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Pinheiros vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 75-63
20-10 24-18 12-14 19-21
Position#5
Record10-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#18
Record6-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game80.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pinheiros v Botafogo
27 Dec 2025
PINH77
BOTA64
09 Jan 2025
PINH75
BOTA63
29 Dec 2023
PINH84
BOTA88
27 Dec 2019
PINH92
BOTA98
30 Apr 2019
PINH78
BOTA82
20 Apr 2019
PINH89
BOTA64
18 Apr 2019
PINH67
BOTA58
26 Jan 2019
PINH69
BOTA67
01 Feb 2018
PINH80
BOTA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
89avg 67
H11/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 67
H14/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 67
A28/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
73-53
73
53
+20
65avg 67
A02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 67
H12/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 67
H14/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
77-76
77
76
+1
62avg 67
A17/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
101-92 OT
101
92
+9
98avg 67
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
48avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
66avg 67
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
24-17
19-17
26-24
22-26
16-18
20-15
22-28
23-20
25-11
21-14
20-24
20-16
14-11
19-9
20-17
20-29
18-18
18-22
22-13
14-20
21-16
22-17
19-21
13-21
23-27
23-21
18-7
25-23
22-17
14-18
21-24
30-22
8-19
17-24
18-15
16-22
18-19
25-21
27-28
159.9Avg total
82.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.375.3151.7+1.056%
Season at home (7)75.978.9154.7-3.043%
Season away (11)76.673.1149.7+3.564%
Last 10 (10)82.077.9159.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.275.0142.2-7.827%
vs Similar (11)75.678.6154.3-3.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.871.2151.0+8.588%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
63-69
63
69
-6
58avg 66
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
58avg 66
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
68-66
68
66
+2
54avg 66
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
78-98
78
98
-20
57avg 66
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
52avg 66
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 66
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
71-82
71
82
-11
69avg 66
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
87avg 66
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
65avg 66
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 66
H27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
15-19
13-17
10-18
16-22
14-24
14-18
23-27
21-11
9-19
18-20
20-16
20-27
11-20
14-25
33-26
13-25
19-21
20-20
16-29
18-33
12-27
20-11
17-18
19-27
14-18
25-20
13-17
14-18
24-19
22-15
19-27
18-16
17-21
20-25
18-24
25-16
22-15
22-25
28-29
159.8Avg total
74.5Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.180.9153.9-7.833%
Season at home (10)72.581.5154.0-9.030%
Season away (8)73.880.1153.9-6.438%
Last 10 (10)74.585.3159.8-10.830%
Last 5 (5)80.286.8167.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.287.2162.3-12.025%
vs Similar (5)78.672.6151.2+6.060%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
PinheirosBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H14/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A28/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H12/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H14/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A17/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/12
NBB
78.0Avg total
39.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.037.973.9-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.239.676.8-2.438%-
Last 30 away (17)35.036.671.6-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.078.0+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.279.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.236.570.6-2.345%-
vs Similar (11)36.241.878.0-5.627%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.134.572.6+3.662%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-60
30
60
-30
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/12
NBB
75.9Avg total
34.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.542.679.1-6.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.841.978.7-5.238%-
Last 30 away (14)36.243.479.6-7.229%-
Last 10 (10)34.641.375.9-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.078.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.744.680.3-9.025%-
vs Similar (5)38.232.270.4+6.060%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.9
50.4%
50.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.7
32.3%
33.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.415.1
70.6%
72.7%15.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.4
46.6%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.1
31.6%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.612.8
65.3%
72.7%12.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
LLWWWLWWLW
Botafogo
WLWLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#18
+4.9
Net rating
-13.2
107.7
Offensive rating
95.4
102.8
Defensive rating
108.6
49.6%
Effective FG%
46.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.3%
3-point %
31.6%
54.5%
Assist %
64.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 95.4Defence102.8 · 108.6Shooting49.6% · 46.9%3-point %32.3% · 31.6%Ball care16.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 25.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pinheiros wins
7
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
24/10/24Botafogo v Pinheiros67-80
10/04/24Botafogo v Pinheiros93-69
29/12/23Pinheiros v Botafogo84-88
29/02/20Botafogo v Pinheiros88-86 OT
27/12/19Pinheiros v Botafogo92-98
30/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo78-82
27/04/19Botafogo v Pinheiros88-73
20/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo89-64
18/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo67-58
13/04/19Botafogo v Pinheiros91-76
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24APato86-90
23/12/24AUniao Corinthians73-80
21/12/24ACaxias do Sul101-92 OT
17/12/24ASao Jose77-76
14/12/24HCearense76-74
12/12/24HUnifacisa78-82
02/12/24AMogi73-53
28/11/24ACorinthians Paulista89-69
14/11/24HBauru80-87
11/11/24HFranca87-76
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24HMogi97-85
23/12/24HFranca73-86
18/12/24HBauru93-92 OT
15/12/24ASao Paulo71-82
05/12/24HBrasilia67-89
02/12/24HMinas68-95
28/11/24APato78-98
15/11/24HVasco68-66
13/11/24AFlamengo67-91
10/11/24HCaxias do Sul63-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWLLW43%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %56%43%64%
Points / game76.375.976.6
Allowed / game75.378.973.1
Point differential+1.0-3.0+3.5
Avg total151.7154.7149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%14%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%9%
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLWLW30%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %33%30%38%
Points / game73.172.573.8
Allowed / game80.981.580.1
Point differential-7.8-9.0-6.4
Avg total153.9154.0153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%10%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%10%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1917289%83.370.0+13.3
2 Flamengo1915479%83.972.0+11.9
3 Brasilia1913668%83.880.9+2.9
4 Franca1911858%81.178.3+2.8
5 Uniao Corinthians1911858%78.378.6-0.3
6 Vasco1810856%74.372.3+2.0
7 Pinheiros1810856%76.375.3+1.0
8 Sao Paulo1810856%78.778.4+0.3
9 Bauru1910953%78.279.8-1.6
10 Sao Jose1991047%75.775.2+0.5
11 Unifacisa1991047%75.276.1-0.9
12 Paulistano1881044%77.875.7+2.2
13 Corinthians Paulista1871139%79.781.1-1.4
14 Pato1971237%82.685.3-2.7
15 Botafogo1861233%73.180.9-7.8
16 Mogi1961332%72.479.7-7.3
17 Caxias do Sul1951426%72.279.1-6.9
18 Cearense1941521%69.277.4-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pinheiros2024121975
Botafogo1018142163
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