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Pinheiros vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-88
22-18 18-23 18-21 26-26
Position#13
Record7-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#15
Record5-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game84.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pinheiros v Botafogo
27 Dec 2025
PINH77
BOTA64
09 Jan 2025
PINH75
BOTA63
29 Dec 2023
PINH84
BOTA88
27 Dec 2019
PINH92
BOTA98
30 Apr 2019
PINH78
BOTA82
20 Apr 2019
PINH89
BOTA64
18 Apr 2019
PINH67
BOTA58
26 Jan 2019
PINH69
BOTA67
01 Feb 2018
PINH80
BOTA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 69
A23/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
92-94
92
94
-2
84avg 69
A30/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
72avg 69
H07/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-71
73
71
+2
75avg 69
H09/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
73-67
73
67
+6
60avg 69
H13/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
61-91
61
91
-30
41avg 69
H16/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
91-77
91
77
+14
89avg 69
H18/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
64-73
64
73
-9
56avg 69
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
71-65
71
65
+6
66avg 69
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 69
H27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
23-24
14-22
24-16
21-26
24-25
27-26
20-17
19-23
22-17
14-17
20-12
25-10
20-20
9-18
19-23
19-23
21-13
13-16
20-15
21-31
15-22
13-22
12-16
25-16
14-23
28-10
24-28
21-14
14-14
9-28
20-17
17-17
20-20
15-13
19-15
26-28
19-20
19-20
19-20
154.1Avg total
76.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.978.5154.5-2.641%
Season at home (8)74.977.0151.9-2.150%
Season away (9)76.979.9156.8-3.033%
Last 10 (10)76.178.0154.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)74.078.8152.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.081.4158.4-4.430%
vs Similar (10)78.480.1158.5-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.371.9151.2+7.480%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H14/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
74-73
74
73
+1
64avg 64
H18/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 64
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
62avg 64
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
75avg 64
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 64
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 64
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
78avg 64
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 64
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
72avg 64
H20/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
32-23
15-24
21-16
14-17
24-28
16-12
20-16
17-17
21-17
18-26
25-26
20-20
12-31
16-25
24-20
22-14
22-32
22-14
17-20
22-13
22-31
14-17
19-17
9-16
21-26
19-23
28-20
15-19
23-18
21-18
32-31
26-24
21-15
20-26
23-21
20-28
15-24
24-26
28-26
167.3Avg total
82.1Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.884.7162.5-6.929%
Season at home (9)79.084.6163.6-5.644%
Season away (8)76.584.9161.4-8.412%
Last 10 (10)82.185.2167.3-3.150%
Last 5 (5)84.487.8172.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.285.6162.9-8.425%
vs Similar (11)79.782.1161.8-2.445%
vs Weaker (3)82.775.0157.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
PinheirosBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A23/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A30/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H09/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H16/12
NBB
Pato
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H27/12
NBB
81.2Avg total
40.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.179.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.239.079.2+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)41.039.180.1+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.981.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.079.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.043.085.0-1.040%-
vs Similar (10)39.839.979.7-0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.034.374.3+5.770%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H14/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H18/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H20/12
NBB
82.7Avg total
39.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.179.1-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.181.8-2.327%-
Last 30 away (15)36.340.176.4-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.882.7-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.881.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.042.980.9-4.925%-
vs Similar (11)38.139.077.1-0.945%-
vs Weaker (3)38.039.077.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.6
51.0%
51.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.5
30.4%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.414.6
71.6%
72.6%14.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.9
48.9%
51.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.4
32.9%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.915.5
77.9%
72.6%15.5
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
LWLWLWWWLL
Botafogo
LWWLLWLLWW
#13
League position
#15
-2.0
Net rating
-3.6
102.4
Offensive rating
105.7
104.4
Defensive rating
109.3
48.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.4%
3-point %
32.9%
64.4%
Assist %
57.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 105.7Defence104.4 · 109.3Shooting48.6% · 49.1%3-point %30.4% · 32.9%Ball care19.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds32.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pinheiros wins
5
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
29/02/20Botafogo v Pinheiros88-86 OT
27/12/19Pinheiros v Botafogo92-98
30/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo78-82
27/04/19Botafogo v Pinheiros88-73
20/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo89-64
18/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo67-58
13/04/19Botafogo v Pinheiros91-76
26/01/19Pinheiros v Botafogo69-67
13/12/18Botafogo v Pinheiros76-91
01/02/18Pinheiros v Botafogo80-77
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23HFlamengo83-88
23/12/23AUniao Corinthians71-65
21/12/23ACaxias do Sul64-73
18/12/23HPato91-77
16/12/23HMinas61-91
13/12/23HVasco73-67
09/12/23HSao Jose73-71
07/12/23HMogi75-69
30/11/23ACorinthians Paulista92-94
23/11/23AUnifacisa78-85
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HUnifacisa87-104
18/12/23HCearense90-86
09/12/23ACorinthians Paulista91-86
07/12/23APaulistano77-85
04/12/23ASao Paulo77-78
29/11/23HBauru83-80
23/11/23ASao Jose72-96
20/11/23AMogi81-86
18/11/23HCerrado74-73
14/11/23HBrasilia89-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game75.974.976.9
Allowed / game78.577.079.9
Point differential-2.6-2.1-3.0
Avg total154.5151.9156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeWWWWL44%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%44%12%
Points / game77.879.076.5
Allowed / game84.784.684.9
Point differential-6.9-5.6-8.4
Avg total162.5163.6161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1614288%84.873.1+11.7
2 Minas1815383%85.373.7+11.7
3 Franca1613381%86.174.0+12.1
4 Paulistano1813572%75.270.7+4.5
5 Vasco1813572%73.769.5+4.2
6 Unifacisa1711665%80.576.8+3.7
7 Cearense1710759%78.475.8+2.6
8 Bauru1810856%78.877.7+1.1
9 Sao Jose179853%79.574.8+4.6
10 Corinthians Paulista178947%80.681.6-1.0
11 Sao Paulo178947%76.779.0-2.3
12 Pinheiros1771041%75.978.5-2.6
13 Pato1871139%75.277.9-2.8
14 Caxias do Sul1761135%71.478.8-7.5
15 Botafogo1751229%77.884.7-6.9
16 Uniao Corinthians1751229%71.980.9-8.9
17 Cerrado1851328%73.775.4-1.7
18 Brasilia1831517%71.185.3-14.2
19 Mogi1721512%73.881.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pinheiros2218182684
Botafogo1823212688
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