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Botafogo vs Pinheiros Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game73.1
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Botafogo v Pinheiros
21 Dec 2026
BOTA v PINH
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
BOTA62
PINH93
24 Oct 2024
BOTA67
PINH80
10 Apr 2024
BOTA93
PINH69
29 Feb 2020
BOTA88
PINH86
27 Apr 2019
BOTA88
PINH73
12 Apr 2019
BOTA91
PINH76
13 Dec 2018
BOTA76
PINH91
16 Nov 2017
BOTA73
PINH81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
86-104
86
104
-18
80avg 67
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 67
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 67
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 67
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 67
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
82avg 67
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 67
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
H12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
28-22
13-29
20-29
17-37
16-21
20-17
15-19
35-23
18-26
15-21
11-19
23-11
21-29
14-22
20-20
14-22
22-27
21-20
14-12
26-22
22-16
13-27
27-24
22-24
14-16
25-21
23-21
22-26
24-18
17-19
17-24
16-22
20-14
23-17
18-23
16-21
19-14
9-24
16-24
163.8Avg total
77.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.783.0159.7-6.333%
Season at home (3)74.784.0158.7-9.333%
Season away (3)78.782.0160.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)77.186.7163.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)77.883.4161.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.183.4156.5-10.327%
vs Similar (7)81.688.6170.1-7.029%
vs Weaker (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
94-92
94
92
+2
83avg 74
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 74
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
49avg 74
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
98-63
98
63
+35
102avg 74
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
68avg 74
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
89-74
89
74
+15
74avg 74
A29/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
91-53
91
53
+38
no box
H02/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
103-87
103
87
+16
no box
H07/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
no box
H09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
28-19
27-32
20-17
24-18
22-32
8-10
22-25
19-19
11-23
15-19
20-20
24-15
22-17
26-18
26-13
22-13
13-10
24-22
16-18
25-21
24-18
26-19
14-16
25-6
20-15
23-14
23-18
22-21
28-19
30-16
23-31
14-22
20-15
24-23
12-25
16-22
21-17
37-24
17-16
161.4Avg total
85.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.273.1158.4+12.175%
Season at home (4)84.872.0156.8+12.875%
Season away (4)85.874.2160.0+11.575%
Last 10 (10)85.276.2161.4+9.070%
Last 5 (5)88.875.6164.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)79.183.9163.0-4.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.474.4160.9+12.083%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
BotafogoPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/11
NBB
85.5Avg total
42.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.781.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.682.6-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.980.4-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.940.979.8-2.036%-
vs Similar (7)43.344.788.0-1.443%-
vs Weaker (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A29/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H02/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
NBB
78.5Avg total
41.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.781.7+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.637.181.7+7.577%-
Last 30 away (17)41.740.081.7+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.678.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.278.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.643.986.4-1.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.137.280.3+5.965%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
49.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
71.3%11.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.7
51.7%
49.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.1
34.4%
31.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
71.3%12.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLWLLLLLL
Pinheiros
WLWWWWWLLW
#14
League position
#3
-6.7
Net rating
+6.1
91.9
Offensive rating
94.5
98.6
Defensive rating
88.4
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.5%
3-point %
34.4%
66.8%
Assist %
53.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 94.5Defence98.6 · 88.4Shooting50.5% · 51.6%3-point %31.5% · 34.4%Ball care14.8% · 15.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Botafogo   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Botafogo wins
4
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
16/03/26Botafogo v Pinheiros62-93
27/12/25Pinheiros v Botafogo77-64
09/01/25Pinheiros v Botafogo75-63
24/10/24Botafogo v Pinheiros67-80
10/04/24Botafogo v Pinheiros93-69
29/12/23Pinheiros v Botafogo84-88
29/02/20Botafogo v Pinheiros88-86 OT
27/12/19Pinheiros v Botafogo92-98
30/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo78-82
27/04/19Botafogo v Pinheiros88-73
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HFranca60-83
02/11/26ABrasilia77-76
30/10/26HUniao Corinthians80-87
28/10/26HCaxias do Sul84-82
24/10/26APato88-89
20/10/26AFlamengo71-81
28/04/26HFranca78-82
25/04/26HFranca79-89
22/04/26AFranca68-94
18/04/26AVasco86-104
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ACorinthians Paulista91-79
09/11/26HMogi70-85
07/11/26HSao Jose103-87
02/11/26HCaxias do Sul91-53
29/10/26AOsasco89-74
27/10/26HUniao Corinthians75-63
22/10/26ACearense98-63
19/10/26AUnifacisa65-81
07/06/26AFranca76-85
04/06/26HFranca94-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.774.778.7
Allowed / game83.084.082.0
Point differential-6.3-9.3-3.3
Avg total159.7158.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pinheiros
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game85.284.885.8
Allowed / game73.172.074.2
Point differential+12.1+12.8+11.5
Avg total158.4156.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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