Illiabum vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 20:30

Final 74-63

20-15 16-21 20-19 18-8

Position#9

Record4-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game71.8

Illiabum 🏆

Braga

Position#8

Record5-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game76.7

ProligaRound 7· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste

Other2023-24

Meetings · Illiabum v Braga

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Braga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illiabum

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormIlliabum

Date

Competition

Santo Andre

81-67

+14

no box

A18/03

Proliga

Portimonense

83-93

-10

no box

H25/03

Proliga

CA Queluz

#11

87-103

103

-16

no box

A02/04

Proliga

Galitos Barreiro

99-103

103

-4

no box

H08/04

Proliga

Galitos Aveiro

#11

85-88

-3

73avg 62

A14/10

Proliga

Vasco Da Gama

71-63

63avg 62

H21/10

Proliga

Sampaense

#16

84-63

+21

55avg 62

A28/10

Proliga

Sangalhos

87-81 OT

no box

A05/11

Proliga

Maia

63-81

-18

49avg 62

H18/11

Proliga

Academica

#14

86-55

+31

69avg 62

A25/11

Proliga

16-12

16-18

28-13

21-24

26-25

18-20

18-24

16-24

18-21

14-28

39-30

24-34

27-27

26-16

22-26

25-23

17-23

23-17

20-25

17-13

15-9

13-18

26-23

21-22

20-7

27-24

16-10

18-15

25-10

16-30

15-19

11-22

20-15

15-21

17-23

18-13

19-14

23-17

26-11

162.3Avg total

82.6Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	79.3	71.8	151.2	+7.5	67%
Season at home (2)	67.0	72.0	139.0	-5.0	50%
Season away (4)	85.5	71.8	157.2	+13.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	79.7	162.3	+2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	68.6	146.8	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	69.3	73.0	142.3	-3.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	80.9	78.6	159.5	+2.3	60%
vs Weaker (16)	82.3	72.5	154.8	+9.8	69%

This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Braga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBraga

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

56-108

108

-52

no box

H10/12

Taca de Portugal

Sangalhos

67-56

+11

66avg 79

H14/10

Proliga

Maia

80-82

-2

67avg 79

A21/10

Proliga

Academica

#14

92-65

+27

83avg 79

H28/10

Proliga

Sampaense

#16

95-86

88avg 79

H04/11

Proliga

Galitos Aveiro

#11

90-87

79avg 79

A18/11

Proliga

Vasco Da Gama

97-84

+13

93avg 79

H25/11

Proliga

16-31

10-23

14-24

16-30

15-12

7-10

26-18

19-16

14-17

25-19

20-16

21-30

29-8

12-22

27-23

24-12

25-26

20-25

28-19

22-16

26-14

21-20

24-26

19-27

24-26

25-24

25-13

23-21

163.6Avg total

82.4Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	86.8	76.7	163.5	+10.2	83%
Season at home (4)	87.8	72.8	160.5	+15.0	100%
Season away (2)	85.0	84.5	169.5	+0.5	50%
Last 10 (7)	82.4	81.1	163.6	+1.3	71%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	80.8	171.6	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	84.7	75.7	160.3	+9.0	100%
vs Weaker (3)	89.0	77.7	166.7	+11.3	67%

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

IlliabumBraga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	23.3	40.7	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.9	17.0	35.9	+1.9	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	21.3	19.1	40.4	+2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (2)	20.0	15.5	35.5	+4.5	50%	-
Last 10 (7)	21.3	19.1	40.4	+2.1	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.2	41.8	+5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	17.0	39.7	+5.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	16.5	36.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	16.9	37.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	11.0	30.8	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	17.7	32.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.9	16.5	35.4	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	17.1	20.4	37.6	-3.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	14.8	20.8	35.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 away (2)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	100%	-
Last 10 (7)	17.1	20.4	37.6	-3.3	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	33%	-

IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Santo Andre

32-30

A18/03

Proliga

Portimonense

47-49

-2

H25/03

Proliga

CA Queluz

#11

34-45

-11

A02/04

Proliga

Galitos Barreiro

51-61

-10

H08/04

Proliga

Galitos Aveiro

#11

42-46

-4

A14/10

Proliga

Vasco Da Gama

32-22

+10

H21/10

Proliga

Sampaense

#16

41-29

+12

A28/10

Proliga

Sangalhos

43-25

+18

A05/11

Proliga

Maia

31-37

-6

H18/11

Proliga

Academica

#14

37-27

+10

A25/11

Proliga

76.1Avg total

39.0Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	36.7	76.0	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	37.7	78.0	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	35.7	73.9	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	37.1	76.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	28.0	64.8	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.0	41.0	73.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.9	37.2	77.1	+2.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (16)	40.1	35.2	75.3	+4.9	69%	-

This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

26-54

-28

H10/12

Taca de Portugal

Sangalhos

22-22

H14/10

Proliga

Maia

39-36

A21/10

Proliga

Academica

#14

41-30

+11

H28/10

Proliga

Sampaense

#16

45-51

-6

H04/11

Proliga

Galitos Aveiro

#11

47-34

+13

A18/11

Proliga

Vasco Da Gama

49-50

-1

H25/11

Proliga

78.0Avg total

38.4Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	38.4	39.6	78.0	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	36.6	41.4	78.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 away (2)	43.0	35.0	78.0	+8.0	100%	-
Last 10 (7)	38.4	39.6	78.0	-1.1	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	40.2	84.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	39.3	35.3	74.7	+4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.7	39.0	80.7	+2.7	67%	-

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.0	38.4	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.9	38.5	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.1	38.3	+2.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	14.0	31.7	+3.7	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.5	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	23.4	19.9	43.3	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	24.0	19.4	43.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (2)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (7)	23.4	19.9	43.3	+3.6	71%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	19.4	44.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	25.0	19.0	44.0	+6.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.0	19.3	44.3	+5.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.1	38.9	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	19.3	41.3	+2.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.4	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (2)	20.0	28.5	48.5	-8.5	0%	-
Last 10 (7)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	37.7	78.5	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	38.1	77.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	37.4	79.6	+4.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	41.9	84.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	39.2	78.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.3	32.0	69.3	+5.3	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.7	40.7	80.4	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (16)	42.2	37.3	79.5	+4.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	44.0	41.6	85.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	44.8	38.4	83.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (2)	42.0	49.5	91.5	-7.5	0%	-
Last 10 (7)	44.0	41.6	85.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	40.6	87.2	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	45.3	40.3	85.7	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.3	38.7	86.0	+8.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 77.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game

52%

30%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	21.2	52.7%	50.4%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	7.0	26.1%	31.2%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.8	71.1%	69.3%	13.8

They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 86.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game

52%

30%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	19.5	46.8%	50.4%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	11.0	39.1%	31.2%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	20.3	14.2	69.7%	69.3%	14.2

They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	18.0	51.4%	50.4%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.4	6.6	30.8%	31.2%	19.8
🏀 Free throws	18.8	14.2	75.5%	69.3%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	20.2	47.8%	50.4%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.5	26.8%	31.2%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	18.5	12.8	69.4%	69.3%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	18.0	51.4%	50.4%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.4	6.6	30.8%	31.2%	19.8
🏀 Free throws	18.8	14.2	75.5%	69.3%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	20.2	47.8%	50.4%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.5	26.8%	31.2%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	18.5	12.8	69.4%	69.3%	12.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Illiabum

WLWWWLLLLW

Braga

WWWWLWL

League position

+9.0

Net rating

+13.1

96.7

Offensive rating

107.3

87.7

Defensive rating

94.2

47.3%

Effective FG%

51.6%

49.5%

Opp. effective FG%

44.8%

20.4%

Turnover %

19.0%

28.4%

Off. rebound %

33.7%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.29

26.1%

3-point %

39.1%

47.5%

Assist %

51.4%

50%

Form (last 10/7)

71%

Profile

■ Illiabum ■ Braga

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illiabum wins

Braga wins

No previous meetings.

Illiabumlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/23	A	Academica	86-55
18/11/23	H	Maia	63-81
05/11/23	A	Sangalhos	87-81 OT
28/10/23	A	Sampaense	84-63
21/10/23	H	Vasco Da Gama	71-63
14/10/23	A	Galitos Aveiro	85-88
08/04/23	H	Galitos Barreiro	99-103
02/04/23	A	CA Queluz	87-103
25/03/23	H	Portimonense	83-93
18/03/23	A	Santo Andre	81-67

Bragalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/23	H	Vasco Da Gama	97-84
18/11/23	A	Galitos Aveiro	90-87
04/11/23	H	Sampaense	95-86
28/10/23	H	Academica	92-65
21/10/23	A	Maia	80-82
14/10/23	H	Sangalhos	67-56
10/12/22	H	Sporting CP	56-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum

Proliga 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	67%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	67%	50%	75%
Points / game	79.3	67.0	85.5
Allowed / game	71.8	72.0	71.8
Point differential	+7.5	-5.0	+13.8
Avg total	151.2	139.0	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	17%	0%	25%

Braga

Proliga 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Losses (last 7)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	83%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	83%	100%	50%
Points / game	86.8	87.8	85.0
Allowed / game	76.7	72.8	84.5
Point differential	+10.2	+15.0	+0.5
Avg total	163.5	160.5	169.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	75%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	CA Queluz	7	7	0	100%	85.9	71.0	+14.9
2	Maia	7	6	1	86%	79.1	74.4	+4.7
3	Braga	6	5	1	83%	86.8	76.7	+10.2
4	Vasco Da Gama	7	5	2	71%	84.4	79.3	+5.1
5	Barreirense	7	5	2	71%	79.0	76.6	+2.4
6	Illiabum	6	4	2	67%	79.3	71.8	+7.5
7	Galitos Barreiro	7	4	3	57%	79.3	80.4	-1.1
8	Sangalhos	7	3	4	43%	74.6	72.3	+2.3
9	Galitos Aveiro	7	3	4	43%	77.7	77.3	+0.4
10	CAB Madeira	7	3	4	43%	79.7	79.9	-0.1
11	Santo Andre	7	3	4	43%	83.1	84.9	-1.7
12	Ginasio Olhanense	7	2	5	29%	79.0	80.9	-1.9
13	Imortal B	7	2	5	29%	71.7	77.7	-6.0
14	Benfica Lisboa B	7	2	5	29%	70.4	76.9	-6.4
15	Academica	7	1	6	14%	66.4	78.4	-12.0
16	Sampaense	7	0	7	0%	76.1	91.9	-15.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illiabum	20	16	20	18	74
Braga	15	21	19	8	63

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Illiabum vs Braga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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