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Botafogo vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 76-82
24-12 17-27 19-22 16-21
Position#15
Record6-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game84.9
Botafogo
Brazil
vs
Caxias do Sul 🏆
Brazil
Position#18
Record6-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game79.2
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Caxias do Sul
28 Oct 2026
BOTA84
CAXI82
08 Dec 2025
BOTA75
CAXI80
09 Nov 2024
BOTA63
CAXI69
18 Jan 2024
BOTA76
CAXI82
31 Mar 2018
BOTA90
CAXI95
08 Mar 2018
BOTA76
CAXI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
62avg 63
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
75avg 63
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 63
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 63
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
78avg 63
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 63
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
72avg 63
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 63
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 63
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 63
H14/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
12-31
16-25
24-20
22-14
22-32
22-14
17-20
22-13
22-31
14-17
19-17
9-16
21-26
19-23
28-20
15-19
23-18
21-18
32-31
26-24
21-15
20-26
23-21
20-28
15-24
24-26
28-26
18-22
23-18
21-18
26-26
5-26
12-21
18-25
17-17
17-22
19-17
12-21
20-25
165.8Avg total
78.5Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.584.9161.4-8.430%
Season at home (10)77.984.6162.5-6.740%
Season away (10)75.285.2160.4-10.020%
Last 10 (10)78.587.3165.8-8.840%
Last 5 (5)77.089.6166.6-12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.085.7161.7-9.726%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.882.4162.1-2.650%
vs Weaker (3)82.775.0157.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 57
H28/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
65-81
65
81
-16
44avg 57
H30/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
80-94
80
94
-14
63avg 57
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
63-62
63
62
+1
46avg 57
A08/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
79-80
79
80
-1
63avg 57
H19/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
63avg 57
H21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
55-84
55
84
-29
37avg 57
A27/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
74-78
74
78
-4
66avg 57
A29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
no box
H03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
no box
A12/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
20-20
18-19
22-30
15-22
15-19
22-16
13-24
13-25
15-28
24-25
28-16
23-17
9-15
17-15
14-15
16-22
22-20
18-19
23-19
14-21
14-14
28-9
17-20
22-17
14-26
4-23
15-18
16-24
17-18
20-20
21-16
16-21
15-18
22-18
25-21
16-28
11-17
23-11
17-11
151.8Avg total
72.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.279.2151.4-6.932%
Season at home (10)74.677.8152.4-3.230%
Season away (9)69.680.7150.2-11.133%
Last 10 (10)72.779.1151.8-6.420%
Last 5 (5)72.278.0150.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)70.180.7150.9-10.618%
vs Similar ◀ (5)70.272.6142.8-2.440%
vs Weaker (3)73.066.3139.3+6.767%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
BotafogoCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
NBB
80.1Avg total
36.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.341.278.4-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.042.182.1-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)34.540.274.7-5.740%-
Last 10 (10)36.443.780.1-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.478.6-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.942.779.7-5.826%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.838.276.0-0.550%-
vs Weaker (3)38.039.077.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H30/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A08/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A12/01
NBB
72.9Avg total
32.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.340.472.6-8.113%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.839.171.9-6.313%-
Last 30 away (15)31.741.773.4-9.913%-
Last 10 (10)32.240.772.9-8.510%-
Last 5 (5)31.040.871.8-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)32.341.073.3-8.79%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)28.840.469.2-11.60%-
vs Weaker (3)37.735.773.3+2.067%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.320.7
48.9%
51.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.3
30.3%
33.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.315.4
72.3%
72.6%15.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.216.4
44.1%
51.8%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.3
29.4%
33.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.712.8
68.4%
72.6%12.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLWLWWLLWL
Caxias do Sul
LLLLWLWLLL
#15
League position
#18
-11.0
Net rating
-17.2
100.2
Offensive rating
91.4
111.2
Defensive rating
108.6
47.6%
Effective FG%
44.1%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
20.6%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.3%
3-point %
29.4%
57.6%
Assist %
65.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 91.4Defence111.2 · 108.6Shooting47.6% · 44.1%3-point %30.3% · 29.4%Ball care15.9% · 20.6%Off. rebounds26.7% · 27.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Botafogo   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Botafogo wins
5
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
30/10/23Caxias do Sul v Botafogo74-67
05/04/18Caxias do Sul v Botafogo80-64
04/04/18Caxias do Sul v Botafogo79-52
31/03/18Botafogo v Caxias do Sul90-95 OT
08/03/18Botafogo v Caxias do Sul76-67
12/01/18Caxias do Sul v Botafogo73-63
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HPaulistano68-85
08/01/24AMinas52-89
29/12/23APinheiros88-84
20/12/23HUnifacisa87-104
18/12/23HCearense90-86
09/12/23ACorinthians Paulista91-86
07/12/23APaulistano77-85
04/12/23ASao Paulo77-78
29/11/23HBauru83-80
23/11/23ASao Jose72-96
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24AUniao Corinthians75-79 OT
03/01/24HFlamengo84-85 OT
29/12/23APato74-78
27/12/23AMinas55-84
21/12/23HPinheiros73-64
19/12/23HCorinthians Paulista79-80
08/12/23ACearense63-62
06/12/23AUnifacisa80-94
30/11/23HPaulistano65-81
28/11/23HSao Paulo79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeWWWLL40%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game76.577.975.2
Allowed / game84.984.685.2
Point differential-8.3-6.7-10.0
Avg total161.4162.5160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL32%
HomeLLLWL30%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%30%33%
Points / game72.274.669.6
Allowed / game79.277.880.7
Point differential-6.9-3.2-11.1
Avg total151.4152.4150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %16%10%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2219386%86.572.0+14.5
2 Franca2218482%88.276.7+11.5
3 Flamengo2117481%84.575.3+9.2
4 Paulistano2114767%74.871.7+3.1
5 Vasco2114767%73.570.6+2.9
6 Bauru2214864%80.078.2+1.9
7 Unifacisa2113862%83.980.4+3.5
8 Sao Jose2011955%79.174.6+4.5
9 Cearense21101148%78.277.1+1.1
10 Pato22101245%76.277.7-1.5
11 Pinheiros2091145%76.278.5-2.2
12 Corinthians Paulista1981142%79.881.4-1.6
13 Sao Paulo2291341%77.480.9-3.5
14 Caxias do Sul1961332%72.279.2-6.9
15 Uniao Corinthians1961332%71.980.5-8.5
16 Botafogo2061430%76.584.9-8.3
17 Cerrado1951426%73.875.7-1.9
18 Mogi1931616%73.379.7-6.4
19 Brasilia2031715%70.686.2-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2417191676
Caxias do Sul1227222182
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