PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Braga vs Galitos Aveiro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-51
23-8 13-16 16-21 27-6
Position#1
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game69.7
Braga 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#16
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game71.3
PortugalProligaRound 7· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Braga v Galitos Aveiro
16 Nov 2024
BRAG79
GALI51
20 Jan 2024
BRAG78
GALI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galitos Aveiro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#1
L
54-81
54
81
-27
38avg 69
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 69
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
74-64
74
64
+10
65avg 69
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
56avg 69
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
72avg 69
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 69
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
62avg 69
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 69
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
85avg 69
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
79-55
79
55
+24
77avg 69
A09/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
10-15
16-24
16-22
14-14
19-20
22-26
19-26
22-18
11-17
22-12
19-17
25-16
11-17
18-20
18-23
16-20
17-14
24-15
24-16
28-21
20-13
19-24
27-17
16-22
22-14
15-17
14-16
25-26
22-8
19-15
18-29
25-22
24-14
16-16
17-24
23-13
18-18
23-14
15-10
148.6Avg total
76.1Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.269.7150.8+11.583%
Season at home (2)88.075.5163.5+12.5100%
Season away (4)77.866.8144.5+11.075%
Last 10 (10)76.172.5148.6+3.660%
Last 5 (5)81.270.6151.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (15)76.775.8152.5+0.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.271.7153.8+10.575%
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos AveiroPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAveiro
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
L
55-59
55
59
-4
42avg 65
A17/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
94-91
94
91
+3
86avg 65
H23/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
67-79
67
79
-12
61avg 65
H24/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
W
61-58
61
58
+3
53avg 65
H14/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
70-59
70
59
+11
69avg 65
H05/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
67-71
67
71
-4
61avg 65
A12/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
56-68
56
68
-12
46avg 65
H19/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
60-73
60
73
-13
47avg 65
H26/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
69-75
69
75
-6
59avg 65
A01/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 65
H09/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-9
13-16
17-21
8-13
23-21
20-12
18-27
33-31
16-25
15-19
17-20
19-15
16-11
15-16
14-12
16-19
22-8
13-13
22-12
13-26
15-20
24-17
18-18
10-16
19-18
7-15
13-17
17-18
22-23
9-17
21-13
8-20
18-28
19-14
15-13
17-20
20-11
18-23
18-22
21-26
139.1Avg total
67.6Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)66.571.3137.8-4.817%
Season at home (4)65.870.5136.2-4.825%
Season away (2)68.073.0141.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)67.671.5139.1-3.930%
Last 5 (5)65.873.8139.6-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)67.873.8141.5-6.012%
vs Similar (14)75.678.5154.1-2.929%
vs Weaker (8)77.270.8148.0+6.575%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.2-4.2
BragaGalitos Aveiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#1
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A09/11
Proliga
72.2Avg total
38.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.776.6+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.838.278.0+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)38.137.275.3+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)38.034.272.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.634.278.8+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (15)38.438.376.7+0.127%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.035.876.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos AveiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A17/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H23/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H24/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H14/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H05/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A12/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H19/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H26/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H09/11
Proliga
67.7Avg total
34.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.137.273.3-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.437.075.4+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)33.537.470.9-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)34.133.667.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.237.271.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.635.469.0-1.838%-
vs Similar (14)35.939.975.9-4.029%-
vs Weaker (8)38.934.173.0+4.875%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.8
51.2%
49.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.1
28.4%
30.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.012.5
62.5%
68.4%12.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galitos Aveirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galitos Aveiro: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.9
50.1%
49.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.3
26.4%
30.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.011.3
70.6%
68.4%11.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
WWWLWWLWLL
Galitos Aveiro
LLLLLWWLWL
#1
League position
#16
+4.4
Net rating
-4.2
101.1
Offensive rating
90.4
96.7
Defensive rating
94.6
47.9%
Effective FG%
45.4%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
19.1%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.4%
3-point %
26.4%
62.0%
Assist %
72.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 90.4Defence96.7 · 94.6Shooting47.9% · 45.4%3-point %28.4% · 26.4%Ball care18.6% · 19.1%Off. rebounds33.2% · 22.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Braga   ■ Galitos Aveiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Braga wins
0
Galitos Aveiro wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Braga v Galitos Aveiro78-65
18/11/23Galitos Aveiro v Braga87-90
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24ASangalhos79-55
01/11/24HVasco Da Gama82-76
26/10/24AGinasio84-78
19/10/24AIlliabum67-69
12/10/24HMaia94-75
05/10/24ASampaense81-65
14/04/24HIlliabum72-76
13/04/24ASanto Andre74-64
30/03/24HGalitos Barreiro74-86
24/03/24ACA Queluz54-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HMaia77-82
01/11/24ASampaense69-75
26/10/24HIlliabum60-73
19/10/24HSangalhos56-68
12/10/24AVasco Da Gama67-71
05/10/24HGinasio70-59
14/04/24HBarreirense61-58
24/03/24HImortal B67-79
23/03/24HGinasio Olhanense94-91
17/03/24ABenfica Lisboa B55-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game81.288.077.8
Allowed / game69.775.566.8
Point differential+11.5+12.5+11.0
Avg total150.8163.5144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galitos Aveiro
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game66.565.868.0
Allowed / game71.370.573.0
Point differential-4.8-4.8-5.0
Avg total137.8136.2141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga65183%81.269.7+11.5
2 Imortal B54180%72.868.4+4.4
3 CAB Madeira75271%73.662.3+11.3
4 Illiabum75271%76.065.0+11.0
5 Vasco Da Gama75271%82.376.6+5.7
6 Santo Andre64267%64.261.0+3.2
7 Maia74357%79.181.1-2.0
8 Portimonense63350%73.272.8+0.3
9 Barreirense73443%65.669.4-3.9
10 Ginasio73443%78.082.6-4.6
11 Benfica Lisboa B62433%65.067.0-2.0
12 CB Queluz62433%69.373.3-4.0
13 Sangalhos72529%71.177.6-6.4
14 Lusitania72529%63.772.1-8.4
15 Sampaense72529%72.682.0-9.4
16 Galitos Aveiro61517%66.571.3-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga2313162779
Galitos Aveiro81621651
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.