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Nacional vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 20:40
Final 94-65
23-16 31-10 22-17 18-22
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#7
Record4-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game82.8
EuropeChampions League AmericasChampions League Americas - 3rd place· Estadio Obras Sanitarias
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nacional v Flamengo
18 Apr 2026
NACI94
FLAM65
08 Feb 2026
NACI89
FLAM79
14 Dec 2025
NACI75
FLAM63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#11
W
126-75
126
75
+51
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Paisas
#8
W
97-94
97
94
+3
A07/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
111-80
111
80
+31
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
101-82
101
82
+19
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Franca
#4
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H17/04
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
37-27
36-10
24-16
25-25
28-26
26-23
18-20
22-17
22-19
30-17
22-22
34-13
27-23
28-29
22-15
27-20
16-27
22-24
23-19
20-17
20-17
21-21
19-13
21-14
18-18
18-20
14-17
17-20
25-17
20-16
16-18
31-29
21-12
23-22
26-19
16-29
22-17
21-18
12-19
170.6Avg total
91.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.076.4161.4+8.689%
Season at home (5)81.274.2155.4+7.080%
Season away (4)89.879.2169.0+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)91.978.7170.6+13.280%
Last 5 (5)80.274.6154.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.576.5150.0-3.050%
vs Similar (1)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.779.9170.7+10.874%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H20/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H23/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A31/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A02/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H06/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H08/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
102-89
102
89
+13
A11/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H14/04
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A18/04
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
26-20
30-19
27-19
26-21
16-21
18-11
24-26
23-23
21-28
19-13
24-25
21-22
29-27
18-15
23-32
18-19
15-13
21-23
20-21
24-23
20-16
24-26
18-28
34-15
29-23
8-25
19-21
22-22
25-18
29-21
26-28
25-19
25-16
12-14
33-26
9-19
18-25
14-17
17-20
170.1Avg total
86.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.482.8162.2-3.344%
Season at home (4)90.885.0175.8+5.875%
Season away (5)70.481.0151.4-10.620%
Last 10 (10)86.883.3170.1+3.550%
Last 5 (5)86.284.4170.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.287.8166.0-9.640%
vs Similar (8)87.883.8171.5+4.062%
vs Weaker (17)87.781.5169.2+6.265%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
NacionalFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#11
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Paisas
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A07/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
61-36
61
36
+25
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Franca
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/04
Champions League Americas
88.7Avg total
47.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.287.1+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.938.885.7+8.171%-
Last 30 away (16)44.943.488.2+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)47.840.988.7+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.080.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.038.575.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (1)38.046.084.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.841.388.0+5.563%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A31/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A02/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H06/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H08/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H14/04
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A18/04
Champions League Americas
84.7Avg total
44.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.141.286.4+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.140.188.3+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.384.5-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.384.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.285.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.046.688.6-4.640%-
vs Similar (8)47.141.288.4+5.962%-
vs Weaker (17)45.139.684.8+5.571%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.324.0
51.8%
54.0%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.6
35.1%
32.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.016.2
70.4%
69.7%16.2
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.2
56.0%
54.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.1
36.6%
32.4%36.3
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
69.7%13.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
LWWWWLWWWW
Flamengo
LWWWLLLLWW
#1
League position
#7
+14.3
Net rating
+3.5
102.3
Offensive rating
98.8
88.0
Defensive rating
95.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
55.4%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
11.7%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.1%
3-point %
36.6%
56.4%
Assist %
64.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 98.8Defence88.0 · 95.2Shooting52.1% · 55.4%3-point %35.1% · 36.6%Ball care11.7% · 15.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Nacional   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nacional wins
0
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
08/02/26Nacional v Flamengo89-79
19/01/26Flamengo v Nacional76-95
14/12/25Nacional v Flamengo75-63
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/26HFranca71-83
12/04/26HAguada101-82
09/04/26APenarol78-71
30/03/26AMalvin71-69
26/03/26ADefensor80-68
24/03/26HMalvin88-90
19/03/26AHebraica y Macabi111-80
14/03/26HPaisas96-75
07/03/26APaisas97-94
19/02/26HCordon126-75
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26ABoca Juniors58-81
14/04/26HVasco95-75
11/04/26ABotafogo102-89
08/04/26HCruzeiro90-84
06/04/26HMinas86-93
02/04/26ACaxias do Sul74-76
31/03/26AUniao Corinthians91-96
25/03/26ABrasilia87-89
23/03/26HPaulistano84-79
20/03/26HOsasco101-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game85.081.289.8
Allowed / game76.474.279.2
Point differential+8.6+7.0+10.5
Avg total161.4155.4169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game79.490.870.4
Allowed / game82.885.081.0
Point differential-3.3+5.8-10.6
Avg total162.2175.8151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional98189%85.076.4+8.6
2 Boca Juniors97278%83.270.8+12.4
3 Astros86275%110.076.1+33.9
4 Franca107370%95.782.4+13.3
5 Minas95456%86.882.6+4.2
6 Instituto de Cordoba84450%81.086.1-5.1
7 Flamengo94544%79.482.8-3.3
8 Paisas83538%88.291.6-3.4
9 Obras Sanitarias61517%74.883.8-9.0
10 U. De Concepcion61517%76.291.5-15.3
11 Aguada61517%70.789.8-19.2
12 Caimanes del Llano6060%72.7118.0-45.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2331221894
Flamengo1610172265
← all games of the day
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