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Botafogo vs Corinthians Paulista Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.0
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Botafogo v Corinthians Paulista
17 Dec 2026
BOTA v CORI
upcoming
19 Jan 2026
BOTA73
CORI74
22 Oct 2024
BOTA58
CORI73
08 Apr 2024
BOTA72
CORI116
26 Mar 2020
BOTA v CORI
upcoming
05 Dec 2019
BOTA74
CORI88
09 Nov 2018
BOTA86
CORI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
86-104
86
104
-18
80avg 67
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 67
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 67
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 67
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 67
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
82avg 67
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 67
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
H12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
28-22
13-29
20-29
17-37
16-21
20-17
15-19
35-23
18-26
15-21
11-19
23-11
21-29
14-22
20-20
14-22
22-27
21-20
14-12
26-22
22-16
13-27
27-24
22-24
14-16
25-21
23-21
22-26
24-18
17-19
17-24
16-22
20-14
23-17
18-23
16-21
19-14
9-24
16-24
163.8Avg total
77.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.783.0159.7-6.333%
Season at home (3)74.784.0158.7-9.333%
Season away (3)78.782.0160.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)77.186.7163.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)77.883.4161.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.183.4156.5-10.327%
vs Similar (7)81.688.6170.1-7.029%
vs Weaker (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
98-84
98
84
+14
96avg 82
H20/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
68avg 82
H23/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
68avg 82
A26/05
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
64avg 82
A17/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
92-104
92
104
-12
87avg 82
A22/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
78-48
78
48
+30
85avg 82
H26/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A06/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
A09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
H12/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
36-30
15-22
20-17
19-12
8-30
18-20
28-11
18-21
20-35
13-23
25-9
17-18
21-26
24-18
11-22
28-29
17-17
27-31
20-27
29-14
13-9
19-10
17-15
20-20
18-19
16-24
25-21
19-16
15-17
23-17
18-18
22-16
17-21
24-37
16-17
21-16
26-25
17-12
20-21
162.2Avg total
81.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.079.0159.0+1.043%
Season at home (3)80.371.0151.3+9.367%
Season away (4)79.885.0164.8-5.225%
Last 10 (10)81.580.7162.2+0.840%
Last 5 (5)79.073.0152.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.781.9161.6-2.233%
vs Similar (14)88.085.9173.9+2.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.179.3168.4+9.9100%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
BotafogoCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/11
NBB
85.5Avg total
42.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.781.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.682.6-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.980.4-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.940.979.8-2.036%-
vs Similar (7)43.344.788.0-1.443%-
vs Weaker (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H20/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H23/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A26/05
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A17/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A22/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H26/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A06/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
NBB
81.7Avg total
41.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.784.3+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.440.584.9+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)41.042.883.8-1.856%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.681.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.674.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.645.385.9-4.833%-
vs Similar (14)43.841.385.1+2.557%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.938.080.9+4.9100%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
49.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
71.3%11.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
49.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.3
37.6%
31.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.414.5
78.8%
71.3%14.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLWLLLLLL
Corinthians Paulista
WLWLWLLLLW
#14
League position
#10
-6.7
Net rating
-1.1
91.9
Offensive rating
98.4
98.6
Defensive rating
99.4
50.5%
Effective FG%
54.6%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.5%
3-point %
37.6%
66.8%
Assist %
69.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 98.4Defence98.6 · 99.4Shooting50.5% · 54.6%3-point %31.5% · 37.6%Ball care14.8% · 14.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Botafogo   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HFranca60-83
02/11/26ABrasilia77-76
30/10/26HUniao Corinthians80-87
28/10/26HCaxias do Sul84-82
24/10/26APato88-89
20/10/26AFlamengo71-81
28/04/26HFranca78-82
25/04/26HFranca79-89
22/04/26AFranca68-94
18/04/26AVasco86-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOsasco84-74
12/11/26HPinheiros79-91
09/11/26ACearense75-68
06/11/26AUnifacisa79-84
26/10/26HFranca78-48
22/10/26ABrasilia92-104
17/10/26AMogi73-84
26/05/26APinheiros76-88
23/05/26HPinheiros81-82 OT
20/05/26HPinheiros98-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.774.778.7
Allowed / game83.084.082.0
Point differential-6.3-9.3-3.3
Avg total159.7158.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game80.080.379.8
Allowed / game79.071.085.0
Point differential+1.0+9.3-5.2
Avg total159.0151.3164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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