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Braga vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 96-59
24-16 23-18 23-13 26-12
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game67.0
Braga 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#11
Record2-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game82.0
PortugalProligaRound 8· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Braga v Sampaense
30 Nov 2024
BRAG96
SAMP59
04 Nov 2023
BRAG95
SAMP86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 68
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
74-64
74
64
+10
65avg 68
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
56avg 68
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
72avg 68
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 68
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
62avg 68
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 68
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
85avg 68
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
79-55
79
55
+24
77avg 68
A09/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
79-51
79
51
+28
83avg 68
H16/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
19-20
22-26
19-26
22-18
11-17
22-12
19-17
25-16
11-17
18-20
18-23
16-20
17-14
24-15
24-16
28-21
20-13
19-24
27-17
16-22
22-14
15-17
14-16
25-26
22-8
19-15
18-29
25-22
24-14
16-16
17-24
23-13
18-18
23-14
15-10
23-8
13-16
16-21
27-6
148.1Avg total
78.6Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.967.0147.9+13.986%
Season at home (3)85.067.3152.3+17.7100%
Season away (4)77.866.8144.5+11.075%
Last 10 (10)78.669.5148.1+9.170%
Last 5 (5)78.265.8144.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (15)76.775.8152.5+0.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.169.1151.2+13.083%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
L
69-71
69
71
-2
60avg 63
H23/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
83-92 OT
83
92
-9
74avg 63
H30/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
77-68
77
68
+9
73avg 63
H14/04
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
60avg 63
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
72-78
72
78
-6
66avg 63
A12/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 63
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
68avg 63
A26/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 63
H01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
56-94
56
94
-38
44avg 63
H09/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
75-83
75
83
-8
58avg 63
A16/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
16-10
13-20
19-24
27-25
21-16
17-15
13-22
26-21
12-21
18-12
21-14
20-16
14-17
15-24
16-24
18-15
14-18
30-26
10-19
23-12
19-19
18-27
20-20
16-31
16-22
24-19
29-19
28-18
14-19
13-15
20-17
9-12
18-25
21-38
8-19
15-23
16-14
15-28
29-18
154.2Avg total
73.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.682.0154.6-9.429%
Season at home (4)69.080.5149.5-11.550%
Season away (3)77.384.0161.3-6.70%
Last 10 (10)73.780.5154.2-6.830%
Last 5 (5)74.283.0157.2-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)71.184.0155.2-12.910%
vs Similar (8)82.178.8160.9+3.450%
vs Weaker (1)75.069.0144.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
BragaSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A09/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H16/11
Proliga
72.5Avg total
39.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.376.1+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.537.376.8+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.137.375.3+0.840%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.172.5+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.232.274.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (15)38.438.376.7+0.127%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.834.875.5+6.075%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H23/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H30/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/04
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A26/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H09/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A16/11
Proliga
73.4Avg total
36.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.677.8-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.577.8-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)36.141.777.7-5.620%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.173.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.073.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.639.876.4-3.238%-
vs Similar (8)38.243.081.2-4.812%-
vs Weaker (1)42.037.079.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.4
52.7%
49.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.6
29.8%
30.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.112.5
62.2%
68.4%12.5
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
49.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.9
29.9%
30.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.214.6
68.9%
68.4%14.6
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
WWWWLWWLWL
Sampaense
LLWLWLLWLL
#1
League position
#11
+12.4
Net rating
-8.8
105.6
Offensive rating
102.2
93.2
Defensive rating
111.0
49.6%
Effective FG%
50.6%
43.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.8%
3-point %
29.9%
64.8%
Assist %
54.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 102.2Defence93.2 · 111.0Shooting49.6% · 50.6%3-point %29.8% · 29.9%Ball care17.9% · 15.6%Off. rebounds34.8% · 22.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Braga   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Braga wins
0
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Sampaense v Braga65-81
13/01/24Sampaense v Braga72-90
04/11/23Braga v Sampaense95-86
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HGalitos Aveiro79-51
09/11/24ASangalhos79-55
01/11/24HVasco Da Gama82-76
26/10/24AGinasio84-78
19/10/24AIlliabum67-69
12/10/24HMaia94-75
05/10/24ASampaense81-65
14/04/24HIlliabum72-76
13/04/24ASanto Andre74-64
30/03/24HGalitos Barreiro74-86
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AMaia75-83
09/11/24HIlliabum56-94
01/11/24HGalitos Aveiro75-69
26/10/24ASangalhos85-91
19/10/24HVasco Da Gama80-78
12/10/24AGinasio72-78
05/10/24HBraga65-81
14/04/24HGinasio Olhanense77-68
30/03/24HImortal B83-92 OT
23/03/24HBenfica Lisboa B69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game80.985.077.8
Allowed / game67.067.366.8
Point differential+13.9+17.7+11.0
Avg total147.9152.3144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game72.669.077.3
Allowed / game82.080.584.0
Point differential-9.4-11.5-6.7
Avg total154.6149.5161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga76186%80.967.0+13.9
2 Imortal B65183%72.066.7+5.3
3 Illiabum86275%77.463.9+13.5
4 Vasco Da Gama75271%82.376.6+5.7
5 Portimonense85362%74.673.0+1.6
6 CAB Madeira95456%73.865.4+8.3
7 Santo Andre95456%66.465.6+0.9
8 Ginasio84450%78.281.8-3.5
9 Maia84450%76.281.9-5.6
10 CB Queluz73443%69.973.1-3.3
11 Barreirense73443%65.669.4-3.9
12 Benfica Lisboa B72529%66.068.7-2.7
13 Sangalhos72529%71.177.6-6.4
14 Lusitania72529%63.772.1-8.4
15 Sampaense72529%72.682.0-9.4
16 Galitos Aveiro81712%65.873.4-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga2423232696
Sampaense1618131259
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