PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pato vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 93-67
27-19 22-13 18-20 26-15
Position#17
Record6-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game80.4
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#16
Record5-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game82.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Botafogo
24 Oct 2026
PATO89
BOTA88
12 Feb 2026
PATO93
BOTA67
28 Nov 2024
PATO98
BOTA78
24 Jan 2024
PATO97
BOTA86
12 Feb 2020
PATO69
BOTA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 67
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
82-67
82
67
+15
77avg 67
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
64avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
78avg 67
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 67
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 67
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
54avg 67
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 67
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
84-53
84
53
+31
81avg 67
H05/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
18-24
11-16
23-27
21-20
19-15
22-15
20-17
18-20
18-20
8-19
25-25
18-27
15-25
16-21
18-21
15-26
24-17
15-14
16-13
19-22
17-19
19-22
17-17
20-27
19-26
25-17
17-19
27-17
18-23
4-17
18-18
24-19
21-13
20-23
10-29
17-22
25-14
25-7
17-10
156.3Avg total
75.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.480.4153.8-7.124%
Season at home (13)73.276.4149.6-3.231%
Season away (12)73.584.8158.3-11.317%
Last 10 (10)75.381.0156.3-5.720%
Last 5 (5)75.876.2152.0-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.582.7154.2-11.210%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.379.4160.8+1.956%
vs Weaker (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
61-84
61
84
-23
50avg 63
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
65-89
65
89
-24
45avg 63
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 63
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 63
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-104
71
104
-33
63avg 63
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
68-77
68
77
-9
58avg 63
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
65avg 63
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 63
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
56avg 63
H05/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
18-20
16-26
12-17
19-18
18-22
14-19
14-30
23-28
17-24
22-14
26-29
25-21
16-25
13-20
10-11
21-16
13-32
20-27
17-29
24-21
8-23
17-12
19-21
22-26
21-24
20-15
19-21
14-21
21-15
16-22
22-16
26-18
18-20
23-30
22-12
19-17
28-14
10-24
13-14
156.6Avg total
73.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.282.3154.5-10.221%
Season at home (11)75.577.3152.8-1.745%
Season away (13)69.386.6155.9-17.30%
Last 10 (10)73.183.5156.6-10.420%
Last 5 (5)76.477.2153.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)70.884.9155.8-14.117%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.876.8155.7+2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
PatoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/02
NBB
81.4Avg total
39.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.542.379.8-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.377.9-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)36.644.981.5-8.419%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.281.4-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.481.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.042.179.1-5.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.141.480.6-2.344%-
vs Weaker (1)35.054.089.0-19.00%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/02
NBB
81.2Avg total
38.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.342.079.3-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.438.478.7+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)34.645.279.8-10.612%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.681.2-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.880.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)36.442.679.0-6.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.739.780.3+1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.2
52.4%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.8
30.7%
32.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.312.6
68.9%
72.8%12.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.0
48.7%
52.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.1
27.5%
32.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.212.3
67.6%
72.8%12.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WLLLLLLLWL
Botafogo
WWLLLLLLLL
#17
League position
#16
-5.7
Net rating
-13.9
90.7
Offensive rating
91.2
96.3
Defensive rating
105.1
49.5%
Effective FG%
45.8%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.7%
3-point %
27.5%
59.3%
Assist %
58.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 91.2Defence96.3 · 105.1Shooting49.5% · 45.8%3-point %30.7% · 27.5%Ball care19.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.1% · 29.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Pato   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pato wins
4
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
07/11/25Botafogo v Pato82-75
16/02/25Botafogo v Pato91-76
28/11/24Pato v Botafogo98-78
24/01/24Pato v Botafogo97-86
24/10/23Botafogo v Pato71-79
12/02/20Pato v Botafogo69-75
15/11/19Botafogo v Pato85-79
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HFlamengo84-53
02/02/26HVasco75-84
21/01/26AMinas67-75
19/01/26ACruzeiro81-89
12/01/26HUniao Corinthians72-80
09/01/26HCaxias do Sul85-91 OT
29/12/25HPinheiros67-94
23/12/25ABrasilia69-84
20/12/25HOsasco82-67
18/12/25HFranca71-93
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HMogi70-69
21/01/26HSao Jose89-80
19/01/26HCorinthians Paulista73-74
16/01/26ACearense82-86
13/01/26AUnifacisa68-77
29/12/25AFlamengo71-104
27/12/25APinheiros64-77
18/12/25AMinas88-95
16/12/25ACruzeiro65-89
13/12/25HUniao Corinthians61-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW24%
HomeLLLLW31%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %24%31%17%
Points / game73.473.273.5
Allowed / game80.476.484.8
Point differential-7.1-3.2-11.3
Avg total153.8149.6158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW21%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %21%45%0%
Points / game72.275.569.3
Allowed / game82.377.386.6
Point differential-10.2-1.7-17.3
Avg total154.5152.8155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2521484%86.874.6+12.2
2 Flamengo2420483%87.476.3+11.1
3 Franca2419579%88.875.0+13.8
4 Minas2419579%86.779.7+7.0
5 Brasilia2619773%81.571.4+10.1
6 Corinthians Paulista2618869%83.277.5+5.7
7 Sao Jose2617965%82.879.1+3.7
8 Paulistano2516964%81.076.4+4.5
9 Mogi25141156%76.169.4+6.7
10 Bauru26141254%78.578.4+0.1
11 Unifacisa26131350%80.079.7+0.4
12 Uniao Corinthians25121348%79.182.0-2.9
13 Caxias do Sul25101540%71.877.4-5.6
14 Cruzeiro2371630%79.185.4-6.3
15 Rio Claro2471729%76.086.7-10.7
16 Pato2561924%73.480.4-7.1
17 Botafogo2451921%72.282.3-10.2
18 Cearense2652119%77.587.9-10.4
19 Osasco2542116%75.087.5-12.5
20 Vasco2642215%69.279.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2722182693
Botafogo1913201567
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.