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Braga vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 67-71
11-13 17-22 22-11 17-25
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Position#5
Record6-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game64.9
PortugalProligaRound 10· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Braga v Illiabum
05 Apr 2025
BRAG76
ILLI82
13 Dec 2024
BRAG67
ILLI71
14 Apr 2024
BRAG72
ILLI76
10 Feb 2024
BRAG89
ILLI64
04 Feb 2024
BRAG60
ILLI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
56avg 72
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
72avg 72
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 72
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
62avg 72
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 72
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
85avg 72
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
79-55
79
55
+24
77avg 72
A09/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
79-51
79
51
+28
83avg 72
H16/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
96-59
96
59
+37
100avg 72
H30/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 72
A07/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
11-17
18-20
18-23
16-20
17-14
24-15
24-16
28-21
20-13
19-24
27-17
16-22
22-14
15-17
14-16
25-26
22-8
19-15
18-29
25-22
24-14
16-16
17-24
23-13
18-18
23-14
15-10
23-8
13-16
16-21
27-6
24-16
23-18
23-13
26-12
21-17
25-18
27-24
22-17
150.9Avg total
82.9Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.167.1151.2+17.089%
Season at home (4)87.865.2153.0+22.5100%
Season away (5)81.268.6149.8+12.680%
Last 10 (10)82.968.0150.9+14.980%
Last 5 (5)86.263.4149.6+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (15)76.775.8152.5+0.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.467.8150.2+14.783%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Braga
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
65avg 69
A14/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
78-65
78
65
+13
75avg 69
A05/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
74-50
74
50
+24
75avg 69
H12/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
69-67
69
67
+2
56avg 69
H19/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
73-60
73
60
+13
63avg 69
A26/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 69
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
94-56
94
56
+38
94avg 69
A09/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
61avg 69
H16/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
87-56
87
56
+31
93avg 69
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 69
A07/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
17-11
20-18
23-18
19-16
24-13
19-17
16-19
21-18
24-6
15-17
14-9
22-16
14-22
17-15
16-14
23-22
17-9
13-21
20-8
24-23
20-12
10-21
23-22
12-9
25-18
38-21
19-8
13-21
14-16
13-23
27-19
25-16
26-16
20-10
16-14
18-18
16-19
26-15
12-21
142.3Avg total
76.7Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.864.9141.7+11.967%
Season at home (5)74.866.0140.8+8.860%
Season away (4)79.263.5142.8+15.875%
Last 10 (10)76.765.6142.3+11.170%
Last 5 (5)79.468.4147.8+11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.280.6154.8-6.420%
vs Similar (15)75.175.2150.3-0.160%
vs Weaker (10)79.661.9141.5+17.770%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
BragaIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A09/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H16/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H30/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A07/12
Proliga
75.2Avg total
42.1Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.036.975.9+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.636.676.1+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)38.637.175.7+1.444%-
Last 10 (10)42.133.175.2+9.090%-
Last 5 (5)43.832.075.8+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (15)38.438.376.7+0.127%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.333.875.1+7.683%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A05/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H12/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A26/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A09/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H16/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A07/12
Proliga
71.6Avg total
39.0Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.034.772.7+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.736.776.4+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)36.332.769.1+3.667%-
Last 10 (10)39.032.671.6+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.672.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.438.675.0-2.240%-
vs Similar (15)36.135.972.0+0.347%-
vs Weaker (10)41.631.172.7+10.590%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.8
55.9%
49.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.5
30.6%
30.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.112.0
62.8%
68.4%12.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.9
49.8%
49.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.2
30.8%
30.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
68.4%14.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
WWWWWWLWWL
Illiabum
LWLWLWWWWW
#1
League position
#5
+20.1
Net rating
+14.9
109.2
Offensive rating
101.9
89.1
Defensive rating
87.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
48.4%
41.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
21.5%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
37.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.6%
3-point %
30.8%
66.5%
Assist %
63.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 101.9Defence89.1 · 87.0Shooting52.2% · 48.4%3-point %30.6% · 30.8%Ball care17.4% · 21.5%Off. rebounds33.7% · 37.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Braga   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Braga wins
4
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Illiabum v Braga69-67
14/04/24Braga v Illiabum72-76
10/02/24Braga v Illiabum89-64
04/02/24Braga v Illiabum60-61
03/12/23Illiabum v Braga74-63
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AMaia95-76
30/11/24HSampaense96-59
16/11/24HGalitos Aveiro79-51
09/11/24ASangalhos79-55
01/11/24HVasco Da Gama82-76
26/10/24AGinasio84-78
19/10/24AIlliabum67-69
12/10/24HMaia94-75
05/10/24ASampaense81-65
14/04/24HIlliabum72-76
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24ASangalhos72-73
30/11/24HMaia87-56
16/11/24HVasco Da Gama67-79
09/11/24ASampaense94-56
01/11/24HGinasio77-78
26/10/24AGalitos Aveiro73-60
19/10/24HBraga69-67
12/10/24HSangalhos74-50
05/10/24AMaia78-65
14/04/24ABraga76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game84.187.881.2
Allowed / game67.165.268.6
Point differential+17.0+22.5+12.6
Avg total151.2153.0149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game76.874.879.2
Allowed / game64.966.063.5
Point differential+11.9+8.8+15.8
Avg total141.7140.8142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%40%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga98189%84.167.1+17.0
2 Vasco Da Gama97278%84.177.8+6.3
3 Imortal B97278%68.865.7+3.1
4 Illiabum96367%76.864.9+11.9
5 CAB Madeira106460%75.465.7+9.7
6 CB Queluz95456%69.768.7+1.0
7 Portimonense95456%72.772.0+0.7
8 Santo Andre105550%67.768.2-0.5
9 Lusitania94544%71.172.1-1.0
10 Ginasio94544%79.683.9-4.3
11 Maia94544%76.283.3-7.1
12 Sangalhos93633%72.877.8-5.0
13 Barreirense93633%66.872.4-5.7
14 Sampaense93633%74.284.4-10.2
15 Benfica Lisboa B92722%65.173.4-8.3
16 Galitos Aveiro91811%67.375.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga1117221767
Illiabum1322112571
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