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Flamengo vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 90-84
23-26 18-13 26-17 23-28
Position#3
Record11-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#6
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game77.8
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2024-25
Meetings · Flamengo v Brasilia
10 May 2026
FLAM90
BRAS98
08 May 2026
FLAM83
BRAS66
20 Nov 2025
FLAM83
BRAS85
07 Dec 2024
FLAM90
BRAS84
16 Nov 2023
FLAM92
BRAS55
01 Dec 2022
FLAM72
BRAS50
18 Apr 2022
FLAM113
BRAS83
31 Jan 2021
FLAM115
BRAS58
24 Jan 2020
FLAM94
BRAS77
24 Mar 2019
FLAM97
BRAS54
01 Apr 2017
FLAM71
BRAS77
16 Mar 2016
FLAM73
BRAS75
26 Feb 2016
FLAM106
BRAS93
16 Dec 2014
FLAM76
BRAS74
09 Nov 2013
FLAM84
BRAS82
13 Dec 2012
FLAM102
BRAS88
27 Nov 2012
FLAM92
BRAS82
26 Nov 2011
FLAM110
BRAS72
27 Mar 2011
FLAM93
BRAS80
28 Jun 2009
FLAM76
BRAS68
14 Jun 2009
FLAM99
BRAS78
13 Jun 2009
FLAM71
BRAS81
15 Mar 2009
FLAM78
BRAS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
66-61
66
61
+5
55avg 80
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
78-56
78
56
+22
72avg 80
A29/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 80
A01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
84-55
84
55
+29
86avg 80
H04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 80
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
95-77
95
77
+18
101avg 80
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
91-67
91
67
+24
88avg 80
H13/11
NBB
Franca
#2
W
88-65
88
65
+23
85avg 80
H16/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 80
H30/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 80
A03/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
16-15
12-15
22-9
21-23
25-11
14-9
18-13
18-20
20-16
25-25
24-16
22-14
27-16
21-15
14-10
18-25
18-13
17-20
22-19
30-18
29-21
13-14
23-24
22-16
24-14
18-14
27-23
22-22
24-22
25-12
17-9
21-19
14-17
23-21
12-24
29-28
26-23
24-25
19-22
156.3Avg total
84.4Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.770.1152.8+12.679%
Season at home (7)80.669.9150.4+10.771%
Season away (7)84.970.3155.1+14.686%
Last 10 (10)84.471.9156.3+12.580%
Last 5 (5)90.878.6169.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)74.076.5150.5-2.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.068.1153.0+16.991%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 64
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
70avg 64
H23/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 64
H26/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
79avg 64
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
105-99
105
99
+6
101avg 64
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
73-72
73
72
+1
58avg 64
H05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
66avg 64
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 64
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 64
A16/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
89-67
89
67
+22
86avg 64
A05/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
14-17
20-23
23-14
25-22
16-17
13-20
27-17
18-14
32-25
18-24
18-17
25-18
24-16
13-20
27-21
24-33
26-19
24-22
31-25
20-25
19-14
17-14
17-19
27-12
17-14
17-20
16-26
15-21
21-21
12-13
28-16
15-16
17-17
22-23
24-20
33-18
27-12
11-20
18-17
159.5Avg total
82.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.177.8159.9+4.275%
Season at home (4)79.275.0154.2+4.2100%
Season away (8)83.579.2162.8+4.262%
Last 10 (10)82.876.7159.5+6.190%
Last 5 (5)78.671.6150.2+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)75.491.0166.4-15.510%
vs Similar (6)86.881.8168.7+5.083%
vs Weaker (4)81.072.5153.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
FlamengoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A29/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H13/11
NBB
Franca
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H16/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H30/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A03/12
NBB
81.7Avg total
44.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.434.577.9+8.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.334.674.9+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)46.534.580.9+12.087%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.581.7+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)48.240.088.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)36.436.873.1-0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.933.779.6+12.286%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H23/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H26/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A16/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
60-30
60
30
+30
A05/12
NBB
80.8Avg total
43.2Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.383.4-5.217%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.945.486.2-4.521%-
Last 30 away (16)37.643.481.0-5.812%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.680.8+5.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.076.2+8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.747.284.0-10.50%-
vs Similar (6)42.539.081.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker (4)46.237.583.8+8.850%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.0
54.9%
50.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.8
32.3%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.6
78.3%
72.7%16.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.314.8
48.8%
50.9%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.3
34.2%
33.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws22.218.1
81.5%
72.7%18.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WLWWWLWWWW
Brasilia
WWWWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#6
+17.8
Net rating
+7.9
112.6
Offensive rating
112.5
94.8
Defensive rating
104.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.3%
3-point %
34.2%
66.3%
Assist %
60.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 112.5Defence94.8 · 104.6Shooting51.9% · 50.2%3-point %32.3% · 34.2%Ball care15.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds29.9% · 29.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Flamengo   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Flamengo wins
0
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Brasilia v Flamengo74-86
16/11/23Flamengo v Brasilia92-55
23/03/23Brasilia v Flamengo75-109
01/12/22Flamengo v Brasilia72-50
18/04/22Flamengo v Brasilia113-83
07/12/21Brasilia v Flamengo60-69
31/01/21Flamengo v Brasilia115-58
18/12/20Brasilia v Flamengo74-103
25/01/20Flamengo v Brasilia94-77
19/10/19Brasilia v Flamengo81-86
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24APato110-103 OT
30/11/24HMinas70-81
16/11/24HFranca88-65
13/11/24HBotafogo91-67
11/11/24HUniao Corinthians95-77
07/11/24ASao Paulo75-77
04/11/24HCaxias do Sul84-55
01/11/24AUnifacisa87-77
29/10/24ACearense78-56
26/10/24HPinheiros66-61
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24ABotafogo89-67
16/11/24AUniao Corinthians78-76
14/11/24ACaxias do Sul76-71
09/11/24HUnifacisa77-72
05/11/24HCearense73-72
02/11/24ACorinthians Paulista105-99
31/10/24APinheiros89-75
26/10/24HMogi86-80
23/10/24HSao Jose81-76
17/10/24AFranca74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%71%86%
Points / game82.780.684.9
Allowed / game70.169.970.3
Point differential+12.6+10.7+14.6
Avg total152.8150.4155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %75%100%62%
Points / game82.179.283.5
Allowed / game77.875.079.2
Point differential+4.2+4.2+4.2
Avg total159.9154.2162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1413193%84.468.4+15.9
2 Flamengo1411379%82.770.1+12.6
3 Brasilia129375%82.177.8+4.2
4 Bauru139469%78.076.7+1.3
5 Vasco138562%73.771.0+2.7
6 Franca159660%80.577.5+3.0
7 Pinheiros127558%73.671.8+1.8
8 Sao Paulo127558%79.378.4+0.9
9 Uniao Corinthians137654%79.081.6-2.6
10 Sao Jose146843%74.475.7-1.3
11 Pato135838%80.382.2-1.8
12 Unifacisa135838%74.576.9-2.4
13 Paulistano124833%75.273.9+1.2
14 Corinthians Paulista124833%80.482.6-2.2
15 Mogi1441029%70.379.1-8.9
16 Botafogo1441029%70.179.4-9.3
17 Caxias do Sul1331023%70.077.2-7.2
18 Cearense1331023%67.876.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2318262390
Brasilia2613172884
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