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Cerrado vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 84-53
21-13 20-15 24-16 19-9
Position#17
Record1-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game75.8
Cerrado 🏆
Brazil
vs
Brasilia
Brazil
Position#19
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game83.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio da ASCEB (Brasília)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cerrado v Brasilia
24 Nov 2023
CERR84
BRAS53
26 Nov 2022
CERR88
BRAS96
08 Apr 2022
CERR86
BRAS90
06 Jan 2021
CERR97
BRAS85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
62-69
62
69
-7
40avg 59
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 59
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 59
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 59
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
no box
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
62avg 59
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
54avg 59
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 59
A18/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
11-23
17-19
23-22
12-27
9-28
26-25
17-15
12-18
13-21
15-19
22-11
15-14
14-20
17-16
12-17
16-24
15-18
22-16
12-25
27-14
29-17
13-21
25-15
19-19
17-10
14-15
15-21
16-21
13-16
23-20
19-32
18-22
16-17
14-15
23-20
17-14
28-24
12-16
16-20
148.0Avg total
70.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.475.8147.1-4.412%
Season at home (4)72.871.5144.2+1.225%
Season away (4)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)70.177.9148.0-7.810%
Last 5 (5)77.277.4154.6-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)77.492.8170.2-15.410%
vs Similar (6)79.880.5160.3-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)81.374.7156.0+6.733%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
no box
A13/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 60
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
94-76
94
76
+18
91avg 60
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 60
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 60
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 60
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
55-92
55
92
-37
40avg 60
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 60
A19/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
14-28
25-23
18-35
22-24
23-24
15-24
13-18
26-24
14-21
15-21
17-18
25-25
24-17
24-11
21-23
20-15
22-25
12-17
26-21
9-21
23-27
18-25
32-19
17-15
17-22
16-20
19-20
15-21
23-32
24-15
16-21
17-25
11-23
15-26
12-18
14-12
12-19
12-28
16-20
159.8Avg total
72.8Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.083.4156.4-10.425%
Season at home (4)79.282.2161.5-3.025%
Season away (4)66.884.5151.2-17.825%
Last 10 (10)72.887.0159.8-14.220%
Last 5 (5)67.685.8153.4-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)77.391.4168.7-14.08%
vs Similar (6)78.380.2158.5-1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cerrado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
CerradoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NBB
71.3Avg total
33.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.582.4-4.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.983.4-0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)36.145.281.3-9.121%-
Last 10 (10)33.238.171.3-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.874.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)38.345.383.6-7.033%-
vs Similar (6)37.742.580.2-4.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.732.778.3+13.0100%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A13/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A19/11
NBB
80.9Avg total
36.2Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.946.084.0-8.123%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.944.585.4-3.635%-
Last 30 away (13)34.148.082.1-13.98%-
Last 10 (10)36.244.780.9-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)31.643.475.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.547.885.2-10.217%-
vs Similar (6)39.739.278.8+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cerrado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.0
43.8%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.1
28.2%
33.9%21.4
🏀 Free throws21.012.0
57.1%
72.6%12.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.116.2
46.3%
51.8%32.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.2
34.1%
33.9%27.8
🏀 Free throws17.811.8
66.2%
72.6%11.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cerrado
LLLLWLLLLL
Brasilia
LLLLLWWLLL
#17
League position
#19
-6.4
Net rating
-14.2
94.7
Offensive rating
97.4
101.2
Defensive rating
111.7
43.2%
Effective FG%
48.4%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.2%
3-point %
34.1%
58.0%
Assist %
52.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 97.4Defence101.2 · 111.7Shooting43.2% · 48.4%3-point %28.2% · 34.1%Ball care18.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds35.8% · 23.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Cerrado   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cerrado wins
3
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
02/03/23Brasilia v Cerrado86-65
26/11/22Cerrado v Brasilia88-96
08/04/22Cerrado v Brasilia86-90 OT
11/12/21Brasilia v Cerrado72-82
11/02/21Brasilia v Cerrado73-86
06/01/21Cerrado v Brasilia97-85
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23ABotafogo73-74
15/11/23AVasco71-74
13/11/23AFlamengo71-89
09/11/23HCaxias do Sul77-83 OT
07/11/23HUniao Corinthians94-67
31/10/23APato65-83
23/10/23HCorinthians Paulista58-67
21/10/23HPinheiros62-69
15/04/23ASao Paulo64-95
13/04/23ACorinthians Paulista66-78
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23AVasco54-79
16/11/23AFlamengo55-92
14/11/23ABotafogo78-89
11/11/23HCaxias do Sul69-77
09/11/23HUniao Corinthians82-92
03/11/23APato80-78
23/10/23HPinheiros94-76
21/10/23HCorinthians Paulista72-84
15/04/23ACorinthians Paulista73-90
13/04/23APaulistano71-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game71.472.870.0
Allowed / game75.871.580.0
Point differential-4.4+1.2-10.0
Avg total147.1144.2150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game73.079.266.8
Allowed / game83.482.284.5
Point differential-10.4-3.0-17.8
Avg total156.4161.5151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas87188%83.072.4+10.6
2 Cearense87188%78.572.8+5.8
3 Franca86275%89.876.4+13.4
4 Flamengo86275%81.873.2+8.5
5 Vasco86275%71.264.6+6.6
6 Paulistano86275%71.168.9+2.2
7 Sao Jose85362%81.673.5+8.1
8 Bauru106460%79.074.8+4.2
9 Unifacisa74357%75.772.0+3.7
10 Caxias do Sul84450%73.178.0-4.9
11 Pato115645%74.978.4-3.5
12 Uniao Corinthians94544%73.281.6-8.3
13 Corinthians Paulista73443%75.776.9-1.1
14 Sao Paulo93633%77.481.8-4.3
15 Pinheiros82625%76.080.0-4.0
16 Brasilia82625%73.083.4-10.4
17 Botafogo112918%74.483.7-9.4
18 Cerrado81712%71.475.8-4.4
19 Mogi81712%73.280.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cerrado2120241984
Brasilia131516953
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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