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Brasilia vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 77-67
26-18 18-18 18-20 15-11
Position#6
Record12-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#4
Record10-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game79.9
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brasilia v Bauru
21 Dec 2026
BRAS v BAUR
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
BRAS94
BAUR65
29 Dec 2024
BRAS77
BAUR67
28 Mar 2024
BRAS84
BAUR103
26 Oct 2022
BRAS66
BAUR86
06 Nov 2021
BRAS49
BAUR60
12 Mar 2021
BRAS70
BAUR99
17 Nov 2019
BRAS62
BAUR96
31 Oct 2018
BRAS105
BAUR113
25 Apr 2017
BRAS76
BAUR85
23 Apr 2017
BRAS73
BAUR77
25 Mar 2017
BRAS92
BAUR89
03 May 2016
BRAS72
BAUR89
27 Nov 2015
BRAS111
BAUR114
20 Jan 2015
BRAS74
BAUR85
16 Jan 2014
BRAS82
BAUR72
28 Jan 2013
BRAS80
BAUR60
08 May 2012
BRAS99
BAUR91
07 May 2012
BRAS90
BAUR76
14 Jan 2012
BRAS88
BAUR81
19 Dec 2010
BRAS92
BAUR85
30 Jan 2009
BRAS76
BAUR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
66avg 68
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 68
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 68
A16/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
89-67
89
67
+22
86avg 68
A05/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
74avg 68
A07/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 68
A12/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 68
H16/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
87-102
87
102
-15
63avg 68
H18/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
83-85
83
85
-2
74avg 68
H21/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
17-14
17-20
16-26
15-21
21-21
12-13
28-16
15-16
17-17
22-23
24-20
33-18
27-12
11-20
18-17
26-23
13-18
17-26
28-23
19-16
21-21
28-23
20-19
21-22
19-24
27-26
31-22
21-32
27-22
22-24
17-24
23-30
25-27
21-13
14-15
20-20
26-21
17-26
28-19
167.3Avg total
85.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.281.7165.9+2.667%
Season at home (8)84.583.4167.9+1.175%
Season away (10)84.080.3164.3+3.760%
Last 10 (10)85.182.2167.3+2.970%
Last 5 (5)89.489.2178.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.292.5171.8-13.212%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.785.1172.8+2.670%
vs Weaker (4)81.072.5153.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
87-80
87
80
+7
82avg 73
A14/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 73
H27/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-61
70
61
+9
66avg 73
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
71-66
71
66
+5
61avg 73
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 73
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
89avg 73
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
78avg 73
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 73
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 73
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 73
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
18-16
15-20
28-22
21-12
21-24
20-18
18-17
19-13
20-20
17-22
14-6
13-24
21-14
21-15
16-13
21-19
17-16
17-29
22-19
16-18
26-29
26-20
29-24
18-14
19-24
15-22
27-19
20-16
15-39
27-21
17-18
9-13
16-22
20-29
18-17
27-28
16-22
10-18
20-15
159.2Avg total
78.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.879.9158.7-1.256%
Season at home (8)79.874.9154.6+4.988%
Season away (10)78.084.0162.0-6.030%
Last 10 (10)78.980.3159.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)80.888.4169.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.488.4160.9-16.014%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.878.1157.9+1.662%
vs Weaker (7)79.476.1155.6+3.371%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
BrasiliaBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A16/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
60-30
60
30
+30
A05/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A07/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A12/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H16/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H18/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H21/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/12
NBB
84.0Avg total
43.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.085.0-3.123%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.845.888.6-3.125%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.080.9-3.121%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.784.0+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.447.091.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.246.484.7-8.26%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.142.885.9+0.340%-
vs Weaker (4)46.237.583.8+8.850%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A14/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A27/12
NBB
78.4Avg total
37.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.177.3-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.576.1+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.778.5-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.578.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.445.081.4-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.647.683.1-12.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.136.375.4+2.875%-
vs Weaker (7)38.737.075.7+1.743%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.3
50.6%
50.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.6
37.1%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.016.7
79.5%
72.7%16.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.2
48.1%
50.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.2
32.6%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.913.5
64.6%
72.7%13.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WLLWWLWWWW
Bauru
LLLLWLWWWW
#6
League position
#4
+3.9
Net rating
-2.9
114.5
Offensive rating
101.5
110.6
Defensive rating
104.4
53.1%
Effective FG%
48.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
12.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.1%
3-point %
32.6%
60.2%
Assist %
59.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 101.5Defence110.6 · 104.4Shooting53.1% · 48.5%3-point %37.1% · 32.6%Ball care12.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds22.8% · 31.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Brasilia   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brasilia wins
9
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Bauru v Brasilia93-91
28/03/24Brasilia v Bauru84-103
09/12/23Bauru v Brasilia82-73
16/01/23Bauru v Brasilia72-70
26/10/22Brasilia v Bauru66-86
02/02/22Bauru v Brasilia96-74
06/11/21Brasilia v Bauru49-60
12/03/21Brasilia v Bauru70-99
16/11/20Bauru v Brasilia93-70
05/03/20Bauru v Brasilia79-83
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24HFranca91-86
21/12/24HSao Paulo83-85
18/12/24HPaulistano87-102
16/12/24HPato98-94
12/12/24AVasco88-79
07/12/24AFlamengo84-90
05/12/24ABotafogo89-67
16/11/24AUniao Corinthians78-76
14/11/24ACaxias do Sul76-71
09/11/24HUnifacisa77-72
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24AMinas73-83
23/12/24AVasco63-81
20/12/24AFlamengo79-94
18/12/24ABotafogo92-93 OT
13/12/24HPato97-91
05/12/24AUniao Corinthians77-83
03/12/24ACaxias do Sul71-66
30/11/24HUnifacisa70-61
27/11/24HCearense80-71
14/11/24APinheiros87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game84.284.584.0
Allowed / game81.783.480.3
Point differential+2.6+1.1+3.7
Avg total165.9167.9164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)83% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%88%30%
Points / game78.879.878.0
Allowed / game79.974.984.0
Point differential-1.2+4.9-6.0
Avg total158.7154.6162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%12%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1816289%82.869.8+13.0
2 Flamengo1814478%84.172.7+11.4
3 Brasilia1812667%84.281.7+2.6
4 Franca1811761%81.577.5+4.0
5 Vasco1710759%74.672.1+2.5
6 Pinheiros1810856%76.375.3+1.0
7 Sao Paulo1810856%78.778.4+0.3
8 Uniao Corinthians1810856%78.179.0-0.9
9 Bauru1810856%78.879.9-1.2
10 Paulistano1881044%77.875.7+2.2
11 Sao Jose1881044%75.775.5+0.2
12 Unifacisa1881044%75.076.7-1.7
13 Pato1871139%83.085.3-2.3
14 Corinthians Paulista1761135%79.481.4-2.0
15 Mogi1861233%73.179.6-6.6
16 Botafogo1861233%73.180.9-7.8
17 Caxias do Sul1851328%72.679.2-6.6
18 Cearense1841422%69.177.1-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2618181577
Bauru1818201167
← all games of the day
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