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Botafogo vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 93-69
27-20 22-19 18-13 26-17
Position#15
Record9-26
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#13
Record14-20
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game77.6
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Pinheiros
21 Dec 2026
BOTA v PINH
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
BOTA62
PINH93
24 Oct 2024
BOTA67
PINH80
10 Apr 2024
BOTA93
PINH69
29 Feb 2020
BOTA88
PINH86
27 Apr 2019
BOTA88
PINH73
12 Apr 2019
BOTA91
PINH76
13 Dec 2018
BOTA76
PINH91
16 Nov 2017
BOTA73
PINH81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
65avg 65
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
55avg 65
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
no box
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 65
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
no box
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
57avg 65
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
95-113
95
113
-18
83avg 65
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 65
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-116
72
116
-44
55avg 65
H08/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
16-20
23-30
21-18
19-29
14-28
20-16
13-23
19-17
23-24
17-22
18-14
17-22
21-18
21-22
15-12
19-23
20-11
23-20
20-25
27-23
21-24
21-18
27-31
17-24
20-33
13-16
24-24
24-28
19-24
26-33
26-28
20-21
25-21
12-15
26-22
18-27
18-32
18-23
18-34
177.9Avg total
82.9Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.988.7167.7-9.826%
Season at home (17)78.887.2166.0-8.529%
Season away (18)79.190.1169.2-11.022%
Last 10 (10)82.995.0177.9-12.130%
Last 5 (5)86.4102.2188.6-15.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.990.8169.7-11.829%
vs Similar (4)79.583.2162.8-3.80%
vs Weaker (2)98.592.0190.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
51-80
51
80
-29
41avg 69
A16/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
67avg 69
A29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
80-63
80
63
+17
82avg 69
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
78avg 69
H09/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
61avg 69
H11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
68avg 69
H23/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
51-81
51
81
-30
36avg 69
A27/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 69
A30/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
83-59
83
59
+24
90avg 69
H04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
56avg 69
A08/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
13-19
12-19
9-16
30-23
17-20
14-14
13-22
14-13
20-21
17-11
29-18
22-13
18-13
14-10
18-25
19-24
19-21
10-23
19-21
20-28
14-19
21-19
22-24
22-14
9-23
7-21
13-23
24-26
15-19
18-18
22-20
18-18
28-21
13-10
24-10
12-17
18-15
12-26
17-15
145.1Avg total
69.3Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)74.577.6152.1-3.141%
Season at home (18)76.676.5153.1+0.150%
Season away (16)72.278.8151.0-6.631%
Last 10 (10)69.375.8145.1-6.530%
Last 5 (5)69.877.2147.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.280.6152.8-8.535%
vs Similar (7)79.175.0154.1+4.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.373.3151.7+5.050%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
BotafogoPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H08/04
NBB
85.7Avg total
39.2Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.844.784.5-4.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.344.686.9-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)37.644.882.4-7.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.246.585.7-7.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.851.493.2-9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.945.884.7-6.833%-
vs Similar (4)39.839.579.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)50.542.593.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A16/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H09/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A30/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A08/04
NBB
76.2Avg total
36.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.579.2+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.339.179.4+1.247%-
Last 30 away (13)39.139.979.0-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.376.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.076.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.440.679.1-2.235%-
vs Similar (7)42.637.780.3+4.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.338.278.5+2.233%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.4
47.9%
51.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.8
33.4%
33.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.214.1
69.8%
72.6%14.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.5
49.2%
51.8%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.1
29.7%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.912.5
78.6%
72.6%12.5
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLLWWLLLL
Pinheiros
LWLLLLWWLL
#15
League position
#13
-22.5
Net rating
-8.8
102.2
Offensive rating
97.7
124.7
Defensive rating
106.5
48.9%
Effective FG%
47.3%
62.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.0%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.4%
3-point %
29.7%
59.9%
Assist %
77.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 97.7Defence124.7 · 106.5Shooting48.9% · 47.3%3-point %33.4% · 29.7%Ball care17.1% · 19.0%Off. rebounds26.3% · 28.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Botafogo   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Botafogo wins
4
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
29/12/23Pinheiros v Botafogo84-88
29/02/20Botafogo v Pinheiros88-86 OT
27/12/19Pinheiros v Botafogo92-98
30/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo78-82
27/04/19Botafogo v Pinheiros88-73
20/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo89-64
18/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo67-58
13/04/19Botafogo v Pinheiros91-76
26/01/19Pinheiros v Botafogo69-67
13/12/18Botafogo v Pinheiros76-91
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/24HCorinthians Paulista72-116
25/03/24HSao Paulo83-79
21/03/24ABauru95-113
19/03/24AFranca74-97
10/03/24ABrasilia108-106 OT
08/03/24ACerrado82-79
05/03/24HMogi84-87 OT
29/02/24HSao Jose90-93 OT
16/02/24AUnifacisa66-96
14/02/24ACearense75-84
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/24AFlamengo59-73
04/04/24HUniao Corinthians83-59
30/03/24APato79-83
27/03/24AMinas51-81
23/03/24HCorinthians Paulista77-90
11/03/24HUnifacisa67-89
09/03/24HCearense72-61
05/03/24HCaxias do Sul80-63
29/02/24ASao Paulo74-79
16/02/24APaulistano51-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL26%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLWWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %26%29%22%
Points / game78.978.879.1
Allowed / game88.787.290.1
Point differential-9.8-8.5-11.0
Avg total167.7166.0169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Pinheiros
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %41%50%31%
Points / game74.576.672.2
Allowed / game77.676.578.8
Point differential-3.1+0.1-6.6
Avg total152.1153.1151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%28%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)20% (5)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3631586%85.073.1+12.0
2 Franca3631586%88.476.7+11.7
3 Minas3426876%85.673.3+12.4
4 Vasco34231168%75.773.0+2.7
5 Bauru35231266%82.079.2+2.8
6 Unifacisa36231364%84.479.5+4.9
7 Paulistano35211460%75.270.5+4.6
8 Cearense34191556%79.177.4+1.7
9 Sao Jose35191654%79.777.6+2.1
10 Corinthians Paulista35191654%81.879.8+2.0
11 Sao Paulo36181850%78.479.1-0.7
12 Pato35161946%78.079.7-1.7
13 Pinheiros34142041%74.577.6-3.1
14 Mogi35102529%73.779.3-5.6
15 Uniao Corinthians35102529%74.783.8-9.1
16 Botafogo3592626%78.988.7-9.8
17 Caxias do Sul3482624%72.280.9-8.7
18 Cerrado3582723%74.777.9-3.1
19 Brasilia3543111%73.789.5-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2722182693
Pinheiros2019131769
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