PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Botafogo vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 62-93
25-20 17-19 8-22 12-32
Position#16
Record7-23
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#2
Record25-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game74.6
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Pinheiros
21 Dec 2026
BOTA v PINH
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
BOTA62
PINH93
24 Oct 2024
BOTA67
PINH80
10 Apr 2024
BOTA93
PINH69
29 Feb 2020
BOTA88
PINH86
27 Apr 2019
BOTA88
PINH73
12 Apr 2019
BOTA91
PINH76
13 Dec 2018
BOTA76
PINH91
16 Nov 2017
BOTA73
PINH81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
65avg 63
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 63
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
56avg 63
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
67-93
67
93
-26
53avg 63
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
50avg 63
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 63
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 63
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
58avg 63
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 63
H12/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
21-24
20-15
19-21
14-21
21-15
16-22
22-16
26-18
18-20
23-30
22-12
19-17
28-14
10-24
13-14
19-27
13-22
20-18
15-26
18-21
12-24
21-24
15-19
23-17
13-21
25-23
20-26
17-23
20-14
19-27
27-18
10-16
23-20
18-23
22-20
27-21
17-28
21-19
20-11
158.6Avg total
76.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.982.8155.7-9.923%
Season at home (14)75.978.9154.8-2.943%
Season away (16)70.286.2156.5-16.06%
Last 10 (10)76.981.7158.6-4.840%
Last 5 (5)77.683.0160.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.484.2154.7-13.810%
vs Similar (9)78.779.4158.1-0.856%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
94-101
94
101
-7
99avg 76
A12/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
H17/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
67avg 76
H21/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
95-73
95
73
+22
94avg 76
A04/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
69-62
69
62
+7
65avg 76
A11/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
70-77
70
77
-7
47avg 76
A13/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
78avg 76
H19/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
66avg 76
A05/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 76
H07/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 76
H13/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
15-30
18-16
28-26
24-13
24-17
27-13
18-22
21-17
18-12
18-30
13-5
30-19
23-14
22-16
20-24
15-19
17-14
21-13
16-16
17-18
18-24
11-19
24-16
26-11
15-25
20-14
19-18
21-25
22-20
27-11
10-17
21-20
12-28
27-11
23-18
20-15
19-27
31-23
31-14
157.4Avg total
83.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.274.6160.8+11.583%
Season at home (16)86.871.9158.8+14.994%
Season away (14)85.477.7163.1+7.771%
Last 10 (10)83.573.9157.4+9.680%
Last 5 (5)82.874.8157.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)75.576.2151.7-0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.874.2163.1+14.688%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
BotafogoPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/03
NBB
79.0Avg total
38.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.942.078.9-5.123%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.238.677.8+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)34.945.079.9-10.16%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.979.0-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.742.278.0-6.519%-
vs Similar (9)39.741.481.1-1.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A12/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H17/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H21/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A04/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A11/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A05/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H07/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/03
NBB
80.8Avg total
41.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.882.6+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.137.481.5+6.881%-
Last 30 away (14)43.340.583.8+2.843%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.780.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.680.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)38.339.077.3-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.138.883.9+6.367%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.0
52.9%
52.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.3
27.8%
32.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.213.6
67.3%
72.8%13.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.0
54.3%
52.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.49.4
29.0%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.716.1
77.8%
72.8%16.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
WLWLLLWWLL
Pinheiros
WWWWLWWWWL
#16
League position
#2
-6.2
Net rating
+6.1
87.8
Offensive rating
92.2
93.9
Defensive rating
86.2
48.3%
Effective FG%
49.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.8%
3-point %
29.0%
57.1%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence87.8 · 92.2Defence93.9 · 86.2Shooting48.3% · 49.1%3-point %27.8% · 29.0%Ball care13.9% · 15.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Botafogo   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Botafogo wins
4
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Pinheiros v Botafogo77-64
09/01/25Pinheiros v Botafogo75-63
24/10/24Botafogo v Pinheiros67-80
10/04/24Botafogo v Pinheiros93-69
29/12/23Pinheiros v Botafogo84-88
29/02/20Botafogo v Pinheiros88-86 OT
27/12/19Pinheiros v Botafogo92-98
30/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo78-82
27/04/19Botafogo v Pinheiros88-73
20/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo89-64
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26HOsasco85-79
06/03/26ABrasilia73-79
04/03/26ARio Claro83-82
19/02/26HBauru81-87
17/02/26HFranca66-88
12/02/26APato67-93
05/02/26HMogi70-69
21/01/26HSao Jose89-80
19/01/26HCorinthians Paulista73-74
16/01/26ACearense82-86
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HCruzeiro101-79
07/03/26HCearense83-77
05/03/26AMogi80-73
19/02/26HPaulistano80-68
13/02/26AUniao Corinthians70-77
11/02/26ACaxias do Sul69-62
04/02/26AOsasco95-73
21/01/26HBrasilia70-64
17/01/26HRio Claro93-65
12/01/26ABauru94-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW23%
HomeWWLLW43%
AwayLLLWL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %23%43%6%
Points / game72.975.970.2
Allowed / game82.878.986.2
Point differential-9.9-2.9-16.0
Avg total155.7154.8156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pinheiros
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %83%94%71%
Points / game86.286.885.4
Allowed / game74.671.977.7
Point differential+11.5+14.9+7.7
Avg total160.8158.8163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%81%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3025583%86.274.6+11.5
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Corinthians Paulista3022873%84.778.1+6.5
6 Brasilia3122971%81.471.6+9.7
7 Paulistano30181260%82.278.2+4.0
8 Bauru32191359%81.078.5+2.5
9 Sao Jose31181358%82.480.4+2.0
10 Uniao Corinthians29161355%79.480.9-1.4
11 Mogi31171455%75.870.1+5.7
12 Unifacisa30161453%80.479.4+0.9
13 Caxias do Sul30131743%72.676.8-4.3
14 Cruzeiro30111937%80.085.8-5.8
15 Rio Claro31102132%78.086.2-8.1
16 Pato3072323%73.579.8-6.3
17 Botafogo3072323%72.982.8-9.9
18 Cearense3162519%75.787.4-11.6
19 Vasco3252716%70.279.3-9.1
20 Osasco3142713%75.887.6-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo251781262
Pinheiros2019223293
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.