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Botafogo vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-74
14-21 21-15 16-22 22-16
Position#16
Record3-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#6
Record15-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game77.8
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Corinthians Paulista
17 Dec 2026
BOTA v CORI
upcoming
19 Jan 2026
BOTA73
CORI74
22 Oct 2024
BOTA58
CORI73
08 Apr 2024
BOTA72
CORI116
26 Mar 2020
BOTA v CORI
upcoming
05 Dec 2019
BOTA74
CORI88
09 Nov 2018
BOTA86
CORI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
L
70-79
70
79
-9
59avg 63
A02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 63
A04/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 63
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
61-84
61
84
-23
50avg 63
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
65-89
65
89
-24
45avg 63
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 63
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 63
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-104
71
104
-33
63avg 63
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
68-77
68
77
-9
58avg 63
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A16/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
20-21
22-16
13-19
19-28
20-28
21-22
17-23
17-20
20-20
22-19
16-21
15-21
18-20
16-26
12-17
19-18
18-22
14-19
14-30
23-28
17-24
22-14
26-29
25-21
16-25
13-20
10-11
21-16
13-32
20-27
17-29
24-21
8-23
17-12
19-21
22-26
21-24
20-15
19-21
159.3Avg total
72.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.483.5154.9-12.014%
Season at home (8)74.978.4153.2-3.538%
Season away (13)69.386.6155.9-17.30%
Last 10 (10)72.187.2159.3-15.10%
Last 5 (5)74.687.8162.4-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)69.885.7155.5-15.912%
vs Similar (6)78.876.8155.7+2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
67-57
67
57
+10
72avg 79
H15/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 79
A17/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
80-109
80
109
-29
72avg 79
A21/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
81avg 79
A23/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
100-60
100
60
+40
104avg 79
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
88-76
88
76
+12
88avg 79
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
61avg 79
H08/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
95-83
95
83
+12
91avg 79
H10/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
88-94
88
94
-6
no box
A15/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
75-67
75
67
+8
no box
A17/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
12-10
17-19
22-16
19-24
24-21
21-12
17-23
23-28
25-22
11-29
21-30
23-20
21-19
24-23
13-24
28-15
30-15
26-13
16-17
22-17
23-17
26-23
17-19
29-18
17-23
18-36
10-15
23-17
17-21
19-27
36-18
22-31
23-22
21-28
22-13
21-12
18-24
17-12
19-19
163.3Avg total
82.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.177.8160.9+5.365%
Season at home (11)83.373.5156.7+9.882%
Season away (12)82.981.8164.8+1.150%
Last 10 (10)82.980.4163.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)84.082.4166.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.586.8168.3-5.317%
vs Similar (13)81.582.2163.7-0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.770.6156.4+15.1100%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
BotafogoCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A04/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A16/01
NBB
83.2Avg total
37.1Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.442.879.2-6.427%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.539.478.9+0.150%-
Last 30 away (18)34.345.079.3-10.711%-
Last 10 (10)37.146.183.2-9.00%-
Last 5 (5)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.343.578.9-8.221%-
vs Similar (6)40.739.780.3+1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H15/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A17/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A21/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A23/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A15/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A17/01
NBB
82.4Avg total
43.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.237.781.9+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.235.177.4+7.186%-
Last 30 away (16)45.939.985.8+5.969%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.882.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.483.4+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.742.588.2+3.267%-
vs Similar (13)44.240.384.5+3.969%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.332.075.3+11.391%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.917.9
46.0%
52.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.3
28.1%
32.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.712.4
66.3%
72.8%12.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.1
53.2%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.1
37.1%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
72.8%11.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLLLLLLLL
Corinthians Paulista
WLWLWWLLWW
#16
League position
#6
-18.6
Net rating
+4.7
93.2
Offensive rating
104.6
111.8
Defensive rating
99.9
44.5%
Effective FG%
54.2%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.1%
3-point %
37.1%
61.9%
Assist %
71.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 104.6Defence111.8 · 99.9Shooting44.5% · 54.2%3-point %28.1% · 37.1%Ball care17.3% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.6% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Botafogo   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26ACearense82-86
13/01/26AUnifacisa68-77
29/12/25AFlamengo71-104
27/12/25APinheiros64-77
18/12/25AMinas88-95
16/12/25ACruzeiro65-89
13/12/25HUniao Corinthians61-84
08/12/25HCaxias do Sul75-80
04/12/25APaulistano77-101
02/12/25AOsasco70-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AVasco75-67
15/01/26AFlamengo88-94
10/01/26HCruzeiro95-83
08/01/26HMinas74-92
29/12/25HUniao Corinthians88-76
27/12/25HCaxias do Sul100-60
23/12/25APaulistano81-86
21/12/25APinheiros80-109
17/12/25AOsasco81-80
15/12/25HRio Claro67-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLWLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %14%38%0%
Points / game71.474.969.3
Allowed / game83.578.486.6
Point differential-12.0-3.5-17.3
Avg total154.9153.2155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%82%50%
Points / game83.183.382.9
Allowed / game77.873.581.8
Point differential+5.3+9.8+1.1
Avg total160.9156.7164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%82%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2219386%89.376.0+13.3
2 Franca2218482%88.574.7+13.9
3 Pinheiros2218482%88.075.7+12.3
4 Minas2218482%87.079.1+7.9
5 Brasilia2317674%81.872.2+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2315865%83.177.8+5.3
7 Sao Jose2214864%82.578.9+3.6
8 Paulistano2213959%80.676.6+4.0
9 Mogi2011955%76.869.3+7.5
10 Unifacisa22121055%81.680.5+1.2
11 Uniao Corinthians21111052%79.581.2-1.7
12 Bauru23121152%76.376.9-0.5
13 Caxias do Sul22101245%72.577.0-4.5
14 Cruzeiro2161529%78.885.9-7.1
15 Pato2151624%72.781.4-8.7
16 Cearense2251723%78.087.9-9.9
17 Rio Claro2141719%75.588.3-12.9
18 Osasco2241818%75.187.7-12.5
19 Botafogo2131814%71.483.5-12.0
20 Vasco2231914%69.279.7-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo1421162273
Corinthians Paulista2115221674
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