PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brasilia vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 79-73
16-10 20-23 23-18 20-22
Position#5
Record20-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#16
Record6-22
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game83.1
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brasilia v Botafogo
02 Nov 2026
BRAS76
BOTA77
06 Mar 2026
BRAS79
BOTA73
17 Mar 2025
BRAS94
BOTA71
10 Mar 2024
BRAS106
BOTA108
16 Oct 2019
BRAS78
BOTA63
14 Nov 2018
BRAS82
BOTA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
71-66
71
66
+5
69avg 72
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 72
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 72
H12/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
A16/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
no box
A19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
64-70
64
70
-6
53avg 72
A21/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
89-64
89
64
+25
84avg 72
H03/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
84-61
84
61
+23
88avg 72
H07/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
73avg 72
A17/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
93-87
93
87
+6
88avg 72
A19/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
13-20
24-21
11-15
18-20
29-6
13-17
18-17
7-15
19-12
34-22
17-16
25-23
22-14
21-12
28-15
16-16
14-25
21-18
21-13
17-21
12-18
30-18
5-13
23-19
23-22
15-10
28-13
25-12
16-20
20-16
23-13
20-31
28-26
16-26
27-9
24-26
20-23
24-22
25-16
153.6Avg total
82.4Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.272.7154.9+9.671%
Season at home (12)83.868.9152.8+14.992%
Season away (16)81.175.5156.6+5.656%
Last 10 (10)82.471.2153.6+11.270%
Last 5 (5)84.274.8159.0+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.092.0176.0-8.00%
vs Similar (11)76.074.9150.9+1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.971.0156.9+14.989%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
71-104
71
104
-33
63avg 62
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
68-77
68
77
-9
58avg 62
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
65avg 62
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 62
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
56avg 62
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
67-93
67
93
-26
53avg 62
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
50avg 62
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 62
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 62
A04/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
13-32
20-27
17-29
24-21
8-23
17-12
19-21
22-26
21-24
20-15
19-21
14-21
21-15
16-22
22-16
26-18
18-20
23-30
22-12
19-17
28-14
10-24
13-14
19-27
13-22
20-18
15-26
18-21
12-24
21-24
15-19
23-17
13-21
25-23
20-26
17-23
20-14
19-27
27-18
159.0Avg total
75.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)72.583.1155.5-10.621%
Season at home (13)75.278.8154.1-3.638%
Season away (15)70.186.7156.8-16.77%
Last 10 (10)75.084.0159.0-9.030%
Last 5 (5)73.483.8157.2-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.684.3154.9-13.714%
vs Similar (8)77.979.5157.4-1.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
BrasiliaBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H12/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A21/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H03/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A17/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A19/02
NBB
77.3Avg total
39.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.677.5+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.836.278.0+5.777%-
Last 30 away (17)38.438.677.1-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.977.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.685.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (11)35.738.774.5-3.027%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.736.679.2+6.178%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/03
NBB
78.6Avg total
37.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.741.978.6-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.837.876.6+1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)35.145.180.1-10.012%-
Last 10 (10)37.041.678.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.076.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)35.842.478.2-6.623%-
vs Similar (8)39.140.579.6-1.438%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.115.9
54.6%
52.2%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.3
35.6%
32.5%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
72.8%15.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.9
50.7%
52.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.4
28.7%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.912.8
67.7%
72.8%12.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WLWWLLWWWW
Botafogo
WLLLWWLLLL
#5
League position
#16
+9.6
Net rating
-12.4
97.6
Offensive rating
87.4
88.0
Defensive rating
99.8
54.0%
Effective FG%
47.5%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.6%
3-point %
28.7%
65.8%
Assist %
57.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 87.4Defence88.0 · 99.8Shooting54.0% · 47.5%3-point %35.6% · 28.7%Ball care17.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds20.8% · 28.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Brasilia   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brasilia wins
4
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
18/11/25Botafogo v Brasilia70-82
17/03/25Brasilia v Botafogo94-71
05/12/24Botafogo v Brasilia67-89
10/03/24Brasilia v Botafogo106-108 OT
14/11/23Botafogo v Brasilia89-78
07/02/20Botafogo v Brasilia84-78
16/10/19Brasilia v Botafogo78-63
09/03/19Botafogo v Brasilia79-65
14/11/18Brasilia v Botafogo82-64
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26ACruzeiro93-87
17/02/26AMinas91-92
07/02/26HVasco84-61
03/02/26HUniao Corinthians89-64
21/01/26APinheiros64-70
19/01/26APaulistano81-83 OT
16/01/26AOsasco96-64
12/01/26HCaxias do Sul77-65
09/01/26ARio Claro78-60
29/12/25ABauru71-66
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26ARio Claro83-82
19/02/26HBauru81-87
17/02/26HFranca66-88
12/02/26APato67-93
05/02/26HMogi70-69
21/01/26HSao Jose89-80
19/01/26HCorinthians Paulista73-74
16/01/26ACearense82-86
13/01/26AUnifacisa68-77
29/12/25AFlamengo71-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %71%92%56%
Points / game82.283.881.1
Allowed / game72.768.975.5
Point differential+9.6+14.9+5.6
Avg total154.9152.8156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW21%
HomeLWWLL38%
AwayLLLLW7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %21%38%7%
Points / game72.575.270.1
Allowed / game83.178.886.7
Point differential-10.6-3.6-16.7
Avg total155.5154.1156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2823582%85.874.4+11.4
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Brasilia2820871%82.272.7+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2820871%83.878.0+5.8
7 Paulistano29181162%82.077.8+4.2
8 Sao Jose30181260%82.879.9+2.9
9 Bauru30181260%80.577.9+2.6
10 Uniao Corinthians28151354%79.581.4-1.9
11 Mogi29151452%75.870.1+5.6
12 Unifacisa28141450%80.980.2+0.6
13 Caxias do Sul28121643%72.877.3-4.5
14 Cruzeiro2791833%79.285.2-6.0
15 Rio Claro2992031%77.686.8-9.2
16 Pato2872125%73.379.4-6.1
17 Botafogo2862221%72.583.1-10.6
18 Cearense2862221%76.887.6-10.8
19 Osasco2842414%75.087.5-12.5
20 Vasco2942514%69.879.5-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia1620232079
Botafogo1023182273
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.