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Toledo vs Bowling Green Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-72
31-31 57-41
Position#107
Record12-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game76.3
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#127
Record14-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Toledo v Bowling Green
12 Mar 2026
TOLE77
BOWL76
24 Jan 2026
TOLE73
BOWL72
21 Feb 2025
TOLE68
BOWL69
27 Jan 2024
TOLE88
BOWL72
28 Jan 2023
TOLE91
BOWL77
04 Mar 2022
TOLE96
BOWL56
13 Feb 2021
TOLE81
BOWL88
25 Jan 2020
TOLE79
BOWL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bowling Green winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#289
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
60-86
60
86
-26
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-39
40-48
24-42
36-44
33-45
48-46
38-32
48-45
29-40
39-24
43-29
46-46
40-33
37-39
33-33
44-33
23-30
39-35
38-38
51-35
153.3Avg total
77.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.776.3155.0+2.463%
Season at home (11)79.177.0156.1+2.164%
Season away (8)78.175.4153.5+2.862%
Last 10 (10)77.775.6153.3+2.170%
Last 5 (5)78.870.2149.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.282.8155.0-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.975.7155.6+4.283%
vs Weaker (13)86.173.4159.5+12.785%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#200
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H16/12
NCAA
Hampton
#340
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H19/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#427
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A06/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-34
34-35
21-31
54-34
28-29
51-29
34-42
48-40
41-36
26-47
38-35
45-43
43-32
40-40
36-37
42-36
39-31
45-48
35-35
39-39
156.1Avg total
80.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.870.8147.6+5.974%
Season at home (14)79.670.4150.0+9.379%
Season away (5)68.872.2141.0-3.460%
Last 10 (10)80.475.7156.1+4.780%
Last 5 (5)82.478.4160.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.183.7153.8-13.610%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.472.0147.4+3.456%
vs Weaker (9)77.173.4150.6+3.778%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +3.3+3.3
ToledoBowling Green
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#289
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
34.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.173.9+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.936.475.3+2.547%-
Last 30 away (13)36.435.672.0+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)34.936.171.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.668.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.040.872.8-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.335.471.8+0.950%-
vs Weaker (13)40.634.975.5+5.762%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#200
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Hampton
#340
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H19/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#427
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H03/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/01
NCAA
70.2Avg total
36.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.234.167.3-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.132.566.6+1.655%-
Last 30 away (10)31.337.568.8-6.230%-
Last 10 (10)36.034.270.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.072.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.538.470.9-5.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.833.369.1+2.444%-
vs Weaker (9)31.232.763.9-1.444%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toledo wins
3
Bowling Green wins
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24ANorthern Illinois89-73
20/01/24ACentral Michigan62-65
17/01/24HBuffalo77-66
14/01/24HBall State77-72
10/01/24AKent State89-75
06/01/24HMiami (Ohio)68-64
03/01/24AOhio86-77
23/12/23AWest Virginia81-91
21/12/23HVermont60-86
14/12/23HMarshall88-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HKent State84-90 OT
20/01/24HWestern Michigan84-79
17/01/24AMiami (Ohio)78-73
13/01/24ANorthern Illinois83-72
10/01/24HOhio83-78
06/01/24AAkron67-83
03/01/24HEastern Michigan92-90 OT
22/12/23HSiena Heights79-58
19/12/23HHampton75-65
16/12/23HUMKC79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW63%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %63%64%62%
Points / game78.779.178.1
Allowed / game76.377.075.4
Point differential+2.4+2.1+2.8
Avg total155.0156.1153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%18%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bowling Green
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19145
Win %74%79%60%
Points / game76.879.668.8
Allowed / game70.870.472.2
Point differential+5.9+9.3-3.4
Avg total147.6150.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %11%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2015575%76.265.8+10.4
2 Bowling Green1914574%76.870.8+5.9
3 UMass1912763%81.272.0+9.2
4 Toledo1912763%78.776.3+2.4
5 Central Michigan2011955%66.871.2-4.5
6 Ball State1910953%75.070.0+5.0
7 Miami (Ohio)1910953%74.471.3+3.2
8 Ohio20101050%77.571.0+6.6
9 Kent State20101050%77.874.5+3.3
10 Eastern Michigan1981142%66.974.9-8.0
11 Western Michigan2081240%73.574.9-1.4
12 Northern Illinois1861233%77.180.1-3.1
13 Buffalo1821611%67.279.6-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo315788
Bowling Green314172
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