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Brasilia vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 84-103
19-29 27-20 10-32 28-22
Position#19
Record4-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#5
Record22-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game78.7
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brasilia v Bauru
21 Dec 2026
BRAS v BAUR
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
BRAS94
BAUR65
29 Dec 2024
BRAS77
BAUR67
28 Mar 2024
BRAS84
BAUR103
26 Oct 2022
BRAS66
BAUR86
06 Nov 2021
BRAS49
BAUR60
12 Mar 2021
BRAS70
BAUR99
17 Nov 2019
BRAS62
BAUR96
31 Oct 2018
BRAS105
BAUR113
25 Apr 2017
BRAS76
BAUR85
23 Apr 2017
BRAS73
BAUR77
25 Mar 2017
BRAS92
BAUR89
03 May 2016
BRAS72
BAUR89
27 Nov 2015
BRAS111
BAUR114
20 Jan 2015
BRAS74
BAUR85
16 Jan 2014
BRAS82
BAUR72
28 Jan 2013
BRAS80
BAUR60
08 May 2012
BRAS99
BAUR91
07 May 2012
BRAS90
BAUR76
14 Jan 2012
BRAS88
BAUR81
19 Dec 2010
BRAS92
BAUR85
30 Jan 2009
BRAS76
BAUR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
64-87
64
87
-23
54avg 57
A22/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
92-88
92
88
+4
82avg 57
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 57
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 57
A09/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 57
H17/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
73-95
73
95
-22
58avg 57
H01/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
69avg 57
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
no box
H10/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
61-104
61
104
-43
44avg 57
A20/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
85-103
85
103
-18
82avg 57
A22/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-28
21-18
22-18
13-23
24-21
26-29
18-20
24-18
18-23
7-19
20-15
14-16
14-23
19-23
20-14
14-19
28-20
11-19
14-23
21-24
15-22
19-28
21-25
18-20
19-26
27-22
13-23
25-18
23-27
24-21
18-21
31-27
16-24
11-27
16-23
18-30
16-30
28-14
24-34
17-25
167.7Avg total
76.5Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.687.8160.4-15.313%
Season at home (14)76.187.9164.0-11.714%
Season away (16)69.487.8157.2-18.412%
Last 10 (10)76.591.2167.7-14.710%
Last 5 (5)81.899.8181.6-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)72.687.8160.4-15.313%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 72
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 72
H15/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
69avg 72
H17/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
no box
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
no box
A07/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 72
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 72
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 72
H19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
113-95
113
95
+18
120avg 72
H21/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
86-69
86
69
+17
87avg 72
A26/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
15-15
19-18
21-28
27-15
20-18
18-23
24-23
27-20
23-24
11-24
15-13
22-24
26-19
14-16
12-15
26-24
17-26
19-15
16-13
23-22
15-21
15-24
26-8
25-21
19-18
9-25
14-14
19-29
17-15
21-11
17-17
28-24
24-19
33-26
28-26
30-10
18-15
17-22
21-22
164.9Avg total
84.3Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.178.7159.7+2.467%
Season at home (16)85.476.7162.1+8.788%
Season away (17)77.080.5157.5-3.547%
Last 10 (10)84.380.6164.9+3.770%
Last 5 (5)83.877.8161.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.886.5162.3-10.733%
vs Similar (11)79.076.3155.3+2.773%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.877.7165.5+10.283%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
BrasiliaBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A22/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A09/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H01/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A20/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/03
NBB
83.8Avg total
37.4Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.444.180.5-7.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.543.181.6-4.621%-
Last 30 away (16)34.645.079.6-10.412%-
Last 10 (10)37.446.483.8-9.00%-
Last 5 (5)39.648.287.8-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)36.444.180.5-7.717%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H15/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H17/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H21/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A26/03
NBB
84.4Avg total
44.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.081.5+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.839.984.6+4.979%-
Last 30 away (16)38.640.178.8-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.284.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.882.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.244.584.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (11)41.637.479.0+4.373%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.938.981.8+4.058%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.3
44.7%
51.8%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.0
33.8%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.912.1
71.6%
72.6%12.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.9
52.2%
51.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.6
38.0%
33.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.5
71.4%
72.6%11.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LLLLLLLLWL
Bauru
WWWLWWWLWL
#19
League position
#5
-25.4
Net rating
+1.0
94.9
Offensive rating
110.8
120.3
Defensive rating
109.9
47.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
60.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.8%
3-point %
38.0%
52.6%
Assist %
68.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 110.8Defence120.3 · 109.9Shooting47.2% · 54.3%3-point %33.8% · 38.0%Ball care17.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds21.6% · 26.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Brasilia   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brasilia wins
8
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Bauru v Brasilia82-73
16/01/23Bauru v Brasilia72-70
26/10/22Brasilia v Bauru66-86
02/02/22Bauru v Brasilia96-74
06/11/21Brasilia v Bauru49-60
12/03/21Brasilia v Bauru70-99
16/11/20Bauru v Brasilia93-70
05/03/20Bauru v Brasilia79-83
17/11/19Brasilia v Bauru62-96
22/01/19Bauru v Brasilia75-76
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24ASao Jose85-103
20/03/24AMogi61-104
10/03/24HBotafogo106-108 OT
08/03/24HVasco84-89
01/03/24HCerrado73-95
17/02/24HFlamengo74-86
09/02/24ACaxias do Sul67-79
07/02/24AUniao Corinthians59-73
24/01/24APinheiros92-88
22/01/24ACorinthians Paulista64-87
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24ACerrado86-69
21/03/24HBotafogo113-95
19/03/24HFlamengo74-72
12/03/24HFranca67-78
09/03/24ACaxias do Sul79-75
07/03/24AUniao Corinthians97-89 OT
02/03/24HMinas86-84 OT
17/02/24HVasco76-81
15/02/24HPato89-79
08/02/24APinheiros76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %13%14%12%
Points / game72.676.169.4
Allowed / game87.887.987.8
Point differential-15.3-11.7-18.4
Avg total160.4164.0157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWLWW88%
AwayWLWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %67%88%47%
Points / game81.185.477.0
Allowed / game78.776.780.5
Point differential+2.4+8.7-3.5
Avg total159.7162.1157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)86% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %15%12%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3126584%87.675.8+11.8
2 Flamengo3126584%84.873.5+11.3
3 Minas3224875%85.873.4+12.3
4 Vasco3022873%76.772.8+3.8
5 Bauru33221167%81.178.7+2.4
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano30181260%74.971.8+3.1
8 Corinthians Paulista30171357%80.778.3+2.5
9 Cearense32181456%79.677.1+2.4
10 Sao Jose32171553%79.377.1+2.3
11 Sao Paulo30151550%78.479.5-1.1
12 Pato31131842%77.579.7-2.2
13 Pinheiros31131842%74.678.2-3.5
14 Uniao Corinthians32102231%74.883.7-8.8
15 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
16 Cerrado3182326%74.876.7-1.9
17 Mogi3282425%74.080.1-6.1
18 Caxias do Sul3282425%72.080.3-8.2
19 Brasilia3042613%72.687.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia1927102884
Bauru29203222103
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