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Brasilia vs Bauru Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Scheduled
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#10
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game77.8
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brasilia v Bauru
21 Dec 2026
BRAS v BAUR
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
BRAS94
BAUR65
29 Dec 2024
BRAS77
BAUR67
28 Mar 2024
BRAS84
BAUR103
26 Oct 2022
BRAS66
BAUR86
06 Nov 2021
BRAS49
BAUR60
12 Mar 2021
BRAS70
BAUR99
17 Nov 2019
BRAS62
BAUR96
31 Oct 2018
BRAS105
BAUR113
25 Apr 2017
BRAS76
BAUR85
23 Apr 2017
BRAS73
BAUR77
25 Mar 2017
BRAS92
BAUR89
03 May 2016
BRAS72
BAUR89
27 Nov 2015
BRAS111
BAUR114
20 Jan 2015
BRAS74
BAUR85
16 Jan 2014
BRAS82
BAUR72
28 Jan 2013
BRAS80
BAUR60
08 May 2012
BRAS99
BAUR91
07 May 2012
BRAS90
BAUR76
14 Jan 2012
BRAS88
BAUR81
19 Dec 2010
BRAS92
BAUR85
30 Jan 2009
BRAS76
BAUR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H15/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H23/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#12
W
104-92
104
92
+12
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#6
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
61-100
61
100
-39
A29/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
22-22
14-19
15-16
17-19
17-19
13-25
20-13
24-7
9-19
17-12
17-12
12-28
27-20
18-16
17-27
17-10
15-20
17-14
22-25
15-21
11-21
21-16
19-10
29-28
17-17
31-27
27-20
29-22
25-16
18-16
19-19
16-21
16-28
30-11
27-20
12-26
21-17
19-24
9-33
153.0Avg total
76.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.286.2172.5+0.075%
Season at home (2)97.582.5180.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)75.090.0165.0-15.050%
Last 10 (10)76.276.8153.0-0.660%
Last 5 (5)82.282.6164.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.176.7145.9-7.629%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.282.1168.2+4.175%
vs Weaker (11)77.167.6144.7+9.582%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A16/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
H24/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A29/04
NBB
Flamengo
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#17
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H23/10
NBB
Paulistano
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
24-12
9-27
11-29
23-31
14-17
14-21
14-25
13-21
8-16
28-25
28-18
17-31
22-20
15-25
26-19
24-14
29-17
16-26
19-18
16-15
16-20
18-20
12-16
20-19
23-17
18-22
21-23
23-22
11-20
25-17
24-9
15-20
19-19
9-23
18-17
23-26
12-26
21-16
19-15
155.7Avg total
73.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.277.8153.0-2.550%
Season at home (2)72.073.5145.5-1.550%
Season away (2)78.582.0160.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)73.682.1155.7-8.530%
Last 5 (5)72.676.4149.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.884.9165.7-4.144%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.884.6167.4-1.833%
vs Weaker (9)86.976.1163.0+10.889%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
BrasiliaBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H23/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#6
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A29/10
NBB
76.5Avg total
37.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.376.5-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.237.677.8+2.762%-
Last 30 away (14)35.939.175.1-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.376.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.481.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.137.170.3-4.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.843.284.9-1.442%-
vs Weaker (11)37.633.771.4+3.964%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A29/04
NBB
Flamengo
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#17
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H23/10
NBB
Paulistano
#6
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A30/10
NBB
78.1Avg total
37.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.781.8+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.341.086.3+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)36.840.477.2-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.078.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.876.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.442.785.1-0.256%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.941.180.0-2.233%-
vs Weaker (9)42.638.280.8+4.378%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.7
50.3%
49.9%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
31.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws13.39.8
73.7%
71.2%9.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.4
49.6%
49.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.6%
31.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.9%
71.2%11.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LWWWLWLWLW
Bauru
LLWWLWLLLL
#5
League position
#10
-4.5
Net rating
-7.8
87.1
Offensive rating
86.0
91.6
Defensive rating
93.8
49.9%
Effective FG%
47.1%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.0%
3-point %
28.6%
63.4%
Assist %
65.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence87.1 · 86.0Defence91.6 · 93.8Shooting49.9% · 47.1%3-point %33.0% · 28.6%Ball care15.8% · 14.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Brasilia   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brasilia wins
7
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
18/04/26Brasilia v Bauru94-65
29/12/25Bauru v Brasilia66-71
29/12/24Brasilia v Bauru77-67
15/10/24Bauru v Brasilia93-91
28/03/24Brasilia v Bauru84-103
09/12/23Bauru v Brasilia82-73
16/01/23Bauru v Brasilia72-70
26/10/22Brasilia v Bauru66-86
02/02/22Bauru v Brasilia96-74
06/11/21Brasilia v Bauru49-60
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AMinas61-100
27/10/26ACruzeiro89-80
24/10/26HPaulistano91-73
22/10/26HCorinthians Paulista104-92
28/05/26AFranca66-68
26/05/26AFranca71-69
23/05/26HFranca74-91
21/05/26HFranca67-50
18/05/26AFranca67-76
15/05/26HFlamengo72-69
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26APaulistano75-83
23/10/26HMogi61-79
21/10/26HSao Jose83-68
18/10/26AFlamengo82-81
29/04/26APaulistano62-71
26/04/26HPaulistano88-75
24/04/26HPaulistano80-95
21/04/26APaulistano77-80
18/04/26ABrasilia65-94
16/04/26ARio Claro63-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game86.297.575.0
Allowed / game86.282.590.0
Point differential+0.0+15.0-15.0
Avg total172.5180.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.272.078.5
Allowed / game77.873.582.0
Point differential-2.5-1.5-3.5
Avg total153.0145.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas440100%88.065.8+22.2
2 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
3 Pinheiros43175%81.870.2+11.5
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Brasilia43175%86.286.2+0.0
6 Paulistano43175%75.275.5-0.2
7 Flamengo32167%79.770.7+9.0
8 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
9 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
10 Bauru42250%75.277.8-2.5
11 Uniao Corinthians42250%76.079.2-3.2
12 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
13 Osasco31233%79.084.7-5.7
14 Botafogo41325%80.884.8-4.0
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul4040%67.077.8-10.8
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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