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Caxias do Sul vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 78-67
24-11 19-21 12-19 23-16
Position#15
Record6-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game79.1
Caxias do Sul 🏆
Brazil
vs
Botafogo
Brazil
Position#18
Record6-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game81.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Botafogo
22 Mar 2026
CAXI67
BOTA68
06 Feb 2025
CAXI78
BOTA67
30 Oct 2023
CAXI74
BOTA67
05 Apr 2018
CAXI80
BOTA64
03 Apr 2018
CAXI79
BOTA52
12 Jan 2018
CAXI73
BOTA63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 63
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
79-89
79
89
-10
73avg 63
A10/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 63
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
81avg 63
H21/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
70avg 63
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
73-70
73
70
+3
63avg 63
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
49avg 63
H29/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 63
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 63
A20/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
84avg 63
H04/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-19
24-17
13-25
21-15
18-17
19-28
21-29
17-20
19-17
17-20
19-25
23-25
17-22
18-14
24-21
19-29
25-22
25-16
11-12
21-18
18-20
20-12
14-20
15-18
10-22
15-20
25-18
15-23
21-20
25-20
16-15
20-16
15-21
17-16
13-25
26-18
11-16
24-27
27-21
158.6Avg total
76.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.879.1151.9-6.427%
Season at home (11)75.280.5155.7-5.436%
Season away (11)70.477.7148.1-7.418%
Last 10 (10)76.781.9158.6-5.230%
Last 5 (5)73.677.2150.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)73.783.0156.6-9.315%
vs Similar ◀ (4)70.270.8141.0-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
52avg 65
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 65
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
71-82
71
82
-11
69avg 65
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
87avg 65
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
65avg 65
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 65
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 65
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 65
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-83
71
83
-12
64avg 65
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
19-21
20-20
16-29
18-33
12-27
20-11
17-18
19-27
14-18
25-20
13-17
14-18
24-19
22-15
19-27
18-16
17-21
20-25
18-24
25-16
22-15
22-25
28-29
10-20
18-24
14-12
21-19
23-24
16-18
20-22
20-20
17-30
18-15
15-15
21-23
20-17
17-18
19-21
18-27
161.0Avg total
75.6Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.881.0153.8-8.127%
Season at home (12)72.581.8154.2-9.225%
Season away (10)73.280.0153.2-6.830%
Last 10 (10)75.685.4161.0-9.820%
Last 5 (5)76.882.0158.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)74.186.1160.2-12.021%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.671.8148.4+4.860%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -4.2-4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -4.2-4.2
Caxias do SulBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H29/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/02
NBB
76.9Avg total
37.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.141.077.1-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.242.279.5-5.038%-
Last 30 away (14)34.839.574.3-4.721%-
Last 10 (10)37.039.976.9-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.472.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)36.141.577.6-5.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.037.873.8-1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-60
30
60
-30
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
77.6Avg total
35.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.142.478.5-6.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.241.978.1-5.638%-
Last 30 away (14)35.943.178.9-7.221%-
Last 10 (10)35.442.277.6-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.476.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)35.244.679.8-9.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.031.269.2+6.880%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.0
52.1%
50.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.5
33.8%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.313.4
69.4%
72.7%13.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.8
51.2%
50.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.4
31.2%
33.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.213.2
68.8%
72.7%13.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
WLLLWWLLLL
Botafogo
LLLLWLWLLL
#15
League position
#18
-6.7
Net rating
-11.7
105.2
Offensive rating
97.1
111.9
Defensive rating
108.7
51.5%
Effective FG%
49.5%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
31.2%
59.6%
Assist %
64.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 97.1Defence111.9 · 108.7Shooting51.5% · 49.5%3-point %33.8% · 31.2%Ball care16.9% · 20.1%Off. rebounds26.2% · 24.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Caxias do Sul wins
1
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Botafogo v Caxias do Sul63-69
18/01/24Botafogo v Caxias do Sul76-82
30/10/23Caxias do Sul v Botafogo74-67
05/04/18Caxias do Sul v Botafogo80-64
04/04/18Caxias do Sul v Botafogo79-52
31/03/18Botafogo v Caxias do Sul90-95 OT
08/03/18Botafogo v Caxias do Sul76-67
12/01/18Caxias do Sul v Botafogo73-63
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HVasco88-82
20/01/25APato65-78
13/01/25AUniao Corinthians77-78
29/12/24HUnifacisa65-78
27/12/24HCearense73-70
23/12/24HCorinthians Paulista80-79
21/12/24HPinheiros92-101 OT
12/12/24APaulistano72-82
10/12/24ASao Paulo79-89
05/12/24HFranca76-82
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25HCearense74-83
16/01/25HUnifacisa71-83
11/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-84
09/01/25APinheiros63-75
27/12/24HMogi97-85
23/12/24HFranca73-86
18/12/24HBauru93-92 OT
15/12/24ASao Paulo71-82
05/12/24HBrasilia67-89
02/12/24HMinas68-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW27%
HomeLWWLW36%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%36%18%
Points / game72.875.270.4
Allowed / game79.180.577.7
Point differential-6.4-5.4-7.4
Avg total151.9155.7148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeWLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %27%25%30%
Points / game72.872.573.2
Allowed / game81.081.880.0
Point differential-8.1-9.2-6.8
Avg total153.8154.2153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%8%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2118386%83.371.2+12.1
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2314961%81.981.3+0.6
4 Uniao Corinthians2213959%78.478.3+0.1
5 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
6 Paulistano22121055%78.074.7+3.4
7 Pinheiros22121055%75.574.7+0.8
8 Bauru22121055%78.580.2-1.7
9 Sao Jose23121152%78.877.0+1.7
10 Unifacisa23121152%75.975.1+0.8
11 Vasco24121250%74.675.3-0.7
12 Corinthians Paulista23111248%81.480.2+1.2
13 Sao Paulo23101343%77.079.1-2.2
14 Pato2491538%81.883.9-2.1
15 Mogi2491538%73.879.2-5.4
16 Caxias do Sul2261627%72.879.1-6.4
17 Cearense2261627%70.577.0-6.5
18 Botafogo2261627%72.881.0-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul2419122378
Botafogo1121191667
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