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Botafogo vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 58-73
15-15 15-26 11-25 17-7
Position#18
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#8
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game85.5
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Botafogo v Corinthians Paulista
17 Dec 2026
BOTA v CORI
upcoming
19 Jan 2026
BOTA73
CORI74
22 Oct 2024
BOTA58
CORI73
08 Apr 2024
BOTA72
CORI116
26 Mar 2020
BOTA v CORI
upcoming
05 Dec 2019
BOTA74
CORI88
09 Nov 2018
BOTA86
CORI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
no box
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
57avg 66
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
95-113
95
113
-18
83avg 66
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 66
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-116
72
116
-44
55avg 66
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
90avg 66
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 66
H20/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
56-78
56
78
-22
46avg 66
A27/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
79avg 66
A12/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
72-70 OT
72
70
+2
60avg 66
A14/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
21-24
21-18
27-31
17-24
20-33
13-16
24-24
24-28
19-24
26-33
26-28
20-21
25-21
12-15
26-22
18-27
18-32
18-23
18-34
27-20
22-19
18-13
26-17
15-27
20-29
24-23
28-13
8-23
13-24
17-15
18-16
32-18
21-17
17-16
11-19
17-12
12-17
18-21
18-15
171.1Avg total
82.1Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.570.0146.5+6.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)76.570.0146.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.189.0171.1-6.950%
Last 5 (5)77.875.8153.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.689.4169.0-9.932%
vs Similar (4)77.279.2156.5-2.025%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 76
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
67avg 76
A30/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
107-93
107
93
+14
107avg 76
H03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
50avg 76
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
116-72
116
72
+44
132avg 76
A08/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
78-87
78
87
-9
70avg 76
A11/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
65-83
65
83
-18
56avg 76
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
63avg 76
A22/04
NBB
Pato
#14
L
86-89
86
89
-3
79avg 76
H14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
80-82
80
82
-2
73avg 76
H19/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
22-27
25-22
26-21
13-24
20-15
20-30
20-22
35-24
17-21
19-21
36-27
19-23
10-25
8-19
21-21
27-18
32-18
23-18
34-18
20-24
21-27
21-17
16-19
20-26
17-26
13-16
15-15
24-22
11-11
14-30
19-14
25-22
16-25
22-19
23-23
15-20
26-20
20-19
19-23
168.0Avg total
81.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.085.5168.5-2.50%
Season at home (2)83.085.5168.5-2.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.886.2168.0-4.420%
Last 5 (5)75.483.6159.0-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.288.6163.8-13.420%
vs Similar (13)79.881.5161.2-1.738%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.977.1165.0+10.875%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
BotafogoCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H20/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A27/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A12/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/10
NBB
85.9Avg total
39.6Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.944.883.7-5.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.045.386.3-4.338%-
Last 30 away (17)37.344.481.6-7.135%-
Last 10 (10)39.646.385.9-6.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.278.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.845.784.5-7.036%-
vs Similar (4)37.538.275.8-0.825%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A30/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A08/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A11/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A22/04
NBB
Pato
#14
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/10
NBB
85.2Avg total
40.4Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.980.6+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.839.380.1+1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)40.540.681.2-0.146%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.885.2-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.683.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.043.278.2-8.20%-
vs Similar (13)40.241.481.5-1.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.736.880.5+6.875%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.5
46.3%
50.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.4
33.7%
33.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
72.7%14.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.7
51.5%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.1
33.8%
33.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.9
78.4%
72.7%14.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
WWLLWLWLLW
Corinthians Paulista
LLLLLWLWLL
#18
League position
#8
-9.3
Net rating
-6.4
101.7
Offensive rating
107.1
111.0
Defensive rating
113.4
48.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.7%
3-point %
33.8%
61.0%
Assist %
72.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 107.1Defence111.0 · 113.4Shooting48.3% · 51.1%3-point %33.7% · 33.8%Ball care17.4% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.7% · 28.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Botafogo   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Botafogo wins
4
Corinthians Paulista wins
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/24AMogi72-70 OT
12/10/24ASao Jose81-70
27/04/24AFlamengo56-78
20/04/24HFlamengo87-92
10/04/24HPinheiros93-69
08/04/24HCorinthians Paulista72-116
25/03/24HSao Paulo83-79
21/03/24ABauru95-113
19/03/24AFranca74-97
10/03/24ABrasilia108-106 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HSao Paulo80-82
14/10/24HPato86-89
22/04/24APaulistano68-77
18/04/24HPaulistano65-83
11/04/24AVasco78-87
08/04/24ABotafogo116-72
06/04/24AFlamengo58-88
03/04/24HCaxias do Sul107-93
30/03/24AMinas73-91
28/03/24APato87-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game76.5-76.5
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+6.5-+6.5
Avg total146.5-146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%-50%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game85.585.5-
Point differential-2.5-2.5-
Avg total168.5168.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo330100%81.359.7+21.7
2 Botafogo220100%76.570.0+6.5
3 Franca220100%80.575.0+5.5
4 Sao Paulo220100%85.080.5+4.5
5 Minas43175%80.873.2+7.5
6 Pinheiros32167%65.069.7-4.7
7 Paulistano21150%73.567.0+6.5
8 Pato42250%81.575.5+6.0
9 Caxias do Sul21150%74.569.5+5.0
10 Bauru21150%87.086.5+0.5
11 Uniao Corinthians21150%75.076.5-1.5
12 Unifacisa21150%73.076.0-3.0
13 Mogi42250%68.579.5-11.0
14 Cearense31233%68.778.7-10.0
15 Vasco41325%61.262.2-1.0
16 Corinthians Paulista2020%83.085.5-2.5
17 Brasilia3030%77.082.0-5.0
18 Sao Jose4040%64.077.8-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo1515111758
Corinthians Paulista152625773
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