575.0138.5-11.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.874.8147.6-2.030%
Last 5 (5)66.672.4139.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)67.777.3145.0-9.619%
vs Similar (6)78.776.3155.0+2.350%
vs Weaker (8)79.972.8152.6+7.162%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
BotafogoCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H03/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H09/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
NBB
89.2Avg total
43.0Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.382.0-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.982.4-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.881.5-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)43.046.289.2-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.889.6-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.841.780.5-2.933%-
vs Similar (5)41.846.288.0-4.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A09/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H27/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H20/10
NBB
73.7Avg total
36.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.537.773.2-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.838.072.8-3.239%-
Last 30 away (12)36.637.273.8-0.758%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.373.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.072.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)33.738.271.9-4.644%-
vs Similar (6)35.839.375.2-3.533%-
vs Weaker (8)38.935.474.2+3.562%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.7
50.6%
49.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.5
31.8%
31.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.611.3
68.1%
71.2%11.3
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.014.4
48.0%
49.9%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.1
35.6%
31.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws14.810.7
72.3%
71.2%10.7
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLLLLLLWL
Caxias do Sul
LLLWLLLLWW
#11
League position
#17
-8.5
Net rating
-0.7
89.5
Offensive rating
91.0
98.0
Defensive rating
91.7
49.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.8%
3-point %
35.6%
65.1%
Assist %
64.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 91.0Defence98.0 · 91.7Shooting49.5% · 50.7%3-point %31.8% · 35.6%Ball care15.2% · 14.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Botafogo   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
8
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
22/03/26Caxias do Sul v Botafogo67-68
08/12/25Botafogo v Caxias do Sul75-80
06/02/25Caxias do Sul v Botafogo78-67
10/11/24Botafogo v Caxias do Sul63-69
18/01/24Botafogo v Caxias do Sul76-82
30/10/23Caxias do Sul v Botafogo74-67
05/04/18Caxias do Sul v Botafogo80-64
04/04/18Caxias do Sul v Botafogo79-52
31/03/18Botafogo v Caxias do Sul90-95 OT
08/03/18Botafogo v Caxias do Sul76-67
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26APato88-89
20/10/26AFlamengo71-81
28/04/26HFranca78-82
25/04/26HFranca79-89
22/04/26AFranca68-94
18/04/26AVasco86-104
11/04/26HFlamengo89-102
09/04/26HMinas71-106
06/04/26HCruzeiro80-70
03/04/26HPaulistano72-86
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/26HMinas66-78
17/10/26HCruzeiro61-72
30/04/26ABrasilia70-71
27/04/26HBrasilia66-63
25/04/26HBrasilia70-78
22/04/26ABrasilia64-73
17/04/26HCorinthians Paulista79-92
15/04/26HSao Jose65-68
09/04/26AUnifacisa80-70
06/04/26ACearense107-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game79.5-79.5
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential-5.5--5.5
Avg total164.5-164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game63.563.5-
Allowed / game75.075.0-
Point differential-11.5-11.5-
Avg total138.5138.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas330100%84.067.3+16.7
2 Brasilia330100%94.781.7+13.0
3 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Pinheiros32167%79.369.0+10.3
6 Bauru32167%75.376.0-0.7
7 Paulistano32167%72.775.7-3.0
8 Flamengo21150%81.076.5+4.5
9 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
10 Osasco21150%81.582.5-1.0
11 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
12 Cruzeiro31233%75.377.7-2.3
13 Uniao Corinthians31233%72.379.0-6.7
14 Pato31233%76.084.7-8.7
15 Botafogo2020%79.585.0-5.5
16 Caxias do Sul2020%63.575.0-11.5
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2214252384
Caxias do Sul2416212182
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