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Brasilia vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 65-77
19-15 16-26 15-12 15-24
Position#19
Record3-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Pato 🏆
Brazil
Position#12
Record7-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game77.9
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brasilia v Pato
22 Nov 2026
BRAS v PATO
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
BRAS84
PATO69
16 Dec 2024
BRAS98
PATO94
06 Jan 2024
BRAS65
PATO77
03 Jan 2023
BRAS79
PATO66
21 Nov 2021
BRAS53
PATO70
20 Dec 2020
BRAS98
PATO104
13 Jan 2020
BRAS76
PATO73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
L
53-84
53
84
-31
32avg 56
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 56
H30/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
66-92
66
92
-26
43avg 56
H04/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
77-100
77
100
-23
55avg 56
A07/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
58avg 56
A09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
69-91
69
91
-22
52avg 56
H16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
53avg 56
A20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
63-72
63
72
-9
51avg 56
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
55avg 56
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 56
A29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
15-20
16-24
9-19
24-19
20-20
14-18
23-23
21-17
11-24
18-30
16-21
20-32
26-19
11-28
20-21
21-16
23-17
21-19
8-30
14-17
21-21
14-32
20-21
10-22
22-34
21-15
18-20
17-13
20-15
12-28
14-16
13-18
16-32
20-24
20-19
15-18
18-20
21-20
19-25
156.3Avg total
69.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.185.3156.3-14.217%
Season at home (8)74.583.0157.5-8.525%
Season away (10)68.387.1155.4-18.810%
Last 10 (10)69.586.8156.3-17.310%
Last 5 (5)69.086.0155.0-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)72.989.5162.3-16.611%
vs Similar (3)74.782.7157.3-8.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
87-83
87
83
+4
78avg 67
H16/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 67
A20/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-79
68
79
-11
60avg 67
A22/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-76
75
76
-1
63avg 67
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
64-68
64
68
-4
50avg 67
H01/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 67
A16/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
77-91
77
91
-14
67avg 67
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 67
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
79-63
79
63
+16
77avg 67
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-74
78
74
+4
65avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-29
17-18
26-19
25-20
19-20
10-22
13-27
17-23
15-24
13-25
23-7
15-17
16-19
17-20
27-20
15-17
17-18
22-14
10-19
18-18
22-14
16-29
25-24
16-25
23-14
10-28
28-24
20-23
14-23
27-16
14-22
13-15
23-13
18-9
25-26
24-16
18-17
20-20
16-21
154.3Avg total
75.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.277.9153.1-2.839%
Season at home (8)77.172.4149.5+4.862%
Season away (10)73.682.4156.0-8.820%
Last 10 (10)75.179.2154.3-4.130%
Last 5 (5)78.079.4157.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.780.4153.1-7.729%
vs Similar (10)76.479.5155.9-3.130%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.274.8158.0+8.383%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
BrasiliaPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H30/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A07/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/12
NBB
77.5Avg total
36.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.144.281.3-7.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.941.180.0-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.347.282.5-11.913%-
Last 10 (10)36.041.577.5-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.242.075.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.044.181.1-7.122%-
vs Similar (3)38.044.382.3-6.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H16/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A20/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A22/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/12
NBB
75.6Avg total
37.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.677.0-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.136.475.6+2.743%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.578.3-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.275.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.673.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.140.077.1-2.929%-
vs Similar (10)38.038.576.5-0.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.235.577.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.816.9
42.5%
51.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.2
31.2%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.710.3
65.6%
72.6%10.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.7
50.5%
51.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.5
30.6%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.89.2
66.7%
72.6%9.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LLLLLLLLWL
Pato
WWLLLLLLLW
#19
League position
#12
-22.6
Net rating
-6.1
89.6
Offensive rating
104.3
112.1
Defensive rating
110.4
44.2%
Effective FG%
48.6%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.2%
3-point %
30.6%
47.0%
Assist %
56.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.6 · 104.3Defence112.1 · 110.4Shooting44.2% · 48.6%3-point %31.2% · 30.6%Ball care16.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds20.8% · 32.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Brasilia   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brasilia wins
5
Pato wins
DateGameScore
03/11/23Pato v Brasilia78-80
07/04/23Pato v Brasilia91-64
03/01/23Brasilia v Pato79-66
17/02/22Pato v Brasilia77-75
21/11/21Brasilia v Pato53-70
26/01/21Pato v Brasilia98-76
20/12/20Brasilia v Pato98-104 OT
13/01/20Brasilia v Pato76-73
28/10/19Pato v Brasilia73-76
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23ACearense73-83
27/12/23AUnifacisa69-93
23/12/23HSao Paulo63-72
20/12/23AMinas71-91
16/12/23HPaulistano69-91
09/12/23ABauru73-82
07/12/23AFranca77-100
04/12/23HSao Jose66-92
30/11/23HMogi81-80
24/11/23ACerrado53-84
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HCaxias do Sul78-74
27/12/23HUniao Corinthians79-63
22/12/23AMinas75-84
18/12/23APinheiros77-91
16/12/23ACorinthians Paulista81-85
01/12/23HUnifacisa64-68
29/11/23HCearense75-76
22/11/23APaulistano68-79
20/11/23ASao Paulo67-89
16/11/23HFranca87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %17%25%10%
Points / game71.174.568.3
Allowed / game85.383.087.1
Point differential-14.2-8.5-18.8
Avg total156.3157.5155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW39%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%62%20%
Points / game75.277.173.6
Allowed / game77.972.482.4
Point differential-2.8+4.8-8.8
Avg total153.1149.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1816289%84.573.3+11.2
2 Minas1815383%85.373.7+11.7
3 Franca1814478%86.375.4+10.9
4 Paulistano1813572%75.270.7+4.5
5 Vasco1813572%73.769.5+4.2
6 Unifacisa1812667%81.778.0+3.7
7 Sao Jose1810856%80.074.9+5.1
8 Cearense1810856%78.175.8+2.2
9 Bauru1810856%78.877.7+1.1
10 Corinthians Paulista1881044%80.482.0-1.6
11 Sao Paulo1881044%75.878.1-2.3
12 Pinheiros1871139%76.479.1-2.7
13 Pato1871139%75.277.9-2.8
14 Botafogo1861233%78.484.7-6.3
15 Caxias do Sul1861233%72.179.2-7.1
16 Cerrado1851328%73.775.4-1.7
17 Uniao Corinthians1851328%71.680.8-9.2
18 Mogi1831517%73.279.9-6.7
19 Brasilia1831517%71.185.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia1916151565
Pato1526122477
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