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Botafogo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 72-86
22-18 11-27 17-18 22-23
Position#16
Record9-24
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#7
Record21-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game78.3
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Paulistano
15 Dec 2026
BOTA v PAUL
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
BOTA72
PAUL86
03 Apr 2025
BOTA64
PAUL85
14 Jan 2024
BOTA68
PAUL85
29 Oct 2019
BOTA70
PAUL84
30 Oct 2018
BOTA77
PAUL74
21 Dec 2017
BOTA74
PAUL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
56avg 63
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
67-93
67
93
-26
53avg 63
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
50avg 63
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 63
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 63
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
58avg 63
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 63
H12/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
62-93
62
93
-31
55avg 63
H16/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
68-67
68
67
+1
62avg 63
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
79avg 63
A24/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
28-14
10-24
13-14
19-27
13-22
20-18
15-26
18-21
12-24
21-24
15-19
23-17
13-21
25-23
20-26
17-23
20-14
19-27
27-18
10-16
23-20
18-23
22-20
27-21
17-28
21-19
20-11
25-20
17-19
8-22
12-32
21-6
18-18
15-25
14-18
19-19
24-6
20-21
15-25
154.1Avg total
73.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)72.682.3154.8-9.727%
Season at home (15)75.079.8154.8-4.840%
Season away (18)70.684.3154.9-13.817%
Last 10 (10)73.380.8154.1-7.550%
Last 5 (5)73.277.8151.0-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)70.283.3153.5-13.017%
vs Similar (7)77.679.3156.9-1.757%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 72
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 72
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 72
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
104-83
104
83
+21
94avg 72
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
94avg 72
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
88-89
88
89
-1
75avg 72
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
100-87
100
87
+13
88avg 72
H17/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
91-77
91
77
+14
83avg 72
H19/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
68avg 72
A23/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
96-69
96
69
+27
95avg 72
A01/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
22-11
18-14
17-17
22-20
13-18
20-19
18-23
11-26
25-15
14-20
18-19
29-17
30-24
31-19
14-23
27-28
25-15
15-27
23-20
26-27
14-23
19-23
29-16
32-23
23-25
26-18
19-21
24-24
23-24
23-18
21-11
21-26
21-16
11-18
26-24
21-17
21-16
32-23
22-13
169.6Avg total
88.2Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)83.378.3161.6+5.062%
Season at home (18)86.076.4162.4+9.678%
Season away (16)80.280.4160.7-0.244%
Last 10 (10)88.281.4169.6+6.860%
Last 5 (5)90.881.2172.0+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.882.2162.0-2.440%
vs Similar (10)84.683.5168.1+1.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.475.1162.5+12.373%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
BotafogoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A24/03
NBB
75.6Avg total
38.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.977.8-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.938.177.0+0.850%-
Last 30 away (18)35.642.778.3-7.217%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.375.6+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.674.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.440.777.2-4.330%-
vs Similar (7)38.441.379.7-2.929%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A23/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A01/04
NBB
86.3Avg total
44.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.381.9+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.738.682.3+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.181.5+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.686.3+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.240.479.6-1.220%-
vs Similar (10)43.939.483.3+4.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.938.981.8+4.167%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.5
53.0%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.4
25.6%
32.5%19.2
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
72.8%13.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.3
55.5%
52.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.3
35.2%
32.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
72.8%14.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
WWLWLWLLLW
Paulistano
WLWWLWWLLW
#16
League position
#7
-6.6
Net rating
+7.9
87.3
Offensive rating
102.0
93.9
Defensive rating
94.1
47.3%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
25.6%
3-point %
35.2%
60.6%
Assist %
47.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence87.3 · 102.0Defence93.9 · 94.1Shooting47.3% · 54.3%3-point %25.6% · 35.2%Ball care13.9% · 12.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Botafogo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
8
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
04/12/25Paulistano v Botafogo101-77
03/04/25Botafogo v Paulistano64-85
02/11/24Paulistano v Botafogo88-70
14/01/24Botafogo v Paulistano68-85
07/12/23Paulistano v Botafogo85-77
16/01/20Paulistano v Botafogo73-72
29/10/19Botafogo v Paulistano70-84
24/03/19Paulistano v Botafogo100-104
30/10/18Botafogo v Paulistano77-74
01/03/18Paulistano v Botafogo112-64
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26AUniao Corinthians78-71
22/03/26ACaxias do Sul68-67
16/03/26HPinheiros62-93
12/03/26HOsasco85-79
06/03/26ABrasilia73-79
04/03/26ARio Claro83-82
19/02/26HBauru81-87
17/02/26HFranca66-88
12/02/26APato67-93
05/02/26HMogi70-69
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26AVasco96-69
23/03/26AFlamengo79-84
19/03/26HCearense91-77
17/03/26HRio Claro100-87
10/03/26HCruzeiro88-89
06/03/26HUnifacisa109-102 OT
22/02/26HMinas104-83
19/02/26APinheiros68-80
13/02/26ACaxias do Sul73-80
11/02/26AUniao Corinthians74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW27%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLWLWW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game72.675.070.6
Allowed / game82.379.884.3
Point differential-9.7-4.8-13.8
Avg total154.8154.8154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %62%78%44%
Points / game83.386.080.2
Allowed / game78.376.480.4
Point differential+5.0+9.6-0.2
Avg total161.6162.4160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)43% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3529683%85.974.6+11.4
2 Franca3327682%91.176.8+14.2
3 Minas3325876%87.082.0+5.1
4 Brasilia3526974%81.171.7+9.4
5 Flamengo3425974%86.878.3+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista33231070%84.578.8+5.6
7 Paulistano34211362%83.378.3+5.0
8 Bauru35211460%81.878.7+3.1
9 Sao Jose34201459%82.680.4+2.2
10 Mogi34191556%76.170.6+5.5
11 Uniao Corinthians33181555%79.481.0-1.6
12 Unifacisa34171750%81.580.6+0.9
13 Caxias do Sul34151944%72.976.6-3.6
14 Cruzeiro33112233%79.785.6-6.0
15 Rio Claro35102529%78.186.2-8.1
16 Botafogo3392427%72.682.3-9.7
17 Pato3372621%72.879.8-7.0
18 Cearense3462818%76.088.4-12.4
19 Vasco3452915%70.079.9-9.9
20 Osasco3553014%75.588.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2211172272
Paulistano1827182386
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