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Braga vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-82
12-28 22-21 23-19 19-14
Position#1
Record19-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game69.8
Braga
Portugal
vs
Illiabum 🏆
Portugal
Position#5
Record14-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game68.5
PortugalProligaRound 11· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Braga v Illiabum
05 Apr 2025
BRAG76
ILLI82
13 Dec 2024
BRAG67
ILLI71
14 Apr 2024
BRAG72
ILLI76
10 Feb 2024
BRAG89
ILLI64
04 Feb 2024
BRAG60
ILLI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#3
W
93-58
93
58
+35
80avg 77
H25/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 77
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
83-74 OT
83
74
+9
81avg 77
H08/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
73-61
73
61
+12
68avg 77
A15/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
71-54
71
54
+17
68avg 77
H22/02
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 77
A01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
52avg 77
H08/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 77
A16/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
90avg 77
H22/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
78avg 77
A29/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
19-22
16-10
29-6
21-20
25-24
21-25
29-14
19-23
19-16
16-13
16-18
21-18
21-15
20-19
11-9
20-19
18-19
15-5
18-11
15-20
21-20
15-22
23-22
14-14
15-18
16-15
26-20
19-19
22-21
16-26
16-11
13-16
21-14
23-14
22-25
23-12
13-20
19-20
27-17
149.1Avg total
79.5Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.969.8152.7+13.179%
Season at home (12)84.567.3151.8+17.292%
Season away (12)81.272.2153.5+9.067%
Last 10 (10)79.569.6149.1+9.980%
Last 5 (5)75.873.2149.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.081.0135.0-27.00%
vs Similar (5)71.476.0147.4-4.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)82.969.8152.7+13.179%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#15
W
58-50
58
50
+8
50avg 69
A26/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
63-67
63
67
-4
62avg 69
H01/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
60-76
60
76
-16
52avg 69
A08/02
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
61-73
61
73
-12
49avg 69
H15/02
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
68-71
68
71
-3
63avg 69
A22/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
65avg 69
H01/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
61-65
61
65
-4
53avg 69
A08/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
97-67
97
67
+30
98avg 69
H16/03
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 69
A22/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
84avg 69
H29/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
18-6
17-11
7-16
14-22
21-17
19-16
9-12
25-16
12-23
14-21
9-16
18-21
15-21
19-20
9-11
19-14
13-19
20-18
16-20
9-23
23-11
24-19
16-12
10-15
11-14
19-13
21-23
19-16
25-22
29-20
24-9
27-13
15-27
12-16
17-22
17-21
21-14
17-20
25-15
137.3Avg total
69.1Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.868.5143.3+6.458%
Season at home (12)77.068.1145.1+8.967%
Season away (12)72.768.8141.5+3.850%
Last 10 (10)69.168.2137.3+0.940%
Last 5 (5)76.269.0145.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.076.8147.8-5.833%
vs Similar (11)70.074.6144.6-4.618%
vs Weaker (13)80.865.3146.2+15.585%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
BragaIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H25/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H08/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A15/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H22/02
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H08/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A16/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H22/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A29/03
Proliga
75.8Avg total
38.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.474.3+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.135.174.2+4.056%-
Last 30 away (14)38.835.674.4+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.075.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.870.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.035.057.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (5)33.635.869.4-2.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)40.835.376.1+5.571%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#15
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A26/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H01/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A08/02
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H15/02
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A22/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H01/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A08/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/03
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/03
Proliga
70.0Avg total
34.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.172.9+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.775.8+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)35.434.569.9+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)34.835.270.0-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.270.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.237.873.0-2.733%-
vs Similar (11)34.037.071.0-3.027%-
vs Weaker (13)42.232.274.4+9.985%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.5
51.6%
49.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.8
27.0%
30.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.515.0
69.8%
68.4%15.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.3
48.5%
49.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.75.5
25.3%
30.1%16.5
🏀 Free throws19.513.0
66.7%
68.4%13.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
WWLWLWWWWW
Illiabum
WLWLWLLLLW
#1
League position
#5
+15.9
Net rating
+0.9
100.5
Offensive rating
89.5
84.6
Defensive rating
88.6
47.4%
Effective FG%
44.8%
38.4%
Opp. effective FG%
42.5%
20.8%
Turnover %
22.2%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.0%
3-point %
25.3%
64.7%
Assist %
71.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 89.5Defence84.6 · 88.6Shooting47.4% · 44.8%3-point %27.0% · 25.3%Ball care20.8% · 22.2%Off. rebounds35.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Braga   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Braga wins
5
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Illiabum v Braga61-73
13/12/24Braga v Illiabum67-71
19/10/24Illiabum v Braga69-67
14/04/24Braga v Illiabum72-76
10/02/24Braga v Illiabum89-64
04/02/24Braga v Illiabum60-61
03/12/23Illiabum v Braga74-63
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25ASangalhos82-69
22/03/25HCB Queluz79-69
16/03/25ACAB Madeira73-77
08/03/25HPortimonense71-67
01/03/25AVasco Da Gama74-84
22/02/25HImortal B71-54
15/02/25AIlliabum73-61
08/02/25HSangalhos83-74 OT
01/02/25ACB Queluz96-83
25/01/25HCAB Madeira93-58
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HPortimonense80-70
22/03/25AVasco Da Gama71-78
16/03/25HImortal B97-67
08/03/25ACAB Madeira61-65
01/03/25HSangalhos72-65
22/02/25ACB Queluz68-71
15/02/25HBraga61-73
08/02/25APortimonense60-76
01/02/25HVasco Da Gama63-67
26/01/25AImortal B58-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %79%92%67%
Points / game82.984.581.2
Allowed / game69.867.372.2
Point differential+13.1+17.2+9.0
Avg total152.7151.8153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game74.877.072.7
Allowed / game68.568.168.8
Point differential+6.4+8.9+3.8
Avg total143.3145.1141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2419579%82.969.8+13.1
2 Vasco Da Gama2418675%82.576.9+5.6
3 CB Queluz2516964%77.474.0+3.4
4 CAB Madeira2415962%74.869.2+5.6
5 Portimonense2415962%76.172.9+3.2
6 Illiabum24141058%74.868.5+6.4
7 Santo Andre23131057%72.769.9+2.9
8 Lusitania24121250%77.876.4+1.4
9 Maia23111248%76.080.7-4.7
10 Imortal B24101442%67.173.2-6.1
11 Sampaense25101540%80.384.3-4.0
12 Ginasio25101540%80.685.8-5.2
13 Barreirense2491538%72.675.7-3.1
14 Benfica Lisboa B2491538%67.974.8-6.9
15 Sangalhos2591636%76.877.8-1.0
16 Galitos Aveiro2432112%68.078.3-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga1222231976
Illiabum2821191482
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